Helsinki Tankers Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 51.7%

4 points 2 2-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Hawks 7 Attack 1							*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	-6.9-1.5-1.4+5.6+6.1+6.1		-1.0-0.4-0.4+0.9+0.9+0.9		+3.9+0.6*+0.5-3.3-3.3-3.4		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.6+0.6
Canadiens vs ELe							+0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tankers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

62	-76						In		99.5	%	100															No		599	*
61		28	7		-	1	In		96.9		100	0														No		480	*
60		27	7		-	2	In		96.2		99	1														No		866	*
59		27	8		-	1	In		92.7		98	2														No		1,472	*
58		26	8		-	2	In		88.1		96	4														No		2,537	*
57		26	9		-	1	In		80.8		93	7	0													No		3,919	*
56		25	9		-	2	In		70.4		89	11	0													No		6,469	*
55		24	9		-	3	In		56.8		81	17	1	0												No		9,440	*
54		24	10		-	2	In		41.9		71	26	3	0												No		13,638	*
53		23	10		-	3	In		26.4		59	34	6	0	0											No		18,733	*
52		23	11		-	2	In		13.6		44	41	13	2	0											No		25,694	*
51		22	11		-	3	In		5.5		30	43	21	5	0	0										No		33,478	*
50		22	12		-	2	In		1.5		17	39	31	11	2	0	0									No		42,723	*
49		21	12		-	3	In		0.3		8	28	36	21	6	1	0									No		52,000	*
48		21	13		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		3	17	34	30	13	3	0	0	0							No		31,531
		20	12		-	4	In		0.0		2	14	30	32	17	5	1	0								No		30,676	*
47		20	13		-	3	100.0		No		0	4	17	31	29	14	4	0	0	0						No		43,667	*
		21	14		-	1	100.0		0.0		1	8	24	33	24	9	2	0	0							No		27,308	*
46		20	14		-	2	99.9		No		0	2	9	25	32	23	8	1	0	0						No		40,254
		19	13		-	4	99.6		No		0	1	7	20	31	25	12	3	0	0						No		39,625	*
45		19	14		-	3	97.7		No		0	0	2	8	22	31	24	10	2	0						No		39,536
		20	15		-	1	97.4		No		0	0	2	11	24	30	22	9	2	0	0					No		46,406	*
44		19	15		-	2	92.6		No			0	0	3	13	27	30	19	6	1	0	0				No		56,657	*
		18	14		-	4	82.5		No			0	0	1	6	19	30	27	13	4	0	0	0			No		34,627	*
43		18	15		-	3	61.3		No				0	0	2	8	21	31	25	11	3	0	0			No		59,840	*
		19	16		-	1	77.5		No				0	1	4	15	28	29	17	5	1	0				No		32,802
42		18	16		-	2	41.6		No					0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0		No		46,205
		17	15		-	4	31.6		No					0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	3	0	0		No		47,193	*
41		17	16		-	3	11.5		No						0	0	2	9	23	32	23	9	2	0		No		40,965
		18	17		-	1	14.9		No						0	0	3	11	24	30	21	8	2	0	0	0.0	%	47,962	*
40		17	17		-	2	4.3		No						0	0	1	4	14	28	30	18	5	1	0	0.0		51,679	*
		16	16		-	4	1.3		No							0	0	1	7	21	32	26	10	2	0	0.1		32,046	*
39		16	17		-	3	0.3		No								0	0	3	12	27	32	19	5	0	0.8		35,177
		17	18		-	1	0.7		No								0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0.9		41,018	*
38		16	18		-	2	0.1		No									0	1	5	19	33	29	11	2	4.7		33,661
		15	17		-	4	0.1		No									0	1	4	15	30	32	16	3	8.8		33,942	*
37		15	18		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	7	23	36	26	7	23.9		57,092	*
36		15	19		-	2	Out		No										0	0	2	13	32	37	15	50.1		48,713	*
35		14	19		-	3	Out		No											0	1	6	24	43	27	75.3		38,576	*
34		14	20		-	2	Out		No												0	2	14	42	41	90.6		30,379	*
33		13	20		-	3	Out		No												0	1	7	36	56	96.9		23,525	*
32		13	21		-	2	Out		No													0	4	28	68	99.3		17,407	*
31		12	21		-	3	Out		No													0	2	19	79	99.8		12,366	*
30		12	22		-	2	Out		No													0	1	13	86	100.0		8,450	*
29		11	22		-	3	Out		No														0	9	91	100.0		5,838	*
28		11	23		-	2	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		3,788	*
27		10	23		-	3	Out		No															4	96	Yes		2,270	*
26		10	24		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		1,478	*
25		9	24		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		852	*
4	-24						Out		No																100	Yes		1,161	*

Total:							51.7	%	2.6	%	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	13.0	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4	*-0.0
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	*-0.0
W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Knights vs Tankers	+1.5+0.4+0.4-1.3-1.3-1.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

63	-76						100
62		28	6		-	2	99	1
61		28	7		-	1	97	3
60		27	7		-	2	96	4
59		27	8		-	1	93	7	0
58		26	8		-	2	88	11	1	0
57		26	9		-	1	81	17	2	0
56		25	9		-	2	70	26	3	0
55		24	9		-	3	57	34	8	1	0
54		24	10		-	2	42	39	15	3	0	0
53		23	10		-	3	26	39	25	8	1	0	0	0
52		23	11		-	2	14	32	31	16	5	1	0	0
51		22	11		-	3	6	20	31	26	13	4	1	0	0	0
50		22	12		-	2	2	9	21	28	23	13	4	1	0	0	0
49		21	12		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
48		21	13		-	2	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
47		20	13		-	3	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
46		20	14		-	2			0	0	1	2	7	15	22	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
45		19	14		-	3					0	0	0	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
		20	15		-	1				0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
44		19	15		-	2						0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
		18	14		-	4							0	0	0	1	5	11	20	24	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
43		18	15		-	3									0	0	1	3	7	15	22	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
		19	16		-	1								0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
42		18	16		-	2											0	0	1	5	11	18	23	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
		17	15		-	4										0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	21	15	8	3	1	0	0
41		17	16		-	3												0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
		18	17		-	1											0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
40		17	17		-	2														0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
		16	16		-	4														0	0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
39		16	17		-	3																0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
38		16	18		-	2																0	0	0	0	2	5	12	21	25	20	11	4	1	0	0
		15	17		-	4																	0	0	0	1	4	9	17	23	23	15	7	2	0	0
37		15	18		-	3																		0	0	0	1	3	8	17	24	24	16	6	1	0
36		15	19		-	2																				0	0	0	2	6	16	25	26	17	6	1
35		14	19		-	3																						0	0	1	6	17	28	28	16	4
34		14	20		-	2																							0	0	2	7	20	32	28	10
33		13	20		-	3																							0	0	0	3	11	28	37	21
32		13	21		-	2																								0	0	1	5	19	40	35
31		12	21		-	3																										0	2	10	37	51
30		12	22		-	2																									0	0	1	6	30	63
29		11	22		-	3																										0	0	3	23	74
28		11	23		-	2																											0	1	15	83
27		10	23		-	3																												0	12	88
26		10	24		-	2																												0	6	94
25		9	24		-	3																													3	97
24		9	25		-	2																													2	98
22	-23																																			100
21		7	26		-	3																													2	98
4	-20																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3