Litija Turtles Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 45.4%

2 points 1 2-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	+0.5-0.2+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.5		+0.1-0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Turtles finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

62	-76						In		99.3	%	100															No		440	*
61		29	7		-	1	In		98.8		99	1														No		339	*
60		28	7		-	2	In		95.2		99	1														No		582	*
59		28	8		-	1	In		93.9		98	2														No		970	*
58		27	8		-	2	In		88.5		96	4	0													No		1,776	*
57		26	8		-	3	In		81.9		93	7														No		2,811	*
56		26	9		-	2	In		70.8		89	11	0													No		4,516	*
55		25	9		-	3	In		57.8		82	17	1	0												No		7,028	*
54		25	10		-	2	In		42.9		72	25	3	0												No		10,255	*
53		24	10		-	3	In		26.4		59	34	6	0												No		14,501	*
52		24	11		-	2	In		14.3		45	41	12	2	0											No		20,103	*
51		23	11		-	3	In		5.5		30	43	21	5	0	0										No		26,970	*
50		23	12		-	2	In		1.7		17	39	31	11	2	0	0									No		34,887	*
49		22	12		-	3	In		0.2		8	28	36	21	7	1	0	0								No		43,251	*
48		22	13		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		3	15	32	31	15	4	1	0	0							No		52,851	*
47		21	13		-	3	100.0		No		1	6	20	32	26	12	3	0	0	0						No		62,275	*
46		21	14		-	2	99.7		No		0	1	8	22	31	24	10	2	0	0	0					No		71,957	*
45		20	14		-	3	97.6		No			0	2	9	22	32	23	10	2	0	0					No		36,510
		21	15		-	1	97.4		No			0	2	11	23	30	21	9	2	0	0	0				No		42,599	*
44		20	15		-	2	92.2		No		0	0	0	3	13	26	30	19	7	1	0					No		51,756	*
		19	14		-	4	82.5		No			0	0	1	6	18	30	27	13	4	0	0				No		33,960	*
43		19	15		-	3	65.3		No				0	0	2	9	23	31	23	9	2	0	0	0		No		41,825
		20	16		-	1	66.9		No				0	0	3	11	24	29	21	9	2	0	0			No		48,034	*
42		19	16		-	2	41.3		No					0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0		No		45,165
		18	15		-	4	31.3		No				0	0	0	2	9	20	29	25	11	3	0	0		No		47,348	*
41		18	16		-	3	13.2		No						0	0	2	10	23	31	22	9	2	0	0	0.0	%	91,267	*
40		18	17		-	2	3.8		No						0	0	0	3	13	28	31	18	6	1	0	0.0		42,893
		17	16		-	4	2.5		No							0	0	2	9	23	31	24	9	2	0	0.1		45,100	*
39		17	17		-	3	0.3		No								0	0	3	12	27	32	19	5	0	0.8		38,114
		18	18		-	1	0.7		No								0	1	4	14	28	31	18	5	0	0.9		44,012	*
38		17	18		-	2	0.1		No									0	1	5	16	31	31	14	2	6.6		75,274	*
37		16	18		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	7	23	36	26	7	23.7		66,249	*
36		16	19		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	0	2	12	33	37	15	50.6		57,067	*
35		15	19		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	6	23	43	27	75.2		47,360	*
34		15	20		-	2	Out		No											0	0	2	14	42	41	90.3		38,675	*
33		14	20		-	3	Out		No												0	1	7	36	56	96.9		30,394	*
32		14	21		-	2	Out		No													0	3	27	69	99.2		23,239	*
31		13	21		-	3	Out		No													0	1	20	79	99.8		17,372	*
30		13	22		-	2	Out		No														1	13	86	100.0		12,427	*
29		12	22		-	3	Out		No														0	8	92	Yes		8,681	*
28		12	23		-	2	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		5,883	*
27		11	23		-	3	Out		No															2	98	Yes		3,832	*
26		11	24		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		2,493	*
25		10	24		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,525	*
24		10	25		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		913	*
23		9	25		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		512	*
22		9	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		297	*
21		8	26		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		143	*
20		8	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		92	*
2	-19						Out		No																100	Yes		197	*

Total:							45.4	%	2.0	%	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	8	9	16.8	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Juice 3 Steam 0	*-0.0

Sunday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-76						100
63		30	6		-	1	99	1
62		29	6		-	2	99	1
61		29	7		-	1	99	1
60		28	7		-	2	95	4	0
59		28	8		-	1	94	6	0
58		27	8		-	2	89	11	1
57		26	8		-	3	82	17	1	0
56		26	9		-	2	71	25	4	0
55		25	9		-	3	58	33	8	1	0
54		25	10		-	2	43	39	15	3	0
53		24	10		-	3	26	40	24	8	2	0	0
52		24	11		-	2	14	33	31	16	5	1	0	0
51		23	11		-	3	5	21	31	25	13	4	1	0	0
50		23	12		-	2	2	9	21	28	23	12	4	1	0	0	0
49		22	12		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	22	14	5	2	0	0	0
48		22	13		-	2	0	0	2	7	16	24	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
47		21	13		-	3		0	0	1	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
46		21	14		-	2			0	0	1	3	9	17	24	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
		20	13		-	4			0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	11	5	2	0	0
45		20	14		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
44		20	15		-	2						0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
43		19	15		-	3							0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
42		19	16		-	2										0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
		18	15		-	4												0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
41		18	16		-	3											0	0	0	0	1	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
40		18	17		-	2													0	0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
		17	16		-	4															0	0	1	3	8	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
39		17	17		-	3															0	0	0	1	3	7	15	21	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
38		17	18		-	2																		0	0	1	5	12	21	25	20	11	4	1	0	0
		16	17		-	4																	0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	23	15	7	2	0	0
37		16	18		-	3																			0	0	1	3	8	17	24	24	16	6	2	0
36		16	19		-	2																				0	0	0	2	6	16	25	26	17	6	1
35		15	19		-	3																					0	0	0	2	7	16	27	28	16	4
34		15	20		-	2																						0	0	0	2	8	20	33	28	10
33		14	20		-	3																							0	0	0	3	11	28	38	21
32		14	21		-	2																								0	0	1	4	19	41	35
31		13	21		-	3																										0	2	11	37	50
30		13	22		-	2																										0	1	6	30	64
29		12	22		-	3																											0	3	22	75
28		12	23		-	2																												1	15	84
27		11	23		-	3																												0	9	91
26		11	24		-	2																												0	6	94
25		10	24		-	3																												0	4	96
24		10	25		-	2																												0	2	98
23		9	25		-	3																													1	99
22		9	26		-	2																													1	99
21		8	26		-	3																													1	99
20		8	27		-	2																													2	98
2	-19																																			100

Total:							2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4