East End Attack Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Lost to Fighting Hawks 1-7, playoff odds down 6.8 to 40.1%

0 points 0 2-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Hawks 7 Attack 1	-7.0		-0.9		+4.3		-0.7
Juice 3 Steam 0							*+0.0
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4							*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	-0.4-0.5-0.1+0.3+0.0+0.5						-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Attack finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

61	-76						In		99.4	%	100															No		484	*
60		29	7		-	2	In		95.8		98	2														No		379	*
59		28	7		-	3	In		93.0		97	3														No		689	*
58		28	8		-	2	In		89.0		96	4														No		1,193	*
57		27	8		-	3	In		81.6		91	9	0													No		1,978	*
56		27	9		-	2	In		71.3		86	14	1	0												No		3,166	*
55		26	9		-	3	In		57.5		78	20	2	0												No		4,969	*
54		26	10		-	2	In		41.7		67	29	4	0												No		7,574	*
53		25	10		-	3	In		26.5		53	38	8	1	0											No		10,877	*
52		25	11		-	2	In		14.3		41	42	15	2	0	0										No		15,351	*
51		24	11		-	3	In		5.2		26	44	24	6	1	0										No		21,029	*
50		24	12		-	2	In		1.5		15	37	33	13	2	0	0									No		27,735	*
49		23	12		-	3	100.0	%	0.2		6	26	36	23	7	1	0	0	0							No		35,773	*
48		23	13		-	2	In		0.0		2	14	30	32	17	5	1	0								No		44,640	*
47		22	13		-	3	100.0		0.0		0	5	18	32	28	13	3	0	0							No		53,421	*
46		22	14		-	2	99.8		No		0	1	9	24	32	23	9	1	0	0						No		30,812
		21	13		-	4	99.5		No		0	1	6	19	30	26	13	3	1	0						No		32,406	*
45		21	14		-	3	97.6		No		0	0	2	9	23	31	23	10	2	0	0					No		71,183	*
44		21	15		-	2	92.2		No			0	0	3	12	27	31	20	7	1	0	0				No		37,988
		20	14		-	4	86.2		No			0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0				No		40,989	*
43		20	15		-	3	67.5		No				0	0	2	10	24	32	23	8	2	0	0			No		39,674
		21	16		-	1	69.4		No				0	0	3	12	25	29	20	8	2	0	0			No		45,540	*
42		20	16		-	2	47.1		No					0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0			No		52,181	*
		19	15		-	4	28.4		No					0	0	1	7	20	32	26	11	3	0	0		No		37,473	*
41		19	16		-	3	12.1		No						0	0	2	10	24	31	23	9	2	0	0	0.0	%	61,979	*
		20	17		-	1	23.4		No					0	0	1	5	17	30	28	14	4	0	0		No		29,280
40		19	17		-	2	5.8		No						0	0	1	5	17	30	29	14	4	0	0	0.0		52,118	*
		18	16		-	4	2.1		No								0	2	9	24	33	23	8	1	0	0.1		38,082	*
39		18	17		-	3	0.5		No								0	1	4	15	30	31	15	3	0	0.8		40,360
		19	18		-	1	1.0		No								0	1	5	17	29	29	15	4	0	1.1		46,181	*
38		18	18		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	8	23	34	25	8	1	4.8		38,489
		17	17		-	4	0.1		No									0	1	5	18	32	30	12	2	9.3		42,480	*
37		17	18		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	9	26	36	22	5	25.3		34,506
		18	19		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	2	10	27	35	21	5	24.4		39,259	*
36		17	19		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	16	35	33	11	51.8		65,261	*
35		16	19		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	8	28	42	22	76.5		56,209	*
34		16	20		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	18	44	35	91.3		46,945	*
33		15	20		-	3	Out		No												0	1	11	39	48	97.2		38,088	*
32		15	21		-	2	Out		No												0	0	5	33	62	99.3		30,379	*
31		14	21		-	3	Out		No													0	3	24	73	99.8		23,539	*
30		14	22		-	2	Out		No													0	1	17	82	99.9		17,747	*
29		13	22		-	3	Out		No													0	0	12	88	100.0		12,671	*
28		13	23		-	2	Out		No														0	8	92	Yes		8,972	*
27		12	23		-	3	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		5,944	*
26		12	24		-	2	Out		No														0	3	97	Yes		4,127	*
25		11	24		-	3	Out		No															2	98	Yes		2,699	*
24		11	25		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,607	*
23		10	25		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		915	*
22		10	26		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		564	*
0	-21						Out		No																100	Yes		815	*

Total:							40.1	%	1.4	%	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	9	10	11	21.5	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Fighting Hawks 7 Attack 1	+1.4
Juice 3 Steam 0	*-0.0
W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1	*-0.0

Sunday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

63	-76						100
62		30	6		-	2	99	1
61		30	7		-	1	99	1
60		29	7		-	2	96	4
59		28	7		-	3	93	7	0
58		28	8		-	2	89	11	0
57		27	8		-	3	82	17	2	0
56		27	9		-	2	71	25	3	0
55		26	9		-	3	57	34	8	1	0
54		26	10		-	2	42	40	15	3	0	0
53		25	10		-	3	26	39	25	8	2	0		0
52		25	11		-	2	14	33	31	16	5	1	0	0
51		24	11		-	3	5	20	30	26	13	4	1	0	0	0
50		24	12		-	2	2	9	21	28	23	13	4	1	0	0
49		23	12		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	23	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
48		23	13		-	2	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
47		22	13		-	3	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
46		22	14		-	2			0	0	1	3	7	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
45		21	14		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
44		21	15		-	2						0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0	0
		20	14		-	4								0	0	1	5	11	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0
43		20	15		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	15	7	3	1	0	0		0
42		20	16		-	2										0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	1	0	0	0
		19	15		-	4											0	0	1	3	8	14	20	21	17	10	4	1	0	0
41		19	16		-	3										0		0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
40		19	17		-	2														0	0	1	2	8	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
		18	16		-	4															0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
39		18	17		-	3														0	0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	9	3	1	0	0	0
38		18	18		-	2																	0	0	0	1	5	12	21	25	20	11	4	1	0	0
		17	17		-	4																	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
37		17	18		-	3																		0	0	0	1	2	7	16	24	24	16	7	2	0
36		17	19		-	2																				0	0	0	2	6	15	25	27	17	7	1
35		16	19		-	3																					0	0	0	2	6	16	27	29	17	4
34		16	20		-	2																							0	0	2	7	19	32	29	11
33		15	20		-	3																								0	0	2	10	27	38	22
32		15	21		-	2																									0	1	4	18	41	37
31		14	21		-	3																									0	0	1	10	37	51
30		14	22		-	2																										0	0	5	29	65
29		13	22		-	3																										0	0	2	21	76
28		13	23		-	2																											0	1	15	84
27		12	23		-	3																												0	9	90
26		12	24		-	2																												0	6	94
25		11	24		-	3																												0	4	96
24		11	25		-	2																												0	2	98
23		10	25		-	3																													2	98
22		10	26		-	2																													1	99
21		9	26		-	3																													0	100
17	-20																																			100
16		7	29		-	2																													7	93
0	-15																																			100

Total:							1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6