Portland Knights Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 40.2%

0 points 0 2-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1					*-0.2		*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	+5.7+5.5+5.8-1.6-1.5-6.4		+0.6+0.6+0.4-0.2-0.3-0.6		-4.5-4.1-4.4+0.8+1.1+5.1		+0.6+0.5+0.6-0.1-0.2-0.7

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Knights finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

62	-76						In		99.7	%	100															No		315	*
61		30	7		-	1	In		98.2		100	0														No		219	*
60		29	7		-	2	In		95.3		97	3														No		361	*
59		29	8		-	1	In		91.7		97	3														No		627	*
58		28	8		-	2	In		90.6		96	4														No		1,211	*
57		27	8		-	3	In		83.3		92	8	0													No		1,861	*
56		27	9		-	2	In		71.4		87	13	1													No		3,287	*
55		26	9		-	3	In		58.5		79	20	1	0												No		5,052	*
54		26	10		-	2	In		43.8		68	28	3	0												No		7,692	*
53		25	10		-	3	In		28.0		56	36	7	1	0											No		10,963	*
52		25	11		-	2	In		14.4		41	42	14	2	0											No		15,616	*
51		24	11		-	3	In		5.5		27	43	24	6	1	0										No		20,936	*
50		24	12		-	2	In		1.6		15	37	32	13	2	0	0									No		27,961	*
49		23	12		-	3	In		0.3		7	26	36	22	7	1	0	0								No		35,577	*
48		23	13		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		2	14	31	32	16	5	1	0	0							No		44,353	*
47		22	13		-	3	100.0		No		0	5	19	32	27	13	3	0	0							No		53,308	*
46		22	14		-	2	99.8		No		0	2	9	24	32	22	9	2	0	0						No		30,652
		21	13		-	4	99.5		No		0	1	6	19	30	27	13	3	0	0						No		32,313	*
45		21	14		-	3	97.5		No		0	0	2	9	23	31	23	10	2	0	0					No		71,882	*
44		21	15		-	2	90.1		No				0	2	11	25	30	21	8	2	0	0	0			No		44,985	*
		20	14		-	4	87.6		No			0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	2	0	0				No		34,261	*
43		20	15		-	3	67.7		No				0	0	2	10	24	32	22	8	2	0	0			No		39,760
		21	16		-	1	68.9		No				0	0	3	12	24	29	21	8	2	0	0			No		45,664	*
42		20	16		-	2	46.8		No					0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0			No		52,303	*
		19	15		-	4	28.8		No					0	0	1	7	20	31	26	11	3	0	0		No		37,383	*
41		19	16		-	3	15.7		No					0	0	0	3	12	26	30	20	7	1	0	0	No		91,231	*
40		19	17		-	2	5.3		No							0	1	5	16	29	30	15	4	0	0	0.0	%	42,867
		18	16		-	4	3.5		No						0	0	0	3	12	25	31	21	7	1	0	0.1		47,007	*
39		18	17		-	3	0.7		No							0	0	1	5	16	30	30	15	3	0	1.0		85,990	*
38		18	18		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	8	22	34	25	9	1	4.7		38,589
		17	17		-	4	0.1		No									0	1	5	18	32	29	12	2	9.2		42,641	*
37		17	18		-	3	0.0		No								0	0	0	2	9	27	36	22	4	24.8		34,170
		18	19		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	2	11	27	35	21	5	24.4		39,384	*
36		17	19		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	4	18	36	32	9	46.7		31,398
		16	18		-	4	Out		No										0	0	3	14	34	35	13	56.0		33,983	*
35		16	19		-	3	Out		No											0	1	8	28	41	21	76.1		55,947	*
34		16	20		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	19	44	34	90.8		47,483	*
33		15	20		-	3	Out		No												0	1	11	40	48	97.2		38,085	*
32		15	21		-	2	Out		No												0	0	6	34	60	99.3		30,184	*
31		14	21		-	3	Out		No													0	3	25	72	99.8		23,165	*
30		14	22		-	2	Out		No													0	1	18	81	100.0		17,506	*
29		13	22		-	3	Out		No													0	0	12	87	Yes		12,663	*
28		13	23		-	2	Out		No														0	8	92	Yes		9,150	*
27		12	23		-	3	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		6,008	*
26		12	24		-	2	Out		No														0	3	97	Yes		4,156	*
25		11	24		-	3	Out		No															2	98	Yes		2,611	*
24		11	25		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,594	*
23		10	25		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		1,008	*
22		10	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		584	*
0	-21						Out		No																100	Yes		774	*

Total:							40.2	%	1.5	%	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	9	10	11	21.4	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Knights vs Tankers	-1.3-1.2-1.2+0.3+0.4+1.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

63	-76						100
62		30	6		-	2	99	1
61		30	7		-	1	98	2
60		29	7		-	2	95	5
59		29	8		-	1	92	8
58		28	8		-	2	91	9	1
57		27	8		-	3	83	15	2
56		27	9		-	2	71	25	3	0	0
55		26	9		-	3	58	33	8	1	0
54		26	10		-	2	44	39	14	3	1	0
53		25	10		-	3	28	40	23	8	1	0	0
52		25	11		-	2	14	33	31	16	5	1	0
51		24	11		-	3	6	21	31	26	12	4	1	0	0
50		24	12		-	2	2	9	21	27	23	12	4	1	0	0	0
49		23	12		-	3	0	2	9	19	25	22	13	6	2	0	0
48		23	13		-	2	0	0	2	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
47		22	13		-	3		0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
46		22	14		-	2			0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	14	7	2	0	0	0	0
		21	13		-	4				0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
45		21	14		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
44		21	15		-	2							0	0	1	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
		20	14		-	4						0	0	0	1	3	7	14	20	22	17	10	4	1	0	0
43		20	15		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0
42		20	16		-	2										0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
41		19	16		-	3											0	0	0	0	1	3	9	18	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0
		20	17		-	1												0	0	0	2	5	11	18	21	19	13	7	3	1	0	0
40		19	17		-	2														0	0	1	2	7	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
		18	16		-	4														0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	1	0	0	0
39		18	17		-	3																0	0	1	2	7	15	21	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
38		18	18		-	2																	0	0	0	2	5	13	21	24	19	10	4	1	0	0
		17	17		-	4																		0	0	0	2	7	15	23	25	18	8	2	0	0
37		17	18		-	3																		0	0	0	0	2	7	16	24	26	17	7	1	0
		18	19		-	1																			0	0	1	3	8	16	24	24	16	7	2	0
36		17	19		-	2																				0	0	0	2	7	17	26	26	15	5	1
		16	18		-	4																				0	0	0	2	5	13	24	27	19	8	1
35		16	19		-	3																					0	0	0	2	6	16	27	28	16	4
34		16	20		-	2																							0	0	2	7	20	32	29	10
33		15	20		-	3																								0	0	2	10	27	38	22
32		15	21		-	2																								0	0	1	5	18	41	36
31		14	21		-	3																										0	2	10	37	51
30		14	22		-	2																									0	0	0	5	29	65
29		13	22		-	3																											0	3	21	76
28		13	23		-	2																											0	1	14	85
27		12	23		-	3																											0	0	9	90
26		12	24		-	2																												0	6	94
25		11	24		-	3																												0	3	96
24		11	25		-	2																												0	2	98
23		10	25		-	3																													1	99
22		10	26		-	2																													1	99
0	-21																																			100

Total:							1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6