Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Ruzinov Mafiosos Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Lost to Buffalo 5-6, playoff odds down 6.3 to 58.5%

4 points 2 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	-6.3		-1.9		+2.5		-0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	+0.5-0.0+0.3-0.6-0.3-0.5						+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mafiosos finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

64	-78						In		Yes		100															No		404	*
63		29	7		-	1	In		98.9	%	100	0														No		281	*
62		28	7		-	2	In		98.7		100	0														No		600	*
61		27	7		-	3	In		98.3		100	0														No		987	*
60		27	8		-	2	In		95.6		99	1														No		1,733	*
59		27	9		-	1	In		92.5		98	2														No		2,776	*
58		26	9		-	2	In		88.5		96	3	0													No		4,543	*
57		25	9		-	3	In		80.6		93	6	0													No		6,955	*
56		25	10		-	2	In		70.0		88	11	0	0												No		10,066	*
55		24	10		-	3	In		57.4		82	17	1	0												No		14,503	*
54		24	11		-	2	In		41.9		72	25	3	0	0											No		20,144	*
53		23	11		-	3	In		26.6		60	33	6	0	0											No		26,552	*
52		23	12		-	2	In		13.6		45	41	12	2	0											No		34,640	*
51		22	12		-	3	In		5.4		30	43	22	5	0	0										No		43,560	*
50		22	13		-	2	In		1.4		17	39	31	11	2	0	0									No		53,093	*
49		21	13		-	3	In		0.3		8	28	36	21	6	1	0									No		62,399	*
48		21	14		-	2	In		0.0		3	17	33	30	13	3	0	0								No		35,365
		20	13		-	4	In		0.0		2	13	30	32	18	5	1	0								No		36,248	*
47		20	14		-	3	100.0	%	No		0	5	19	32	28	13	3	0	0							No		36,562
		21	15		-	1	100.0		0.0		1	6	21	32	25	12	3	0	0							No		42,565	*
46		20	15		-	2	99.9		No		0	2	9	24	32	22	8	2	0	0						No		42,086
		19	14		-	4	99.5		No		0	1	7	20	30	26	12	3	0	0						No		43,723	*
45		19	15		-	3	97.5		No		0	0	2	10	23	31	23	10	2	0	0					No		90,116	*
44		19	16		-	2	92.0		No			0	0	3	13	26	30	19	7	1	0	0				No		55,678	*
		18	15		-	4	82.4		No				0	1	6	18	30	27	14	3	0	0	0			No		36,576	*
43		18	16		-	3	60.1		No				0	0	1	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0			No		60,737	*
		19	17		-	1	77.3		No				0	1	4	15	28	29	17	5	1	0				No		30,947
42		18	17		-	2	40.7		No					0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0		No		42,760
		17	16		-	4	31.0		No				0	0	0	2	8	20	30	24	12	3	0	0		No		45,420	*
41		17	17		-	3	11.1		No						0	0	2	9	23	31	23	9	2	0		No		38,044
		18	18		-	1	14.7		No						0	0	3	11	24	30	21	9	2	0		0.0	%	43,691	*
40		17	18		-	2	3.8		No							0	0	3	13	27	31	19	6	1	0	0.0		36,747
		16	17		-	4	2.6		No							0	0	2	9	22	31	24	9	2	0	0.1		38,462	*
39		16	18		-	3	0.3		No								0	0	3	12	27	33	19	5	0	0.9		30,613
		17	19		-	1	0.6		No								0	1	4	14	28	30	18	5	1	1.0		35,517	*
38		16	19		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	5	17	31	31	14	2	6.9		56,883	*
37		15	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	7	23	36	26	7	23.9		47,499	*
36		15	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	2	13	32	37	15	50.7		38,432	*
35		14	20		-	3	Out		No											0	1	6	24	43	27	75.5		30,461	*
34		14	21		-	2	Out		No												0	2	14	42	41	90.8		23,440	*
33		13	21		-	3	Out		No											0	0	1	8	36	56	97.1		17,619	*
32		13	22		-	2	Out		No													0	3	29	68	99.2		12,569	*
31		12	22		-	3	Out		No													0	1	20	79	99.9		8,670	*
30		12	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	15	85	99.9		5,968	*
29		11	23		-	3	Out		No														0	9	91	Yes		3,970	*
28		11	24		-	2	Out		No														0	6	94	Yes		2,507	*
27		10	24		-	3	Out		No															3	97	Yes		1,434	*
26		10	25		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		909	*
25		9	25		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		510	*
4	-24						Out		No																100	Yes		756	*

Total:							58.5	%	4.0	%	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	5	9.9	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	+1.4
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6	*-0.0
Icicles 3 Prairie Storm 2	*-0.0
Juice 3 Steam 0	*-0.0

Sunday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-78						100
63		29	7		-	1	99	1
62		28	7		-	2	99	1
61		27	7		-	3	98	2
60		27	8		-	2	96	4	0
59		27	9		-	1	92	7	0
58		26	9		-	2	89	11	1	0
57		25	9		-	3	81	18	2	0
56		25	10		-	2	70	26	4	0	0
55		24	10		-	3	57	34	8	1	0	0
54		24	11		-	2	42	39	15	3	0	0
53		23	11		-	3	27	40	24	8	2	0	0
52		23	12		-	2	14	32	32	16	5	1	0	0
51		22	12		-	3	5	20	30	26	13	5	1	0	0
50		22	13		-	2	1	8	21	28	23	13	4	1	0	0	0
49		21	13		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	23	14	6	2	0	0
48		21	14		-	2	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
47		20	14		-	3	0	0	0	1	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
46		20	15		-	2		0	0	0	1	3	9	18	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
		19	14		-	4				0	0	1	3	9	18	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0
45		19	15		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	9	16	21	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
44		19	16		-	2						0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	1	0	0	0
		18	15		-	4							0	0	0	1	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
43		18	16		-	3									0	0	0	2	7	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
		19	17		-	1								0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
42		18	17		-	2									0	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
		17	16		-	4										0	0	0	1	3	8	14	20	21	17	10	4	1	0	0
41		17	17		-	3											0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
40		17	18		-	2													0	0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
39		16	18		-	3															0	0	0	0	2	6	13	22	24	19	10	3	1	0	0
		17	19		-	1																0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	4	1	0	0
38		16	19		-	2																	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	24	22	13	5	1	0	0
37		15	19		-	3																			0	0	1	3	8	16	25	24	16	6	1	0
36		15	20		-	2																				0	0	0	2	7	16	25	26	17	6	1
35		14	20		-	3																					0	0	0	1	6	17	27	28	16	4
34		14	21		-	2																							0	0	2	7	20	32	28	10
33		13	21		-	3																							0	0	0	2	11	28	38	21
32		13	22		-	2																									0	1	4	19	42	34
31		12	22		-	3																										0	1	11	37	50
30		12	23		-	2																										0	1	6	30	63
29		11	23		-	3																											0	3	23	74
28		11	24		-	2																												1	15	83
27		10	24		-	3																												0	11	88
26		10	25		-	2																												0	6	93
25		9	25		-	3																													5	95
24		9	26		-	2																													1	99
23		8	26		-	3																													1	99
22		8	27		-	2																														100
21		8	28		-	1																													3	97
4	-20																																			100

Total:							4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2