Enschede Saxon Steeds Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 63.9%

5 points 2 0-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5			*+0.0
Icicles 3 Prairie Storm 2			*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	+0.4+0.3+0.1*-0.4-0.5-0.4		+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Canadiens vs ELe			+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Saxon Steeds finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

63	-79						In		99.7	%	100															No		1,285	*
62		28	8		-	1	In		98.9		100	0														No		1,046	*
61		27	8		-	2	In		96.7		99	1														No		1,805	*
60		26	8		-	3	In		95.6		99	1														No		2,854	*
59		26	9		-	2	In		91.7		97	3	0													No		4,401	*
58		25	9		-	3	In		86.9		96	4	0													No		6,650	*
57		25	10		-	2	In		79.3		92	7	0													No		10,330	*
56		24	10		-	3	In		68.2		88	11	0													No		14,253	*
55		24	11		-	2	In		54.6		80	18	1	0	0											No		20,023	*
54		23	11		-	3	In		38.3		70	27	3	0												No		26,659	*
53		23	12		-	2	In		23.5		57	35	7	1	0											No		34,658	*
52		22	12		-	3	In		11.6		42	42	14	2	0	0										No		43,485	*
51		22	13		-	2	In		4.3		28	43	23	5	1	0										No		52,829	*
50		21	13		-	3	In		0.9		14	37	34	14	2	0	0									No		28,975
		22	14		-	1	In		1.3		16	38	32	11	2	0	0									No		33,513	*
49		21	14		-	2	In		0.2		6	26	36	23	7	1	0	0								No		71,596	*
48		20	14		-	3	100.0	%	0.0		2	11	30	33	18	5	1	0	0							No		38,398	*
		21	15		-	1	In		0.0		2	15	32	30	16	4	1	0								No		40,263	*
47		20	15		-	2	100.0		No		1	5	19	32	27	12	3	0	0							No		42,366
		19	14		-	4	99.9		0.0		0	4	16	30	29	15	4	1	0							No		44,008	*
46		19	15		-	3	99.5		No		0	1	5	19	31	27	13	3	0	0	0					No		41,630
		20	16		-	1	99.5		No		0	1	8	21	31	25	11	3	0	0						No		48,663	*
45		19	16		-	2	97.5		No		0	0	2	9	23	31	23	9	2	0	0					No		62,205	*
		18	15		-	4	95.5		No			0	1	5	17	30	28	14	4	1	0	0				No		30,494	*
44		18	16		-	3	84.7		No			0	0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0				No		42,465
		19	17		-	1	86.8		No			0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	3	0	0				No		48,849	*
43		18	17		-	2	68.3		No				0	0	3	11	24	31	22	8	2	0	0			No		52,673	*
		17	16		-	4	51.6		No					0	1	5	17	29	28	15	4	1	0			No		35,299	*
42		17	17		-	3	25.7		No					0	0	1	6	18	30	27	13	3	0	0	0	No		54,490	*
		18	18		-	1	42.8		No				0	0	0	3	13	26	30	19	7	1	0			No		27,756
41		17	18		-	2	13.8		No						0	0	3	11	25	31	21	8	1	0	0	No		44,951	*
		16	17		-	4	6.0		No							0	1	5	17	31	28	14	3	0	0	0.0	%	30,094	*
40		16	18		-	3	1.6		No							0	0	1	8	22	33	24	10	2	0	0.1		30,719
		17	19		-	1	2.7		No							0	0	2	11	24	31	22	8	1	0	0.1		35,220	*
39		16	19		-	2	0.4		No								0	0	3	13	27	32	19	5	0	0.8		27,845
		15	18		-	4	0.3		No							0	0	0	2	10	25	32	22	8	1	1.8		29,369	*
38		15	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	4	14	31	32	16	3	9.0		47,562	*
37		15	20		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	6	21	36	28	8	28.7		38,622	*
36		14	20		-	3	Out		No										0	0	2	11	31	39	17	55.9		30,299	*
35		14	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	5	22	43	30	78.9		23,334	*
34		13	21		-	3	Out		No												0	2	12	41	45	92.5		17,358	*
33		13	22		-	2	Out		No												0	1	6	35	59	97.9		12,538	*
32		12	22		-	3	Out		No													0	3	26	71	99.6		8,791	*
31		12	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	18	80	99.8		6,079	*
30		11	23		-	3	Out		No														0	12	88	100.0		3,859	*
29		11	24		-	2	Out		No														0	7	93	Yes		2,450	*
28		10	24		-	3	Out		No														0	4	95	Yes		1,462	*
27		10	25		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		986	*
26		9	25		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		505	*
5	-25						Out		No																100	Yes		756	*

Total:							63.9	%	5.3	%	11	9	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	7.7	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1	*-0.0
Icicles 3 Prairie Storm 2	*-0.0

Sunday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

65	-79						100
64		29	7		-	1	100	0
63		28	7		-	2	99	1
62		28	8		-	1	99	1
61		27	8		-	2	97	3
60		26	8		-	3	96	4	0
59		26	9		-	2	92	8	0
58		25	9		-	3	87	12	1	0
57		25	10		-	2	79	19	2	0
56		24	10		-	3	68	28	4	0	0
55		24	11		-	2	55	35	9	1	0	0
54		23	11		-	3	38	41	17	4	0	0	0
53		23	12		-	2	24	39	26	9	2	0	0
52		22	12		-	3	12	30	32	18	6	1	0	0
51		22	13		-	2	4	18	29	27	15	5	1	0	0	0
50		21	13		-	3	1	7	18	27	24	14	6	1	0	0	0
49		21	14		-	2	0	2	8	19	26	24	14	6	2	0	0	0
		20	13		-	4	0	1	7	15	24	24	17	8	3	1	0	0
48		20	14		-	3	0	0	1	6	14	22	24	18	10	4	1	0	0
47		20	15		-	2	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0	0
46		19	15		-	3			0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
45		19	16		-	2				0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0
		18	15		-	4						0	0	1	3	10	18	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0
44		18	16		-	3						0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
43		18	17		-	2								0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
		17	16		-	4									0	0	1	2	6	12	19	22	19	11	5	2	0	0	0
42		17	17		-	3										0	0	0	0	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
		18	18		-	1									0		0	0	1	4	9	16	20	21	15	9	4	1	0	0	0
41		17	18		-	2												0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	22	14	7	2	0	0	0
		16	17		-	4													0	0	1	3	7	14	20	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
40		16	18		-	3														0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0
39		16	19		-	2																0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	11	5	1	0	0
38		15	19		-	3																		0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	15	7	2	0	0
37		15	20		-	2																			0	0	0	2	6	14	24	25	18	8	2	0
36		14	20		-	3																					0	0	1	5	13	24	27	20	8	1
35		14	21		-	2																						0	0	1	5	14	26	30	18	5
34		13	21		-	3																							0	0	2	6	18	31	31	12
33		13	22		-	2																								0	0	2	9	26	40	23
32		12	22		-	3																								0	0	0	4	17	41	38
31		12	23		-	2																										0	1	10	37	52
30		11	23		-	3																										0	0	5	27	68
29		11	24		-	2																											0	2	20	78
28		10	24		-	3																											0	1	14	84
27		10	25		-	2																													9	91
26		9	25		-	3																													6	94
25		9	26		-	2																													3	97
24		8	26		-	3																													3	97
23		8	27		-	2																														100
22		8	28		-	1																													2	98
5	-21																																			100

Total:							5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2