Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Bratislava Capitals Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Lost to Dealers 4-7, playoff odds down 6.8 to 39.1%

2 points 1 3-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4	-7.2		-0.8		+4.5		-0.7
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6							*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.1+0.2+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the B. Capitals finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

62	-74						In		99.5	%	100															No		213	*
61		28	5		-	3	In		99.3		99	1														No		136	*
60		28	6		-	2	In		95.1		99	1														No		268	*
59		28	7		-	1	In		95.0		98	2														No		457	*
58		27	7		-	2	In		87.7		95	5														No		884	*
57		27	8		-	1	In		80.8		91	8	0													No		1,508	*
56		26	8		-	2	In		72.3		87	13	0													No		2,563	*
55		25	8		-	3	In		58.7		78	20	2													No		4,005	*
54		25	9		-	2	In		43.9		69	27	4	0												No		6,294	*
53		24	9		-	3	In		27.2		55	36	8	1	0											No		9,281	*
52		24	10		-	2	In		13.8		41	42	15	2	0	0										No		13,692	*
51		23	10		-	3	In		5.5		26	43	24	6	1	0										No		19,259	*
50		23	11		-	2	In		1.6		14	37	32	13	3	0	0									No		25,676	*
49		22	11		-	3	In		0.2		6	26	36	23	7	1	0	0								No		33,032	*
48		22	12		-	2	In		0.0		2	14	31	31	17	4	1	0								No		42,681	*
47		21	12		-	3	100.0	%	0.0		0	5	19	32	28	13	3	0	0							No		51,618	*
46		21	13		-	2	99.7		No		0	1	8	22	31	25	10	3	0	0	0					No		61,844	*
45		20	13		-	3	97.6		No		0	0	2	9	23	31	23	9	2	0	0	0				No		70,969	*
44		20	14		-	2	89.5		No			0	0	2	10	24	31	22	8	2	0	0				No		80,091	*
43		19	14		-	3	69.0		No			0	0	0	3	11	24	31	21	8	2	0	0			No		86,599	*
42		19	15		-	2	47.0		No					0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0			No		56,443	*
		18	14		-	4	28.9		No						0	1	7	20	31	26	11	2	0	0		No		34,613	*
41		18	15		-	3	14.1		No					0	0	0	3	11	26	32	20	7	1	0	0	No		42,537
		19	16		-	1	17.9		No					0	0	1	4	13	26	30	19	7	1	0		0.0	%	50,162	*
40		18	16		-	2	6.0		No						0	0	1	5	17	30	29	14	4	0	0	0.0		57,470	*
		17	15		-	4	2.2		No							0	0	2	9	24	32	23	8	1	0	0.1		35,782	*
39		17	16		-	3	0.5		No								0	0	4	14	28	32	17	4	0	1.2		57,873	*
		18	17		-	1	1.4		No							0	0	1	7	21	32	26	10	2	0	0.3		31,467
38		17	17		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	8	22	34	26	8	1	4.5		42,120
		16	16		-	4	0.1		No								0	0	1	6	19	32	29	12	2	8.6		42,271	*
37		16	17		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	10	27	35	21	5	23.8		75,632	*
36		16	18		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	18	37	31	9	46.1		33,774
		15	17		-	4	0.0		No									0	0	0	3	16	34	35	12	55.2		33,882	*
35		15	18		-	3	Out		No											0	1	8	28	42	21	75.6		57,873	*
34		15	19		-	2	Out		No											0	0	4	19	44	34	90.7		47,799	*
33		14	19		-	3	Out		No											0	0	1	11	40	47	97.2		39,018	*
32		14	20		-	2	Out		No												0	0	6	34	60	99.4		30,635	*
31		13	20		-	3	Out		No													0	3	25	72	99.9		22,933	*
30		13	21		-	2	Out		No													0	1	18	80	100.0		17,121	*
29		12	21		-	3	Out		No														0	12	87	100.0		12,303	*
28		12	22		-	2	Out		No														0	8	92	Yes		8,497	*
27		11	22		-	3	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		5,820	*
26		11	23		-	2	Out		No														0	3	97	Yes		3,813	*
25		10	23		-	3	Out		No														0	1	98	Yes		2,401	*
24		10	24		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,441	*
23		9	24		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		850	*
22		9	25		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		501	*
18	-21						Out		No																100	Yes		482	*
17		6	27		-	3	Out		No															8	92	Yes		13	*
2	-16						Out		No																100	Yes		124	*

Total:							39.1	%	1.2	%	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	21.4	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4	+1.5
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens vs ELe	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

63	-74						100
62		29	5		-	2	98	2
61		28	5		-	3	99	1
60		28	6		-	2	95	5
59		28	7		-	1	95	5
58		27	7		-	2	88	12	0
57		27	8		-	1	81	18	2	0
56		26	8		-	2	72	24	3	0
55		25	8		-	3	59	33	7	1	0
54		25	9		-	2	44	39	14	3	0	0
53		24	9		-	3	27	39	24	8	2	0	0
52		24	10		-	2	14	33	31	16	5	1	0	0
51		23	10		-	3	6	20	30	26	13	4	1	0	0
50		23	11		-	2	2	9	21	28	22	12	4	1	0	0
49		22	11		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	22	13	5	2	0	0
48		22	12		-	2	0	0	2	8	16	24	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
47		21	12		-	3	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	19	11	5	2	0	0	0
46		21	13		-	2			0	0	1	3	8	15	22	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
45		20	13		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
44		20	14		-	2							0	0	1	5	11	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0		0
		19	13		-	4						0	0	0	1	3	8	14	20	22	16	9	4	1	0	0
43		19	14		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
42		19	15		-	2										0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	10	4	1	0	0
		18	14		-	4											0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	19	11	5	1	0	0
41		18	15		-	3												0	0	0	1	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
40		18	16		-	2														0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	16	9	3	1	0	0
		17	15		-	4															0	0	1	3	8	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
39		17	16		-	3															0	0	0	1	3	7	15	21	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
38		17	17		-	2																	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
37		16	17		-	3																		0	0	0	1	3	8	16	24	24	16	7	1	0
36		16	18		-	2																			0		0	0	2	8	17	26	25	15	5	1
		15	17		-	4																				0	0	0	2	5	14	24	27	19	8	1
35		15	18		-	3																					0	0	0	2	6	16	28	28	16	4
34		15	19		-	2																							0	0	2	7	20	32	28	10
33		14	19		-	3																							0	0	0	2	11	27	38	21
32		14	20		-	2																								0	0	1	5	19	40	35
31		13	20		-	3																									0	0	2	11	37	51
30		13	21		-	2																										0	1	5	30	64
29		12	21		-	3																										0	0	2	22	75
28		12	22		-	2																											0	1	15	84
27		11	22		-	3																												1	10	90
26		11	23		-	2																												0	6	94
25		10	23		-	3																												0	3	96
24		10	24		-	2																													2	98
23		9	24		-	3																													2	98
22		9	25		-	2																													1	99
21		8	25		-	3																													1	99
18	-20																																			100
17		6	27		-	3																													8	92
2	-16																																			100

Total:							1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6