How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SaturdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier III100.0*Average seed
Canadiens vs ELe-6.8-2.0-1.6+5.7+5.7+6.1
-0.6-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.4+0.5
+5.1+1.0*+0.4-4.5-4.1-4.5
-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.6+0.6
Knights vs Tankers+0.5*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0*-0.5-0.5
+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ELe finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedTier
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415IIICount
61-76In98.7%100No525*
60297-2In96.7991No393*
59298-1In92.3982No684*
58288-2In88.5964No1,144*
57278-3In79.69460No1,943*
56279-2In71.288110No3,195*
55269-3In56.9811810No5,115*
542610-2In41.5712630No7,412*
532510-3In25.65934700No10,851*
522511-2In14.545411220No15,560*
512411-3In5.73044215000No21,195*
502412-2In1.617393111200No27,876*
492312-3In0.282836217100No35,642*
482313-2100.0%0.03153231154100No44,874*
472213-3100.0No16203227123000No53,260*
462214-299.9No02102532228200No30,300
2113-499.5No01719302612300No32,429*
452114-397.6No002822322410200No33,035
2215-197.3No0021023302210200No38,348*
442115-292.1No003132730197100No47,387*
2014-482.0No01618302714400No32,601*
432015-359.9No001720302511300No57,531*
2116-177.4No01415283017510No27,694
422016-242.8No003132630197100No52,134*
1915-424.7No01618302814400No37,404*
411916-311.1No0029233123920No42,219
2017-113.7No003112430229200No48,506*
401917-24.1No0014142731185100.0%52,244*
1816-41.3No01720322711200.137,999*
391817-30.4No000313273119611.086,566*
381818-20.1No0151833291224.638,202
1717-40.0No00041429331739.242,547*
371718-30.0No0016213728725.434,115
1819-1OutNo017233526724.139,067*
361719-2OutNo0021232381651.965,408*
351619-3OutNo01522432976.556,537*
341620-2OutNo00213424391.346,975*
331520-3OutNo0017355897.438,015*
321521-2OutNo003277099.430,359*
311421-3OutNo01198099.923,427*
301422-2OutNo011387100.017,652*
291322-3OutNo00892Yes12,589*
281323-2OutNo0595Yes8,836*
271223-3OutNo0397Yes6,179*
261224-2OutNo199Yes4,131*
251124-3OutNo199Yes2,560*
241125-2OutNo199Yes1,616*
22-23OutNo100Yes1,609*
21926-3OutNo0100Yes313*
0-20OutNo100Yes517*
Total:39.4%1.4%3445566677889101221.5%1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Fighting Hawks 7 Attack 1 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Canadiens vs ELe+1.4+0.4+0.3-1.3-1.2-1.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
62-76100
61307-1973
60297-2973
59298-19270
58288-288110
57278-38019100
56279-2712540
55269-35734810
542610-2414015300
532510-32640248200
522511-215323116510
512411-36203126134100
502412-2292028231251000
492312-30291926231462000
482313-200271623231683100
472213-30015122023201252000
462214-200012715212217941000
452114-300013916222116831000
442115-200025132023191151000
2014-40015121923201252000
432015-3000127142123171041000
2116-1001371622231793100
422016-200026132123191141000
1915-400025122023191151000
411916-3001381622221683100
2017-1001381522221683100
401917-200026142123181041000
1816-400014101722211572100
391817-30012714212317104100
381818-2000151221252011410
1717-4000138162323167200
371718-30012816242516720
361719-200271726261651
1618-4000251324272081
351619-300016162729164
341620-20002719322911
331520-3000211273822
321521-2014184136
311421-3001103751
301422-20153064
291322-3022276
281323-2011584
271223-301090
261224-20694
251124-30396
241125-2298
231025-3199
221026-20100
21926-3199
0-20100
Total:122222223333333333444444455556