Alma Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50

Plays at Beauce-Appalaches, average seed down 0.4 to 2.7
16 points   5-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Limoilou 3 Alma 1 -14.5
-1.1
Thetford 0 Rimouski 4 -2.0
-0.1
Beauce-Appalaches 1 Rimouski 5 -1.3
-0.1
Jonquière 1 Sainte-Foy 0 +1.0
-0.0
Garneau 1 Lévis-Lauzon 3 +0.9
+0.0
Rivière-du-Loup 0 Limoilou 4 -0.5
-0.0
Chicoutimi 2 Garneau 1 +0.3
+0.0
Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sainte-Foy 0 Alma 4 +23.1
+1.4
Alma 8 Ch.-St-Lawrence 1 +13.0
+0.8
Alma 4 Chicoutimi 0 In
+0.8
Jonquière 1 Chicoutimi 1 -5.1
+0.0
Garneau 3 Jonquière 1 +3.7
+0.1
Limoilou 2 Rimouski 3 -1.0
-0.1
Rivière-du-Loup 0 Beauce-Appalaches 2 +0.8
Chicoutimi 2 Lévis-Lauzon 1 -0.4
+0.0
Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rimouski 2 Ch.-St-Lawrence 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Beauce-Appalaches vs Alma-0.8+0.2+0.7
Thetford vs Limoilou+0.2+0.2-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Alma finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
191-0-0In1007,940,659
170-0-1In5248833,605
160-1-0In53477,938,872
Total:In50272316,713,136
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs