Jonquière Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50

Plays at Lévis-Lauzon, playoff odds down 0.0005 to 47.5%
11 points   3-2-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jonquière 1 Sainte-Foy 0 +20.3
+1.4
Thetford 0 Rimouski 4 -1.9
-0.1
Garneau 1 Lévis-Lauzon 3 +0.8
+0.0
Limoilou 3 Alma 1 -0.7
-0.0
Chicoutimi 2 Garneau 1 +0.7
Rivière-du-Loup 0 Limoilou 4 -0.5
-0.0
Beauce-Appalaches 1 Rimouski 5 +0.5
+0.0
Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Garneau 3 Jonquière 1 -13.7
-1.1
Jonquière 1 Chicoutimi 1 -13.2
-0.9
Sainte-Foy 0 Alma 4 +5.0
+0.0
Rivière-du-Loup 0 Beauce-Appalaches 2 -3.4
-0.1
Alma 8 Ch.-St-Lawrence 1 -2.2
-0.1
Limoilou 2 Rimouski 3 -1.7
-0.1
Alma 4 Chicoutimi 0 +0.2
Lévis-Lauzon 8 Thetford 1 -0.1
Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rivière-du-Loup 0 Garneau 4 -0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Lévis-Lauzon vs JonquièreOutOutIn
-2.4-0.5+2.4
Beauce-Appalaches vs Alma-0.3+0.3+0.2
Thetford vs Limoilou+0.2-0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Jonquière finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
141-0-0In2050307,938,399
120-0-1Out100836,338
110-1-0Out12887,938,399
Total:47.5%92414564216,713,136
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs