Jays Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 99.8%
18 points 9-0 5 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Devils 2 D2 1 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Devils vs Jays | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | -0.3+0.0+0.3 | ||
| Jays vs Oilers | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | +0.3+0.0-0.3 | ||
| Jays vs Oilers | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | +0.3+0.0-0.3 | ||
| Jays vs Bandidos | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | +0.3-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Jays vs Grizzlies | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Eagles vs Crusaders | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Grizzlies vs Eagles | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| D2 vs Devils | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 7/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Eagles vs Jays | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | ||
| Grizzlies vs Jays | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | -0.3-0.1+0.3 | ||
| Crusaders vs Eagles | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Devils vs Eagles | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Bandidos vs Devils | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |||
| D2 vs Crusaders | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Wolfpack vs Crusaders | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Jays finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | 95 | 5 | 18,079 | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | 89 | 11 | 2,939 | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 69 | 30 | 0 | 144,869 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | 70 | 30 | 235 | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | In | 60 | 39 | 1 | 23,224 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | 44 | 56 | 9 | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | In | 31 | 61 | 8 | 576,220 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | In | 33 | 59 | 8 | 1,615 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | In | 22 | 65 | 13 | 81,715 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | In | 14 | 68 | 18 | 56 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | In | 6 | 60 | 34 | 1,347,722 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | In | 7 | 62 | 31 | 5,064 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | In | 3 | 53 | 44 | 163,604 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | In | 2 | 54 | 44 | 166 | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | In | 0 | 32 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 2,020,943 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | In | 0 | 32 | 67 | 0 | 8,447 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | In | 13 | 88 | 8 | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | In | 0 | 22 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 203,970 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | In | 1 | 16 | 79 | 5 | 200 | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | In | 0 | 9 | 79 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2,020,068 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | In | 9 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 8,271 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 4 | In | 67 | 33 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | In | 3 | 55 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 162,774 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 3 | In | 3 | 56 | 34 | 7 | 160 | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 1 | 41 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1,346,916 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 5 | 2 | In | 1 | 37 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 5,043 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 4 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 0 | 6 | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 82,070 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 3 | In | 14 | 31 | 47 | 7 | 83 | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 0 | 7 | 0 | 99.8 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 46 | 22 | 0 | 578,756 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 6 | 2 | 99.7 | 3 | 24 | 49 | 24 | 0 | 1,699 | |||||||||||
| 21 | 1 | - | 0 | 7 | 1 | 95.2 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 22,978 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 3 | In | 29 | 71 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | 8 | 0 | 92.7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 68 | 7 | 0 | 145,232 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 7 | 2 | 88.7 | 1 | 21 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 238 | |||||||||||
| 19 | 0 | - | 0 | 8 | 1 | 67.5 | 0 | 3 | 64 | 31 | 1 | 2,960 | ||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 0 | 9 | 0 | 59.8 | 2 | 58 | 38 | 3 | 18,392 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 99.8 | % | 5 | 25 | 49 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8,994,740 | |||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
