UFA 00B Gold Title Chances Fall2016 50/50
Beat Georgia FC 00 P 4-1, title odds up 8.6 to 17.9%
26 points 4-3-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/17 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FFC Predators 1 UFA 00B Gold 2 | +7.1 | +11.2 | -5.4 | +1.1 | ||||
| DSC 00B Revolut 0 UFA Norcross 00 2 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.1 | |||||
| Ambush SC B00 W 2 Georgia FC 00 P 5 | +0.2 | +0.2 | ||||||
| AFC Lightning 0 2 ATHENS UNITED 0 3 | *-0.1 | *-0.1 | ||||||
| Week of 9/24 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| KSA 00 Elite 0 Ambush SC B00 W 7 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||
| Concorde Fire C 5 AFC Lightning 0 1 | -0.7 | -0.9 | -0.2 | |||||
| UFA Norcross 00 4 Georgia FC 00 P 3 | -0.2 | -0.2 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| ATHENS UNITED 0 vs DSC 00B Revolut | -1.5+0.7+1.2 | -4.3+1.3+3.8 | -0.2+0.0+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the UFA 00B Gold finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 46 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 886,999 | ||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 80.4 | % | Yes | 80 | 20 | No | 1,339,723 | ||||||||||||||
| 41 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 57.3 | 97.2 | % | 57 | 40 | 3 | No | 3,518,805 | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 46.7 | 96.3 | 47 | 50 | 4 | No | 765,491 | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 15.2 | 75.4 | 15 | 60 | 22 | 2 | No | 4,021,448 | |||||||||||||
| 37 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 8.9 | 52.1 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 9 | No | 194,978 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 1.7 | 22.0 | 2 | 20 | 49 | 27 | 2 | No | 5,282,041 | ||||||||||||
| 35 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 17.3 | 1 | 17 | 52 | 30 | 1 | No | 1,532,723 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 2.7 | 3 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 0 | No | 18,489 | |||||||||||
| 33 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | 14 | 39 | 34 | 12 | 1 | No | 4,020,709 | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 4 | No | 195,213 | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | 1 | 8 | 29 | 42 | 21 | No | 3,521,418 | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 28 | 43 | 22 | 1 | No | 765,909 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 1 | 23 | 71 | 5 | No | 1,341,239 | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 67 | 33 | No | 885,551 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 17.9 | % | 38.7 | % | 18 | 21 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 1 | No | 28,290,736 | ||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:01 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
