"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Alien Hockey Title Chances 2014-2015WinterSeason 50/50
Lost to Flying Moose 5-6 (so), title odds down 1.6 to 18.1%
15 points 7-0 3-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeHome SOAway SOAway | ||||
| Week of 1/7 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ichi vs Alien | -6.0-2.1+4.7+5.3 | -0.5-0.1+0.3+0.4 | ||
| Victors vs Flying Moose | -2.3-2.4+0.8+2.7 | |||
| FoDM/KB vs Red Alert | +1.5+0.2-1.2-1.2 | +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0 | ||
| Kryptonite vs Rink Rats | -0.1-0.2*-0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Alien finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | SO | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | ||||
| 47 | -49 | Yes | 100 | 4,769 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 46 | 15 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | 4,167 | * | ||||||||
| 45 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 99.7 | 100 | 0 | 12,673 | * | |||||||||
| 44 | 14 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 98.9 | 99 | 1 | 26,993 | * | |||||||||
| 43 | 13 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 97.6 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 59,913 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 13 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 94.3 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 108,288 | * | ||||||||
| 41 | 12 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 2 | 88.4 | 88 | 11 | 0 | 108,454 | |||||||||
| 13 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 90.1 | 90 | 10 | 0 | 85,281 | * | |||||||||
| 40 | 12 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 1 | 82.6 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 184,645 | |||||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 3 | 75.6 | 76 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 109,950 | * | ||||||||
| 39 | 11 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 2 | 67.1 | 67 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 250,810 | ||||||||
| 12 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 69.3 | 69 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 191,034 | * | ||||||||
| 38 | 11 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | 56.1 | 56 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 341,769 | ||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 3 | 45.4 | 45 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 238,096 | * | ||||||||
| 37 | 10 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 2 | 34.0 | 34 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 425,512 | |||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 43.5 | 44 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 194,860 | * | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 4 | 25.1 | 25 | 55 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 128,771 | * | |||||||
| 36 | 10 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 1 | 22.4 | 22 | 54 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 484,262 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 3 | 14.0 | 14 | 51 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 373,470 | * | |||||||
| 35 | 9 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 2 | 7.3 | 7 | 44 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 550,406 | |||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 11.9 | 12 | 48 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 250,940 | * | |||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | 35 | 47 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 164,981 | |||||||
| 34 | 9 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3 | 31 | 50 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 534,625 | ||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 3 | 1.0 | 1 | 20 | 50 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 438,955 | * | ||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 544,762 | ||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 0.8 | 1 | 17 | 50 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 227,630 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 186,278 | * | |||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 48 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 464,966 | |||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 388,666 | * | |||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 423,907 | * | |||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 47 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 175,678 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 4 | 30 | 47 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 144,532 | * | |||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 1 | No | 0 | 3 | 27 | 48 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 318,640 | |||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 261,395 | * | |||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 6 | 35 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 336,668 | * | |||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 108,781 | ||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 1 | No | 0 | 3 | 25 | 49 | 21 | 2 | 172,543 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 47 | 33 | 4 | 133,132 | * | ||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 43 | 9 | 117,399 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 41 | 9 | 88,998 | * | ||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 1 | No | 0 | 2 | 25 | 52 | 20 | 124,350 | * | ||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 36 | 72,913 | * | ||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 1 | No | 0 | 6 | 41 | 53 | 37,388 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 3 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 2 | 30 | 68 | 19,114 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 1 | No | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 8,191 | * | |||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 12 | 88 | 3,527 | * | ||||||||
| 20 | 2 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 1 | No | 7 | 93 | 1,283 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 1 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 2 | No | 3 | 97 | 413 | * | |||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 0 | 15 | - | 1 | No | 1 | 99 | 123 | * | |||||||||
| 15 | -17 | No | 100 | 3,035 | * | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 18.1 | % | 18 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 9,637,936 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:53 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
