Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2013

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 37.2%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17 -0.3
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Philadelphia vs Washington+5.7*+0.4-5.7
+1.0*-0.3-1.0
-0.9*-0.2+0.9
+0.7*-0.0-0.7
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay+0.3*-0.8-0.3
+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs Philadelphia-5.2*-0.5+5.2
-1.0*-0.5+1.0
+0.9*-0.1-0.9
-0.6-0.0+0.6
Denver vs NY Giants+0.9*+0.0-0.6
+0.1*-0.1-0.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas+0.5*+0.0-0.5
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Washington+0.4*+0.3-0.4
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.3*-0.8-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
1616-0-0In94.6%982No167
15.515-0-1InYes100No3
1515-1-098.7%51.3916210No392*
14.514-1-1In59.5928No37
1414-2-096.636.8851732110000No3,142*
13.513-2-194.335.2812743101No349
1313-3-091.527.6734095321100000No14,837
12-2-282.417.665126666No17
12.512-3-189.321.46560116421110000No1,455*
1212-4-084.118.054121010754321110000.0%47,212
11-3-286.017.5531141195252No57
11.511-4-179.313.0421621286533211000No4,711*
1111-5-073.910.729215011875433211000.0114,043
10-4-278.16.52821316884141201No201
10.510-5-168.67.619227112976543221100.010,147
9-4-3In20.040202020No5
1010-6-061.45.9101911210987654332110.2208,762
9-5-265.06.6112012291186455112100.2423*
9.59-6-154.63.841414410997765432210.216,694
8-5-360.0No77202072777No15
99-7-047.72.9291379988766544310.5298,019
8-6-249.92.02914771177766643210.5603*
8.58-7-141.01.8041198888877655320.621,439
7-6-358.8No61824126612126No17
88-8-034.41.3028107788887776531.3333,097
7-7-231.11.238105698897596431.0679
7.57-8-127.70.6015106778888887651.721,260
6-7-311.1No112222221111No9
77-9-022.80.5003105667788898872.9295,257
6-8-219.70.229369781191067762.4574
6.56-9-117.00.20183566789910101083.816,622
5-8-3OutNo29144314No7
66-10-013.50.200734567789101112125.9206,003
5-9-214.80.307345646108121211124.5378
5.55-10-110.10.10523456789111214147.19,851
4-9-3OutNo1338251313No8
55-11-07.10.0004123456791113162010.9111,481
4-10-22.9No2126541081215171810.0239
4.54-11-14.7No2122336691115172313.34,338*
44-12-03.20.002112234681013192917.746,645
3-11-2OutNo253107197202718.659
3.53-12-11.5No1011224491114193322.41,445*
33-13-01.2No100112246912214026.814,202
2-12-2OutNo22671111.19
2.52-13-10.3No0103225912184832.4352
22-14-00.3No000001234711215237.62,928*
1.51-14-1OutNo2583275444.159
11-15-00.2No01011159176549.8408
0.50-15-1OutNo100Yes2
00-16-0OutNo11119794.2173
Total:37.2%3.1%66666666666666663.1%1,808,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Washington-1.3*+0.0+1.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego vs Philadelphia+1.3*+0.0-1.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-095311
15.515-0-1100
1515-1-051201143121211100
14.514-1-1591635853
1414-2-0371912864332111111000000000
13.513-2-13519128536311311110010
1313-3-028161197644332211111000000000000
12-2-2181212618612666
12.512-3-12115111075644322211110110000000
1212-4-018131087655443222211111110000000000
11-3-21819147772452524222
11.511-4-1131199775544443222221111110000000
1111-5-01110887665544333222221111111000000
10-4-2678109894525431122211200100
10.510-5-188876765554443332222211111100000
9-4-32020202020
1010-6-066666655544444333322222211111000
9-5-276765664766344324211212102010000
9.59-6-145555555544444433333332221111100
8-5-3207713772777
99-7-034444444444444444333333222221110
8-6-224344544456433354543233324110100
8.58-7-122334444444444444443333333222211
7-6-361261212666666666
88-8-012233333444444444444444333333221
7-7-211143422234444545453424334333221
7.57-8-111222233333334444444444444443322
6-7-31122111111111111
77-9-001112222233333344444444444444443
6-8-201121122332344534555555434444332
6.56-9-100111122222333344444445555555554
5-8-31429141429
66-10-000011111222222333344444555666666
5-9-20012102122321242342544567646774
5.55-10-100001111112122233343444556667787
4-9-31313131313131313
55-11-0000000111111122223333444556789911
4-10-2111133233353366748913510
4.54-11-100000001111112223234456677891113
44-12-000000000000111112222334455679101318
3-11-2225323310101035101219
3.53-12-100000000001011112233346779101322
33-13-0000000000000111111222334579111727
2-12-2111111114411
2.52-13-111110212237459121732
22-14-0000000000111112233468111938
1.51-14-1533331072044
11-15-000001000111256121850
0.50-15-1100
00-16-01111294
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333