SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

Chicago Bears Playoff Chances 2013

Beat Cincinnati 19-17, playoff odds up 4.8 to 41.9%

1-0-0 1.000

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17	+5.2		+1.0		-1.0		+0.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.4*-0.9-0.4						+0.0*-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.3*+0.5-0.3						+0.0*+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago vs Minnesota	+5.7*-0.9-6.4		+1.0-0.7-1.2		-0.7*-0.4+0.7		+0.7*-0.1-0.8
Arizona vs Detroit	+0.5*+0.1-0.5
Green Bay vs Washington	-0.4*-0.3+0.4
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.3*-0.9-0.2						+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.2*+0.1-0.3
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.2*+1.1-0.2
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.2*-0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

16		15	-	0	-	0	In		80.5	%	98				2												No		251
15	.5	14	-	0	-	1	In		37.5		100																No		16
15		14	-	1	-	0	98.0	%	46.8		91	0			5	2	1	1	0	0	0						No		1,503
14	.5	13	-	1	-	1	98.8		34.1		89				7	3		1		1							No		164
14		13	-	2	-	0	95.4		33.7		83	1			8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		9,263
		12	-	1	-	2	87.5		12.5		63				25						13						No		8
13	.5	12	-	2	-	1	93.7		27.9		77	2	0		9	6	3	1	1	1	0	0					No		940
13		12	-	3	-	0	89.5		22.0		70	4	0		9	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	No		36,779
		11	-	2	-	2	86.0		18.6		67	2			12	5	12		2								No		43
12	.5	11	-	3	-	1	86.6		18.0		63	7	0		10	7	5	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0		No		3,398	*
12		11	-	4	-	0	80.7		14.0		50	12	1	0	10	7	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0.0	%	99,745
		10	-	3	-	2	85.6		6.9		53	13			9	11	6	3	4		1		1	1			No		160
11	.5	10	-	4	-	1	75.5		9.6		39	16	2	0	10	9	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	No		8,480
		9	-	3	-	3	66.7		No		33	33							33								No		3
11		10	-	5	-	0	69.3		7.7		26	19	5	0	10	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0.0		197,295
		9	-	4	-	2	73.2		5.2		29	19	5	0	10	10	8	5	4	3	2	3	1	2	0		No		328
10	.5	9	-	5	-	1	63.5		5.2		16	20	7	1	10	9	8	7	5	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0.1		15,130
		8	-	4	-	3	66.7		No		17	33			17		17				17						No		6
10		9	-	6	-	0	55.8		3.9		8	17	10	2	9	9	8	7	6	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	0.2		296,655
		8	-	5	-	2	55.2		3.3		8	15	11	3	10	9	8	9	7	6	4	4	2	2	2	1	0.2		522
9	.5	8	-	6	-	1	48.7		2.4		4	12	12	4	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	0.3		20,580
		7	-	5	-	3	41.7		No			8	17		17		8	17		8	25						No		12
9		8	-	7	-	0	42.0		1.8		1	7	12	6	7	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	3	2	0.6		345,174
		7	-	6	-	2	39.7		0.8		1	6	9	5	8	10	8	8	9	9	7	7	5	4	3	2	0.2		599	*
8	.5	7	-	7	-	1	35.0		0.9		0	3	9	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	0.9		21,223
		6	-	6	-	3	31.3		No				6	19	6		19	6	6	6	13	13	6				No		16
8		7	-	8	-	0	28.7		0.7		0	1	7	9	5	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	4	1.6		312,079
		6	-	7	-	2	27.6		0.4			1	8	9	4	5	9	9	7	8	8	6	9	6	6	5	2.1		525
7	.5	6	-	8	-	1	22.2		0.3		0	0	4	9	4	5	6	7	8	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	2.2		16,709
		5	-	7	-	3	14.3		No							14			14	14	14	14		14	14		No		7
7		6	-	9	-	0	17.9		0.2		0	0	2	8	3	4	6	6	7	8	9	9	10	10	10	8	3.7		218,609
		5	-	8	-	2	14.6		0.8				1	7	2	4	7	5	5	10	14	10	9	10	8	8	3.0		370
6	.5	5	-	9	-	1	12.4		0.1				1	6	2	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	10	11	12	10	4.7		9,998
		4	-	8	-	3	Out		No									25				25	25		25		No		4
6		5	-	10	-	0	9.9		0.1			0	0	5	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	10	11	12	14	14	7.3		118,677
		4	-	9	-	2	8.5		0.5					4	2	3	1	7	6	11	7	11	9	11	18	14	5.0		199
5	.5	4	-	10	-	1	6.2		0.0				0	4	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	9	11	14	16	17	8.8		4,461	*
5		4	-	11	-	0	4.7		0.0				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	11	14	17	23	13.1		48,674
		3	-	10	-	2	2.9		No					3			3	1	6	4	10	9	13	15	15	21	13.2		68
4	.5	3	-	11	-	1	2.7		No					2	1	1	1	2	3	5	7	8	9	15	21	27	15.6		1,534	*
4		3	-	12	-	0	1.8		No				0	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	10	14	21	33	20.5		14,624
		2	-	11	-	2	Out		No												5	19	10	10	24	33	23.8		21
3	.5	2	-	12	-	1	0.8		No					1		0	0	1	1	1	5	6	7	17	22	40	25.4		354
3		2	-	13	-	0	0.7		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	6	12	22	47	31.1		3,038
		1	-	12	-	2	Out		No																50	50	No		6
2	.5	1	-	13	-	1	Out		No											2	2	2	5	5	33	51	37.2		43
2		1	-	14	-	0	Out		No										0	0	1	3	7	9	22	57	43.7		375
1	.5	0	-	14	-	1	Out		No													25	25			50	50.0		4
1		0	-	15	-	0	Out		No											1				1	2	97	93.8		160

Total:							41.9	%	3.6	%	10	8	6	5	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	2.0	%	1,808,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17	-1.4

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago vs Minnesota	-1.3+0.2+1.4

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		15	-	0	-	0	80	10	3	4	0	1	0	0
15	.5	14	-	0	-	1	38	38	6		6	6	6
15		14	-	1	-	0	47	18	11	7	5	3	3	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
14	.5	13	-	1	-	1	34	20	12	10	5	7	2	5	2	1	1		1
14		13	-	2	-	0	34	18	12	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					0
		12	-	1	-	2	13	13	13		13		13				25										13
13	.5	12	-	2	-	1	28	16	11	9	7	6	5	4	3	4	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			0
13		12	-	3	-	0	22	15	11	9	7	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	2	-	2	19	9	16	12	7	7		7	14			2	2	2			2
12	.5	11	-	3	-	1	18	13	11	9	8	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
12		11	-	4	-	0	14	11	10	8	7	7	6	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	3	-	2	7	8	13	9	11	10	7	4	8	4	4	3	2	6	1	1	1	1	1		1				1	1
11	.5	10	-	4	-	1	10	9	9	8	7	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	3	-	3						33		33									33
11		10	-	5	-	0	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	4	-	2	5	9	9	7	7	6	5	6	7	7	3	5	3	2	5	1	3	0	2	2	1	1	1	2	1	1	0	1
10	.5	9	-	5	-	1	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	4	-	3			17			33			17							17	17
10		9	-	6	-	0	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
		8	-	5	-	2	3	3	4	5	6	5	7	4	5	6	4	4	4	5	2	4	4	3	3	2	3	2	2	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	0	0
9	.5	8	-	6	-	1	2	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0
		7	-	5	-	3				8	17						8	17			17						8	8	8			8
9		8	-	7	-	0	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1
		7	-	6	-	2	1	2	2	3	3	4	3	5	2	4	4	5	4	5	4	5	4	4	5	4	3	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	2	2	1	0
8	.5	7	-	7	-	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1
		6	-	6	-	3		6		13	6	6					6	6	6		13				6	6			6		13			6
8		7	-	8	-	0	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2
		6	-	7	-	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	4	3	5	4	5	4	5	4	3	3	2	5	4	3	3	3	2	2
7	.5	6	-	8	-	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	2
		5	-	7	-	3									14								29		14					14			14	14
7		6	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4
		5	-	8	-	2	1		0	1	1	1	0	1	2	1	3	3	4	3	2	2	4	2	7	4	6	6	4	4	8	4	4	5	4	6	4	3
6	.5	5	-	9	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5
		4	-	8	-	3																						25	25	25						25
6		5	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7
		4	-	9	-	2	1			1	1		1	1	1	1	1	2	3	1	2	4	3	4	3	5	5	5	6	4	2	5	9	6	7	7	12	5
5	.5	4	-	10	-	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	7	8	8	9	9
5		4	-	11	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	6	6	7	8	9	11	13
		3	-	10	-	2									1	1			1	1		1	1		4	4	4	4	7	4	3	1	12	6	9	12	6	13
4	.5	3	-	11	-	1		0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	1	2	3	3	3	4	3	4	6	7	7	9	12	13	16
4		3	-	12	-	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	8	9	12	15	21
		2	-	11	-	2																						5	10	14			10		14	19	5	24
3	.5	2	-	12	-	1						0				0				0		0	0	1	0	1	0	1	3	2	3	7	6	7	10	14	17	25
3		2	-	13	-	0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	7	8	12	18	31
		1	-	12	-	2																													17	33	50
2	.5	1	-	13	-	1																		5							2		2	5	7	12	30	37
2		1	-	14	-	0																		0	0			1	1	2	2	3	5	5	6	13	18	44
1	.5	0	-	14	-	1																							25		25							50
1		0	-	15	-	0																							1							1	4	94

Total:							4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2