Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsOdds of winning championshipChance will finish regular season at seedOdds of getting last
TuesdayPGW-OTLTGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength12/5
Trey ReedWRoger Harman 141-107.199-030162.2In90.7%+49.89191.1+0.55No1.717Cary McMichaelTrey Reed
Nick TreadoLAlex Valley 71-11688-04014.9In9.3-49.3948422.3-0.85No2.645at James QuinlyNick Treado
James QuinlyWAustin Harman 97.9-7477-05029.4In+1.7No-0.4425082.7+1.22No5.572Nick TreadoJames Quinly
Cary McMichaelWTom Reed 100.8-67.866-0601.186.7%+28.7No251943135.5+0.78No3.500at Trey ReedCary McMichael
Brandon McMichaelLAaron McMichael 89.8-11666-060-15.479.8-13.8No2238201465.4-1.31No8.500at Austin HarmanBrandon McMichael
Aaron McMichaelWBrandon McMichael 116-89.866-060-79.165.3+13.1No83713824105.4+0.85No7.500at Tom ReedAaron McMichael
Tom ReedLCary McMichael 67.8-100.855-0705542.7-30.4No92590576.7-1.25No9.428Aaron McMichaelTom Reed
Alex ValleyWNick Treado 116-7155-07049.525.5+21.9No520205507.7+0.84No-3.54.428at Roger HarmanAlex Valley
Roger HarmanLTrey Reed 107.1-14155-070-74.2Out-21.1No2921508.2-0.77No-2.46.428Alex ValleyRoger Harman
Austin HarmanLJames Quinly 74-97.933-090-143.4OutNo10010.0-0.06Yes+5.810.283Brandon McMichaelAustin Harman

Don't get last

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/21
Cary McMichael 113 Roger Harman 82.5
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick TreadoIn
James Quinly+1.3
Cary McMichael+28.8
-3.0
+1.0
Aaron McMichael+1.2
Tom Reed+0.4
Alex Valley+0.2
+1.8
Roger Harman-32.2
+1.2
-1.1
Brandon McMichael 84.8 Tom Reed 124
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick Treado+0.2
James Quinly-6.2
Cary McMichael-2.2
Brandon McMichael-3.9
-1.8
-0.8
Aaron McMichael-4.7
Tom Reed+26.2
No
+1.0
Roger Harman-8.0
Aaron McMichael 40.3 James Quinly 117.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick TreadoIn
James Quinly+16.7
No
+1.0
Cary McMichael+1.1
Aaron McMichael-16.9
No
-1.0
Tom Reed-0.3
Roger Harman+0.8
Austin Harman 74.9 Alex Valley 132.3
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichael-1.5
Aaron McMichaelNo
Alex Valley+1.8
-32.5
+0.5
Austin Harman-2.2
+34.0
-0.5
Nick Treado 125.3 Trey Reed 71.7
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed-32.2
-0.4
Nick TreadoIn
+31.6
+0.7
James Quinly+0.1
Brandon McMichael+0.6
Roger Harman*No
Week of 11/28
Tom Reed 67.8 Cary McMichael 100.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
James Quinly+0.2
Cary McMichael+31.9
+0.9
Brandon McMichael-1.0
Aaron McMichael-2.3
Tom Reed-24.8
-1.0
Alex Valley+0.9
Roger Harman-5.6
Aaron McMichael 116 Brandon McMichael 89.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
James Quinly+0.2
Cary McMichael-5.3
Brandon McMichael-8.7
-1.1
Aaron McMichael+22.4
+1.1
Alex Valley-0.8
Roger Harman-5.7
-0.2
Roger Harman 107.1 Trey Reed 141
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed+12.2
+0.2
Nick Treado-11.8
James Quinly+0.9
No
Cary McMichael+6.0
Brandon McMichael+1.2
Aaron McMichael+5.3
Tom Reed+1.8
Roger Harman-15.0
+0.9
-0.5
Austin Harman-0.9
Alex Valley 116 Nick Treado 71
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed+34.8
+0.3
Nick Treado-36.3
-0.6
James Quinly+1.5
+0.2
Cary McMichael-6.6
-0.2
Brandon McMichael-2.4
Aaron McMichael-2.9
Alex Valley+12.9
No
+0.6
Austin Harman+3.5
James Quinly 97.9 Austin Harman 74
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
James QuinlyIn
+0.2
+0.4
Aaron McMichael-1.2
Alex ValleyNo
Roger HarmanNo
Austin HarmanYes
Week of 12/5
Tom Reed vs Aaron McMichaelIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichaelInIn76.8
5.24.55.6
Brandon McMichael71.685.985.8
5.24.95.6
Aaron McMichael18.777.6In
7.16.04.1
Tom ReedInOutOut
5.08.08.0
Alex Valley9.736.537.4
8.07.57.5
Roger Harman8.58.08.0
Austin Harman vs Brandon McMichaelHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichaelInIn81.5
4.94.95.7
Brandon McMichael28.728.4In
6.96.94.9
Aaron McMichael85.585.557.3
5.05.15.5
Tom Reed6.46.46.8
Alex Valley43.142.818.6
7.47.47.9
Roger Harman vs Alex ValleyHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichaelInIn73.4
5.35.35.6
Brandon McMichael87.987.571.6
5.35.35.6
Aaron McMichael69.469.661.1
5.25.25.5
Tom Reed6.76.16.7
Alex ValleyOutOut51.1
9.08.06.5
Roger Harman7.49.09.0
Trey Reed vs Cary McMichaelHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey ReedYes76.867.1
1.01.21.3
Nick TreadoNo23.232.9
2.42.22.1
Cary McMichael81.584.1In
6.05.94.1
Brandon McMichael5.25.26.0
Aaron McMichael63.663.669.4
5.35.35.6
Tom Reed6.66.67.0
Alex Valley32.429.98.1
7.67.78.1
James Quinly vs Nick TreadoHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey ReedYesYes83.8
1.01.01.2
Nick TreadoNoNo16.2
3.02.01.8
James Quinly2.03.13.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you NCT for adding this league.