Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsFirst Round ByeChance will finish regular season at seedSacko
11/19GW-LPCTGD%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
MannWColon 99.6-92.710-1.909185.8InYes+1.69461.1+0.04No1.846FordeMann
WhitmerWBly 115.1-69.19-2.818284.5In99.9%+6.969401.9+0.05No2.905McGloneWhitmer
VitaleWCuervo 121.4-67.87-4.636174In+0.0No-0.0415173.7+0.72No4.829at StokerVitale
CuervoLVitale 67.8-121.48-3.72771.5In0.1-8.50426524.1-0.90No3.674at ArzuagaCuervo
ArzuagaWForde 152.1-136.67-4.636109.5In+0.0No-0.01742414.2+0.23No4.742CuervoArzuaga
VinikLHibel 127.7-144.65-6.455-97.371.8%-11.7No722816.3-0.23No6.283BlyVinik
HibelWVinik 144.6-127.74-7.364-63.625.8+13.3No2653156107.0+0.86No-1.37.344at ColonHibel
McGloneWStoker 119.2-92.54-7.364-131.10.3+0.2No016034508.4+2.06No-21.79.212at WhitmerMcGlone
ColonLMann 92.7-99.64-7.364-219.22.1+0.4No21810581108.6+0.03No-0.07.123HibelColon
StokerLMcGlone 92.5-119.23-8.273-50.8Out-2.2No1015925510.1-1.935.4%+3.510.367VitaleStoker
FordeLArzuaga 136.6-152.13-8.273-100.1Out-0.1No5117631310.8-0.5813.5+3.411.273at MannForde
BlyLWhitmer 69.1-115.12-9.182-163.2OutNo7128111.7-0.3381.2+16.312.164at VinikBly

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/12
Arzuaga 153.9 Colon 67.4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
CuervoIn
Arzuaga+4.1
+0.2
Vinik+1.4
Colon-5.0
-0.3
Mann 110.7 Hibel 84.7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Mann+1.5
Cuervo-1.3
Vinik+1.9
Hibel-2.8
+0.3
Vitale 139.1 Forde 98.4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Vitale+1.1
+0.2
McGlone-0.8
Stoker-0.7
Forde-1.9
+2.4
-0.4
Bly-0.8
Whitmer 97.7 Vinik 88.4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Mann-0.2
Whitmer*In
+2.0
Cuervo-1.8
Vinik-1.5
No
Hibel+0.8
Colon+0.3
Stoker 128.1 Bly 92.2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
McGlone-6.0
Stoker+0.9
-19.1
+0.8
BlyOut
+26.2
-0.8
Cuervo 149.9 McGlone 84.8
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Mann-0.5
Whitmer-1.2
CuervoIn
+1.7
McGlone-0.8
+3.5
-0.3
Stoker-0.9
Forde-0.8
Bly-1.5
Week of 11/19
Hibel 144.6 Vinik 127.7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Vinik-17.1
-0.3
Hibel+13.0
-1.3
+0.6
Colon+1.6
Stoker+2.3
-0.2
Forde+0.1
McGlone 119.2 Stoker 92.5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
McGlone+0.2
-21.7
+2.1
StokerOut
+6.9
-1.9
Forde+7.0
-0.2
Bly+7.1
Colon 92.7 Mann 99.6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Mann+0.5
VitaleIn
Cuervo-0.4
ArzuagaIn
Vinik+0.2
Colon-0.3
Forde 136.6 Arzuaga 152.1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
ArzuagaIn
McGlone-0.8
FordeOut
+1.5
-0.3
Bly-0.5
Cuervo 67.8 Vitale 121.4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Mann+1.5
Whitmer+6.3
VitaleIn
+0.4
Cuervo-7.9
-0.4
Bly 69.1 Whitmer 115.1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Whitmer+1.3
VitaleNo
Cuervo-1.2
ArzuagaNo
McGlone-1.3
ColonNo
Forde-0.6
Bly+2.2
Week of 11/26
Vinik vs BlyIf winner is:HomeAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
VinikIn14.9
6.06.9
HibelOut77.9
7.36.5
McGloneOut0.8
ColonOut6.5
StokerNo16.2
10.010.3
FordeNo40.6
10.611.1
BlyYes43.2
12.011.2
Colon vs HibelHomeAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Vinik89.367.2
6.16.3
HibelOut32.7
8.46.7
McGlone8.98.3
Colon10.2Out
6.99.0
Whitmer vs McGloneHomeAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
WhitmerYes95.6
1.92.0
CuervoNo4.4
Vinik71.969.2
6.36.5
Hibel25.920.8
7.07.4
McGloneOut9.2
8.57.5
Arzuaga vs CuervoHomeAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
WhitmerYes99.7
Vitale3.44.0
CuervoNo0.3
4.93.0
Arzuaga3.75.0
Mann vs FordeHomeAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Mann1.02.0
Whitmer2.01.0
McGlone8.49.3
Colon8.59.3
Stoker5.010.0
10.110.8
Forde14.4No
11.08.2
Bly80.690.0
11.711.9
Stoker vs VitaleHomeAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Round Bye100.0*Sacko100.0*Average seed
Vitale4.73.5
Cuervo3.64.2
Arzuaga3.84.3
McGlone9.38.3
Colon9.38.5
StokerNo6.0
8.110.4
Bly84.380.8
11.811.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Noah Vinik for adding this league.