Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances 2013

Plays at Tennessee, playoff odds up 1 to 36.7%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17 +0.6
+0.1
Denver 7 Baltimore 21 -0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh-5.4-1.6+5.4
-0.9*-0.3+0.9
+1.0*-0.5-1.0
-0.7-0.1+0.7
Miami vs Cleveland+0.3*-0.5-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay-0.2*-0.9+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh-5.9*-0.8+5.3
-1.0*-0.5+0.9
+1.1*-0.5-0.9
-0.7-0.0+0.6
Denver vs NY Giants-0.4*-0.1+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
San Diego vs Philadelphia-0.3*-0.1+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.3*-0.4+0.3
Kansas City vs Dallas-0.2*-0.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
15.5-16In95.2%100No167*
1515-1-098.1%49.991611000No365
14.514-1-197.947.988642No48
1414-2-096.738.28716321000000No2,860*
13.513-2-194.132.18217421210No321
1313-3-091.426.47430953211100000No13,336
12-2-280.020.06010101010No10
12.512-3-189.621.5677964221100No1,416*
1212-4-084.618.156111010753221110000.0%44,266
11-3-290.716.76119294222No54
11.511-4-180.514.14516101185433211000No4,341*
1111-5-074.310.731204011865432211000.0107,969
10-4-274.412.130176149105432121No199
10.510-5-168.17.220216112986543221100.09,650*
1010-6-061.75.8111910210987654332110.2201,398
9-5-261.94.7141611299698444120No386
9.59-6-155.13.651513310988765433210.216,229
8-5-383.3No50171717No6
99-7-048.32.92101369988766544310.4292,524
8-6-250.61.3210116101196776443110.7611
8.58-7-140.51.7151188888877655320.621,463
7-6-343.8No6131313136613136No16
88-8-034.81.3028107788877766531.3333,699
7-7-230.90.40378571097881075520.7703
7.57-8-127.90.5015105778888877641.521,657
6-7-314.3No77777211429No14
77-9-022.80.4003104667888898872.9299,939
6-8-222.80.703747668810889862.5605
6.56-9-117.70.20018455678899101093.817,067
5-8-323.1No81515883115No13
66-10-013.70.101734566789101112125.8212,588
5-9-210.9No062257788991411125.8433
5.55-10-19.00.000423456689111314157.510,427
4-9-3OutNo505050.04
55-11-07.20.0004123456791113162010.7117,793
4-10-28.3No422235771281117197.5241
4.54-11-14.3No2112346791114182413.74,677
3-10-3OutNo257525.04
44-12-03.20.002112234671013192917.749,633
3-11-23.4No31424698194327.089
3.53-12-11.9No1111223471014193723.21,675
33-13-01.30.0100112346813214126.815,436
2-12-2OutNo6126294741.217
2.52-13-10.5No1111143911234632.6371
22-14-00.2No000001134611215237.63,404*
1.51-14-1OutNo26236954.248
11-15-00.2No01012138176752.9484
0.50-15-1OutNo406060.05
00-16-0OutNo11149593.6171
Total:36.7%3.0%66666666666666663.2%1,808,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+1.3*+0.2-1.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh+1.4+0.0-1.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-09631
15.515-0-16040
1515-1-050191072342111001
14.514-1-14817104246422
1414-2-03820128543221111100000000000
13.513-2-13217135755251121111010
1313-3-0261612876433322111111000000000000
12-2-22020101010101010
12.512-3-122151188754333221111100000000
1212-4-018131087655443222211111110000000000
11-3-21722911746242426222
11.511-4-1141010987554443222212111110000000
1111-5-0119887665544333322221111111000000
10-4-2125101073955655333232212112
10.510-5-178766656554443323222211111000000
1010-6-066666655554444333332222211111000
9-5-2548655654546543443221232111010
9.59-6-145555555554444443333222212111100
8-5-31717171733
99-7-034444444444444444333333222221110
8-6-213444555555463343333433312111101
8.58-7-122333444444444444444343333222211
7-6-36666136666661366
88-8-012233333444444444444444333333221
7-7-201323433234355523344545533424111
7.57-8-111122233333444444444444444443322
6-7-377777141477777
77-9-001112222233333344444444444444443
6-8-211112211323342434444455446433442
6.56-9-100111122222333333444444555555554
5-8-3158888815823
66-10-000011111222222333344445555666666
5-9-211011112214334343646436668566
5.55-10-100001011111222223344444556677888
4-9-3252550
55-11-0000000111111122223334445556788911
4-10-20111112203214335557566710117
4.54-11-1000000011111122223334556678101114
3-10-3255025
44-12-000000000001111112222333455679101318
3-11-2111232143244364111727
3.53-12-1000000010111121123445588121523
33-13-00000000000000111111222345679111627
2-12-2666182441
2.52-13-1101110132425711111833
22-14-000000000111111223468121838
1.51-14-124882354
11-15-00000011112142582053
0.50-15-1202060
00-16-01111494
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333