Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsOdds of winning championshipChance will finish regular season at seedOdds of getting last
TuesdayPGW-OTLTGD%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength11/28
Nick TreadoWMichael Gowen 79.5-5499-020271.7100.0%+0.147.8%-3.548439001.6-0.03No2.759Austin HarmanNick Treado
TIm FrerichsWDrew Tabor 131.1-89.899-020166.9100.0+0.246.1+3.3464310001.6+0.06No1.759Michael GowenTIm Frerichs
Austin HarmanWCurtis Bolduc 129.6-87.488-03031.898.2+4.16.1+0.261467112002.9+0.12No3.685at Nick TreadoAustin Harman
Brian YonishWTaylor Thomson 100-95.566-0502.544.5+12.2No-0.007382517931005.0+0.60No-0.05.537Dan BowmanBrian Yonish
Dan BowmanWAlex Koma 86.8-84.666-05010.133.9+4.7No-0.0043025191542005.3+0.42No-0.06.537at Brian YonishDan Bowman
Samuel CortesWBrent Kitchen 111.7-84.666-05013.915.4+3.9No-0.0021427301772005.8+0.92No-0.04.537at Curtis BolducSamuel Cortes
Brent KitchenLSamuel Cortes 84.6-111.755-060-55.77.3-20.0No-0.0071521281584106.7-0.900.0%-0.07.463Taylor ThomsonBrent Kitchen
Drew TaborLTIm Frerichs 89.8-131.144-070-43.60.4-2.0No03514252421618.5-0.181.2-0.910.389at Alex KomaDrew Tabor
Curtis BolducLAustin Harman 87.4-129.644-070-110.90.3-2.1No02492125221418.9-0.441.2-0.58.389Samuel CortesCurtis Bolduc
Michael GowenLNick Treado 54-79.544-070-10.70.1-1.0No01272027311029.2-0.362.3-0.59.389at TIm FrerichsMichael Gowen
Taylor ThomsonLBrian Yonish 95.5-10033-080-121.5Out-0.1No0014917551410.6-0.1414.1-2.011.315at Brent KitchenTaylor Thomson
Alex KomaLDan Bowman 84.6-86.822-090-154.5Out-0.0No0014138111.7-0.0781.2+3.912.241Drew TaborAlex Koma

Don't get last

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/21
Brent Kitchen 84.6 Samuel Cortes 111.7
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman+0.6
Brian Yonish+2.9
Dan Bowman+1.7
Samuel Cortes+9.3
No
+0.9
Brent Kitchen-15.2
No
-0.8
Drew Tabor+0.2
Curtis Bolduc+0.4
Michael Gowen+0.2
Brian Yonish 100 Taylor Thomson 95.5
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman-0.9
Brian Yonish+9.3
No
+0.5
Dan Bowman-2.5
Samuel Cortes-1.6
Brent Kitchen-3.1
Drew Tabor-0.4
-0.4
Curtis Bolduc-0.4
Michael Gowen-0.2
-0.6
Taylor ThomsonOut
+5.9
-0.4
Alex Koma-4.7
Alex Koma 84.6 Dan Bowman 86.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman-0.5
Brian Yonish-1.9
Dan Bowman+6.1
No
+0.4
Samuel Cortes-1.2
Brent Kitchen-1.7
Drew Tabor-0.4
-0.7
Curtis Bolduc-0.2
-0.8
Michael Gowen-0.2
-1.0
Taylor Thomson-5.0
Alex Koma*Out
+7.6
-0.1
Curtis Bolduc 87.4 Austin Harman 129.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick Treado-1.0
TIm Frerichs-0.9
Austin Harman+4.1
+1.8
+0.2
Brian Yonish-0.6
Dan Bowman-0.6
Samuel Cortes-0.5
Brent Kitchen-0.6
Drew Tabor+0.1
Curtis Bolduc-1.9
+0.6
-0.4
Michael Gowen+0.1
Alex Koma-0.3
TIm Frerichs 131.1 Drew Tabor 89.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick Treado-5.3
-0.1
TIm Frerichs+0.2
+6.1
+0.1
Austin Harman-0.8
Brian Yonish+0.3
Dan Bowman+0.4
Samuel Cortes+0.2
Brent Kitchen+0.3
Drew Tabor-1.6
+0.5
-0.3
Curtis Bolduc+0.1
Michael Gowen+0.1
Alex Koma-0.3
Nick Treado 79.5 Michael Gowen 54
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick Treado+6.6
+0.1
TIm Frerichs-5.6
-0.1
Austin Harman-1.0
Dan Bowman+0.2
Brent Kitchen+0.2
Drew Tabor+0.1
Curtis Bolduc+0.1
Michael Gowen-0.8
+0.7
-0.3
Taylor Thomson-0.2
Alex Koma-0.3
Week of 11/28
Brian Yonish vs Dan BowmanIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick Treado100.0In100.0
TIm Frerichs100.0In100.0
Brian Yonish72.747.116.4
4.34.85.7
Dan Bowman8.531.859.3
6.15.24.6
Samuel Cortes14.614.516.1
5.85.95.8
Brent Kitchen5.47.89.3
6.76.86.7
Curtis Bolduc vs Samuel CortesHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick TreadoInIn100.0
TIm FrerichsInIn99.9
Brian Yonish49.448.141.9
4.84.95.1
Dan Bowman38.137.631.6
5.25.25.4
Samuel Cortes3.46.722.0
6.76.05.3
Brent Kitchen8.88.16.6
6.76.76.8
Drew Tabor8.78.68.5
Curtis Bolduc0.7OutOut
0.00.01.9
7.98.89.5
Michael Gowen9.39.29.1
Taylor Thomson14.4*14.313.9
10.710.710.6
Brent Kitchen vs Taylor ThomsonHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Brian Yonish43.146.447.3
5.04.94.9
Dan Bowman32.835.635.8
5.45.35.2
Samuel Cortes14.616.016.7
5.95.75.6
Brent Kitchen10.82.80.8
No*No0.0
6.36.97.6
Michael Gowen1.62.03.7
Taylor Thomson20.28.72.8
10.910.710.0
Alex Koma76.487.190.3
11.711.811.8
Nick Treado vs Austin HarmanHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick TreadoInIn99.9
65.745.021.8
1.31.62.0
TIm Frerichs34.252.763.5
1.71.61.5
Austin Harman97.099.999.9
0.12.314.7
3.22.82.5
Alex Koma vs Drew TaborHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Brent Kitchen0.0*NoNo
6.66.76.8
Drew TaborOutOut0.6
3.50.0No
9.58.88.1
Curtis Bolduc3.00.40.3
8.78.89.0
Michael Gowen5.51.00.7
9.09.09.2
Taylor Thomson27.715.07.3
Alex Koma60.283.591.7
11.411.811.9
TIm Frerichs vs Michael GowenHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick Treado43.060.471.3
1.71.51.3
TIm FrerichsInIn99.8
51.730.519.0
1.61.92.1
Austin Harman5.39.19.7
2.92.82.7
Brent Kitchen6.76.86.9
Drew Tabor8.58.78.8
Curtis Bolduc8.99.19.2
Michael GowenOutOut0.5
2.80.10.0
9.48.78.0
Taylor Thomson14.014.814.7
10.610.710.8
Alex Koma81.082.282.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you NCT for adding this league.