Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsOdds of getting #1 playoff seedChance will finish regular season at seedOdds of getting last seed
TuesdayPGW-L-TGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength11/26
OCWPOPP 161.67-151.082,021.49-2-0333.91In77.4%+31.977157101.3+0.60No1.538at NANAOC
SWAYLKONZ 71.89-207.671,838.338-3-071.13In11.0-27.51140251782.7-0.73No3.508at APSWAY
NANAWFAT 143.39-138.281,620.418-3-021.41In9.2+3.49203121193.2+0.40No5.503OCNANA
APWchuk 172.23-153.371,817.567-4-0116.32In+0.81.0+0.11131733363.9+0.50No2.514SWAYAP
POPPLOC 151.08-161.671,789.787-4-0193.01In1.3-7.91112129373.9-0.65No4.524KONZPOPP
CALKWAR 149.57-141.791,700.394-7-0-173.0442.5%+25.2No423317716.9+0.790.9%-3.06.480at FATCALK
chukLAP 153.37-172.231,563.14-7-0-88.1736.0-14.1No3633141437.1-0.392.6+2.08.489ARchuk
ARLCALK 141.79-149.571,649.033-8-0-207.279.9-8.2No10193227128.1-0.3912.1+7.99.475at chukAR
FATLNANA 138.28-143.391,543.953-8-0-199.8111.7-3.8No12142732168.3-0.4115.9+10.810.475CALKFAT
KONZWSWAY 207.67-71.891,532.052-9-0-67.490.0+0.0No021020699.6+0.2768.5-17.87.491at POPPKONZ

You can't beat OC.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/19
chuk 153.37 AP 172.23
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting #1 playoff seed100.0*Odds of getting last seed100.0*Average seed
OC-0.4
SWAY-0.3
-0.1
NANA-0.1
APIn
+0.9
+0.5
POPP-0.2
-0.1
CALK+6.1
+0.1
chuk-16.2
+0.5
-0.4
AR+5.0
+0.1
FAT+4.3
+0.1
KONZ-0.2
AR 141.79 CALK 149.57
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting #1 playoff seed100.0*Odds of getting last seed100.0*Average seed
AP-0.2
CALK+13.6
-3.5
+0.6
chuk-1.1
-0.0
AR-13.4
+3.6
-0.6
FAT+1.2
-0.2
+0.0
NANA 143.39 FAT 138.28
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting #1 playoff seed100.0*Odds of getting last seed100.0*Average seed
OC-1.7
-0.1
SWAY-2.0
-0.1
NANA+4.5
+0.4
AP+0.2
-0.3
-0.1
POPP-0.5
-0.1
CALK+1.7
-0.2
+0.1
chuk+3.9
+0.1
AR+2.9
-0.5
+0.1
FAT-8.8
+3.6
-0.4
KONZ-2.9
KONZ 207.67 SWAY 71.89
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting #1 playoff seed100.0*Odds of getting last seed100.0*Average seed
OC+11.9
+0.2
SWAY-18.9
-0.5
NANA+2.7
+0.1
AP+0.5
+0.1
POPP+3.8
+0.1
CALK+3.5
chuk+0.7
AR+3.6
FAT+4.4
KONZ-12.1
+0.2
POPP 151.08 OC 161.67
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting #1 playoff seed100.0*Odds of getting last seed100.0*Average seed
OC+19.7
+0.5
SWAY-8.9
-0.0
NANA-1.8
+0.0
AP-0.4
+0.1
POPP-8.6
-0.6
Week of 11/26
FAT vs CALKIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting #1 playoff seed100.0*Odds of getting last seed100.0*Average seed
CALK17.027.167.9
1.90.4No
7.57.06.3
chuk45.853.825.7
2.92.52.2
7.16.97.2
AR13.317.16.3
14.810.49.4
8.27.98.1
FAT23.91.6Out
3.622.927.8
7.68.78.9
KONZ0.00.4Out
76.863.860.6
9.79.59.5
chuk vs ARHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting #1 playoff seed100.0*Odds of getting last seed100.0*Average seed
CALK33.257.251.8
0.70.61.1
7.06.76.9
chuk56.125.415.1
No1.75.3
6.57.37.8
AROut0.220.6
22.217.81.2
8.88.67.4
FAT10.717.212.5
14.114.617.9
8.28.08.3
KONZOut0.00.0
63.065.374.4
9.59.59.6
NANA vs OCHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting #1 playoff seed100.0*Odds of getting last seed100.0*Average seed
OC56.573.895.7
1.61.31.0
SWAY18.520.24.3
2.82.52.6
NANA20.10.4No
2.53.63.8
AP2.13.4No
4.13.83.8
POPP2.82.2No
4.03.83.8
POPP vs KONZHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting #1 playoff seed100.0*Odds of getting last seed100.0*Average seed
OC76.778.378.2
SWAY10.811.311.3
2.82.62.6
NANA9.1*9.39.3
3.33.13.1
AP0.91.21.2
4.13.73.7
POPP2.5NoNo
3.54.34.4
CALKNoNo2.0
chukNoNo5.6
AR5.16.520.2
8.08.08.3
FAT7.28.326.2
8.18.18.4
KONZOutOut0.0
87.785.246.1
9.99.89.2
AP vs SWAYHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting #1 playoff seed100.0*Odds of getting last seed100.0*Average seed
OC83.484.171.0
1.21.21.4
SWAY1.42.521.1
3.42.92.0
NANA11.311.47.0
3.22.93.2
AP2.1NoNo
3.24.44.6
POPP1.81.90.9
4.03.73.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Patrick for adding this league.