Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPIStrength2/25
KarlstadWEtobicoke 25-21839-3-069.6100.0%+0.05441310000001.5+0.311.692at ProvidenceKarlstad Direwolves
Moscow1648-3-030.9100.0+0.045494100000001.6+0.072.669at EtobicokeMoscow Mighty Moose
Hidden Valleyat Innsbruck1427-6-023.196.7+5.90330241712742104.6+0.743.530AmsterdamHidden Valley Voltigeurs
Providenceat Amsterdam1427-6-015.896.2-3.40224241913853104.8-1.654.530KarlstadProvidence Marksmen
InnsbruckHidden Valley1236-6-0-26.991.7+10.503201817141185205.3+1.067.500at Happy AdventureInnsbruck Flames
Happy Adventureat Manchester1226-7-0-13.678.4+4.100491417181712726.8+0.085.470InnsbruckHappy Adventure Sunshine
Niagara Fallsat Wolfsburg1045-6-0-33.973.5+3.201691214161614946.9+0.248.466ManchesterNiagara Falls Flyers
WolfsburgNiagara Falls1045-6-03971.6+1.7016912141516151037.0+0.136.466Wolfsburg HC
AmsterdamProvidence1035-7-0-8.346.2-24.40013581217232298.3-1.169.436at Hidden ValleyAmsterdam Amstel Bevers
ManchesterHappy Adventure844-7-0-45.641.9+3.600235811141824168.5+0.1311.400at Niagara FallsManchester Steel
EtobicokeLKarlstad 2-25105-10-0-50.13.8-1.4000138246410.5+0.0510.361MoscowEtobicoke Nighthawks
sort: Div0150-0-00Out10012.012.500Quebec Renards (Quebec) Divison: Wales Division (Wales) (playoffs: 3)

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/31
Happy Adventure 7 Providence 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Karlstad+0.1
Moscow+0.1
Hidden Valley-0.9
Providence-0.7
-0.6
Innsbruck-1.5
-0.1
Happy Adventure+12.6
+0.9
Niagara Falls-2.3
-0.1
Wolfsburg-2.1
-0.1
Amsterdam-2.3
-0.1
Manchester-2.3
-0.1
Etobicoke-0.6
Amsterdam vs InnsbruckIf winner is:HomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hidden Valley96.296.997.1
4.54.54.6
Providence95.696.396.7
4.84.84.9
Innsbruck84.292.897.5
6.15.44.7
Happy Adventure76.178.880.2
6.96.86.8
Niagara Falls71.472.775.2
Wolfsburg69.270.473.5
Amsterdam64.647.531.9
7.58.39.0
Manchester39.840.743.7
Etobicoke3.13.94.3
10.510.510.4
Moscow vs ManchesterHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Karlstad1.61.41.3
Moscow1.51.71.9
Hidden Valley97.0*96.795.9
Providence96.5*96.295.3
4.84.84.9
Innsbruck92.291.590.2
5.35.35.4
Happy Adventure79.578.275.1
6.86.87.0
Niagara Falls74.672.770.1
6.97.07.1
Wolfsburg72.870.668.1
7.07.07.1
Amsterdam47.645.342.0
8.38.48.5
Manchester35.745.160.4
8.88.47.6
Etobicoke4.13.72.9
10.410.510.6
Hidden Valley vs Niagara FallsHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hidden Valley99.398.193.3
4.04.55.4
Providence96.4*96.295.9
Innsbruck92.391.590.9
Happy Adventure79.7*78.476.8
Niagara Falls63.575.186.3
7.77.06.0
Wolfsburg72.970.870.0
Amsterdam48.045.343.9
8.38.48.4
Manchester43.540.839.9
Etobicoke4.43.93.1
Wolfsburg vs KarlstadHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Karlstad100.0*InIn
1.81.51.4
Moscow1.51.61.7
Hidden Valley96.2*96.797.0
4.7*4.64.6
Providence95.496.196.5
4.94.84.8
Innsbruck90.691.392.2
5.45.35.3
Happy Adventure76.0*78.379.3
7.06.86.8
Niagara Falls71.172.674.5
7.17.06.9
Wolfsburg86.275.765.7
6.06.87.4
Amsterdam42.545.147.7
8.58.48.3
Manchester38.940.543.2
8.68.68.5
Etobicoke3.13.74.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you WillC for adding this league.