Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Segal10-2-0.833169In87131.1-0.041.790Justin Segal
Lankford9-3-0.75095In13871.9+1.073.717Thomas Lankford
Bersin8-4-0.667120In95514.1-0.942.645Bradford Bersin
Dumas7-5-0.583-2798.6%+8.753137814.0+0.955.572Daniel Dumas
Etomi7-5-0.58310596.0-3.347321744.3-0.937.572Ehimere Etomi
Li7-5-0.583-8378.1+10.551658226.0+0.206.572Alex Li
Ellerbe6-5-1.5428127.3-11.31017736.6-0.044.536Mason Ellerbe
Burrow4-8-0.333-123Out-3.848321638.7-0.268.355Robert Burrow
Anderson4-8-0.333-27Out-0.720353599.3-0.419.355Kyle Anderson
Singer4-8-0.333-131Out101645299.9+0.9611.355Andrew Singer
Fornshell3-9-0.250-77Out22163471210.1+0.1410.283Greg Fornshell
Henderson2-9-1.208-102Out128811.9-0.6912.246Clay Henderson

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/17
Dumas 111 Burrow 82
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lankford-0.2
Dumas+24.8
+0.8
Etomi-0.2
-0.2
Li-3.3
Ellerbe-3.5
Burrow-16.4
-0.7
Anderson-1.2
Li 69 Anderson 58
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lankford-0.2
Dumas-1.9
Etomi-0.4
Li+18.9
+0.6
Ellerbe-5.2
Burrow-0.9
Anderson-10.4
-0.7
Ellerbe 89 Segal 90
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SegalIn
BersinIn
Dumas+2.2
Etomi+0.4
Li+3.7
Ellerbe-9.3
-0.3
Burrow+1.4
Anderson+1.6
Etomi 74 Bersin 78
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bersin+0.4
+0.5
Dumas+0.2
Etomi-0.3
-0.5
Li-0.3
Lankford 99 Henderson 85
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lankford+0.4
+0.2
Bersin-0.1
Li-0.4
HendersonOut
-0.2
Fornshell 91 Singer 81
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SingerOut
-0.7
Fornshell+0.7
Week of 11/24
Burrow 76 Li 89
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dumas-3.7
Etomi-0.3
Li+20.5
+0.4
Ellerbe-12.8
-0.1
BurrowOut
-0.5
Ellerbe 72 Anderson 62
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dumas-3.3
Etomi-0.4
Li-8.6
Ellerbe+16.8
+0.4
BurrowOut
AndersonOut
-0.5
Fornshell+0.2
Etomi 62 Dumas 83
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dumas+9.4
+0.9
Etomi-0.9
-0.7
Li-1.2
Ellerbe-6.6
AndersonOut
Bersin 78 Lankford 84
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lankford+1.0
Bersin-0.9
Singer 112 Henderson 101
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Singer+0.7
Henderson-0.7
Segal 72 Fornshell 56
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Anderson+0.0
Fornshell-0.2
Week of 12/1
Ellerbe vs LankfordIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Segal1.01.01.2
Lankford2.02.01.8
Dumas95.498.3In
4.24.04.0
Etomi87.687.9In
4.54.54.2
Li31.732.2In
6.56.55.7
Ellerbe85.381.6Out
5.86.07.0
Li vs SegalHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Segal1.51.01.0
Lankford1.52.02.0
Bersin4.24.04.0
Dumas94.794.7In
4.24.24.0
Etomi91.591.697.7
4.64.44.2
LiIn82.370.3
5.25.96.2
Ellerbe13.931.432.0
6.96.66.5
Singer vs EtomiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dumas99.198.398.3
3.33.54.4
Etomi86.593.4In
5.55.13.8
Li82.476.676.4
5.75.96.1
Ellerbe32.031.625.3
6.46.56.7
Burrow9.09.08.6
Anderson9.99.99.1
Singer8.88.810.4
Fornshell10.410.410.0
Henderson vs DumasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dumas92.798.8In
5.24.63.7
Etomi97.695.795.6
3.43.84.5
Li77.8*78.278.2
5.95.96.0
Ellerbe31.9*27.326.1
6.46.66.7
Fornshell10.610.510.0
Henderson11.411.512.0
Burrow vs FornshellHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Burrow8.28.59.5
Anderson9.19.09.7
Singer9.89.510.2
Fornshell11.211.18.5
Henderson11.811.912.0
Bersin vs AndersonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bersin4.04.04.3
Li6.06.05.7
Burrow8.59.09.4
Anderson9.78.98.1
Singer9.99.910.2
Fornshell10.010.410.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Brad Bersin for adding this league.