"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsOdds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)Chance will finish regular season at seedOdds of being in Last Place Bowl
11/14GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength11/21
Ryan ManionWBradford Gregg 127.6-112.17-3-0.700252.999.8%+0.155.2%+33.9322422137302.5+0.93No1.662Dustin HelleRyan Manion
Dan Anderson, RLTom Taylor 84.1-89.97-3-0.70031.999.7-0.255.1-22.5352019149302.5-0.64No2.662Bradford GreggDan Anderson, Ryan Ostrye
pete lLJacob Jenkins 61.8-100.67-3-0.70028.497.6-2.237.7-15.017212015141123.3-0.79No4.662at Nathan Burchfielpete l
Nathan BurchfielLStephen Gombita 91.5-97.97-3-0.700198.798.2-1.729.8-15.713171419181723.7-0.87No7.662pete lNathan Burchfiel
Chris AndersonWchris sink 126.3-105.16-4-0.600-9.884.5+4.212.7+10.721011162123132004.8+0.63No-0.05.581at Anthony HalleyChris Anderson
Stephen GombitaWNathan Burchfiel 97.9-91.56-4-0.60066.182.7+9.79.4+8.52814172121161004.8+1.02No-0.03.581at chris sinkStephen Gombita
Jacob JenkinsWpete l 100.6-61.85-5-0.5007237.1+1.70.0+0.00015112155520006.5+0.250.0%-1.06.500at Tom TaylorJacob Jenkins
Bradford GreggLRyan Manion 112.1-127.63-7-0.300-95.10.0-0.7No00122212217169.8-0.3333.9+12.79.338at Dan Anderson, RBradford Gregg
Dustin HelleWAnthony Halley 113.1-80.43-7-0.300-148.80.0-0.1No00122171824179.9+0.8641.6-22.712.338at Ryan ManionDustin Helle
chris sinkLChris Anderson 105.1-126.33-7-0.300-115.30.1-5.5No02201920162310.0-0.9539.1+20.710.338Stephen Gombitachris sink
Anthony HalleyLDustin Helle 80.4-113.13-7-0.300-110.40.2-5.3No002152221172310.0-1.0939.7+25.111.338Chris AndersonAnthony Halley
Tom TaylorWDan Anderson, R 89.9-84.13-7-0.300-170.60.1+0.0No05111819252110.1+0.9945.8-34.88.338Jacob JenkinsTom Taylor

Don't get last

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/14
pete l 61.8 Jacob Jenkins 100.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion-0.3
+6.0
+0.2
Dan Anderson, R+3.7
pete l-0.5
-19.9
-0.7
Nathan Burchfiel-0.3
+7.2
Chris Anderson-7.7
+2.3
Stephen Gombita-8.1
+0.8
Jacob Jenkins+21.0
-1.0
+0.6
Bradford Gregg-0.3
-0.3
Dustin Helle+0.5
chris sink-1.8
Anthony Halley-1.9
-0.2
Tom Taylor+1.0
Nathan Burchfiel 91.5 Stephen Gombita 97.9
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion-0.2
+3.3
+0.1
Dan Anderson, R+2.9
pete l+12.2
Nathan Burchfiel-0.3
-21.2
-0.9
Chris Anderson-4.1
+1.0
Stephen Gombita+14.4
+1.9
No
+0.9
Jacob Jenkins-6.4
Bradford Gregg-0.2
chris sink-1.7
Anthony Halley-1.3
Chris Anderson 126.3 chris sink 105.1
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion-0.4
Dan Anderson, R+0.2
pete l-0.4
Nathan Burchfiel-0.3
Chris Anderson+9.7
+1.0
No
+0.4
Stephen Gombita+0.1
Jacob Jenkins-5.5
-0.2
Bradford Gregg-0.3
-2.6
+0.1
Dustin Helle-0.7
chris sink-3.8
+6.4
-0.4
Anthony Halley-0.3
-0.4
Tom Taylor-2.4
Dustin Helle 113.1 Anthony Halley 80.4
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Chris Anderson+1.6
Stephen Gombita+1.0
Jacob Jenkins+1.0
Bradford Gregg+7.7
Dustin Helle+0.2
-27.7
+0.9
Anthony Halley-3.9
+19.3
-0.8
Tom Taylor+0.6
-0.2
Bradford Gregg 112.1 Ryan Manion 127.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion+0.3
+5.3
+0.3
Dan Anderson, R-2.6
pete l-0.4
Nathan Burchfiel-1.9
Chris Anderson-0.2
Stephen Gombita-0.2
Jacob Jenkins-0.2
Bradford Gregg-0.6
+5.4
-0.3
Dustin Helle-2.7
chris sink+0.2
-0.8
Anthony Halley-0.5
Tom Taylor-1.1
Dan Anderson, R 84.1 Tom Taylor 89.9
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion+9.4
Dan Anderson, R-0.1
-22.9
-0.7
pete l+5.3
+0.2
Nathan Burchfiel+6.4
+0.3
Chris Anderson+0.7
Stephen Gombita+1.1
Jacob Jenkins-0.2
Bradford Gregg+5.5
Dustin Helle+10.1
-0.3
chris sink+7.9
-0.2
Anthony Halley+2.8
Tom Taylor-26.1
+0.8
Week of 11/21
Anthony Halley vs Chris AndersonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
pete l97.997.997.4
44.844.835.1
3.13.13.4
Chris Anderson62.286.092.8
0.51.217.3
5.95.34.3
Stephen Gombita85.487.581.7
11.111.08.8
4.54.54.9
Jacob Jenkins55.630.730.2
0.0No0.0
6.26.66.6
Dustin Helle48.048.839.2
10.210.39.9
chris sink45.445.436.7
10.210.39.9
Anthony Halley0.7OutOut
19.530.447.1
9.19.510.3
Tom Taylor51.542.343.7
10.310.010.0
Tom Taylor vs Jacob JenkinsHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, RIn99.699.6
Chris Anderson92.592.780.4
4.64.64.9
Stephen Gombita89.887.779.1
4.74.74.9
Jacob Jenkins17.423.247.2
NoNo0.0
0.0*NoNo
7.16.86.2
Bradford Gregg43.843.628.8
10.110.19.7
Dustin Helle48.038.238.3
10.19.89.9
chris sink45.336.435.8
10.29.99.9
Anthony Halley0.50.50.0
47.646.035.6
10.310.39.9
Tom Taylor0.2OutOut
15.335.761.4
9.09.810.6
chris sink vs Stephen GombitaHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, R61.361.352.8
2.32.32.6
Nathan Burchfiel98.698.698.0
35.735.527.6
3.53.53.8
Chris Anderson90.783.382.2
12.212.012.9
4.54.94.8
Stephen Gombita67.6*83.188.3
0.10.712.9
5.95.14.4
Jacob Jenkins43.437.834.8
6.46.56.6
Bradford Gregg41.142.131.2
10.110.29.7
Dustin Helle44.839.540.4
10.19.99.9
chris sink0.3OutOut
18.230.146.8
9.19.510.3
Anthony Halley44.735.937.8
10.29.99.9
Tom Taylor51.252.343.8
10.310.410.0
Nathan Burchfiel vs pete lHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion58.951.651.4
2.42.52.6
pete l95.399.399.8
14.542.761.0
4.23.22.4
Nathan Burchfiel99.9*98.296.5
48.932.310.7
2.93.54.5
Dan Anderson, R vs Bradford GreggHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion53.660.061.0
2.52.42.4
Dan Anderson, RIn99.598.8
61.042.532.5
2.32.93.5
pete l35.646.745.8
3.43.03.1
Chris Anderson84.6*84.884.2
11.616.616.9
4.84.64.7
Bradford GreggOut*Out0.0
39.932.911.0
10.09.68.9
Dustin Helle39.748.348.8
9.910.310.2
chris sink37.734.944.4
9.99.910.2
Tom Taylor43.842.453.6
10.010.010.3
Ryan Manion vs Dustin HelleHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan ManionIn99.599.0
62.042.828.9
2.22.93.6
pete l35.935.944.7
3.43.43.0
Nathan Burchfiel28.038.336.6
3.83.43.5
Chris Anderson84.3*84.385.3
11.611.217.2
4.84.84.5
Stephen Gombita8.415.013.5
4.94.64.7
Bradford Gregg32.2*34.440.5
9.89.810.1
Dustin HelleOut*Out0.1
48.232.816.4
10.29.69.0
Anthony Halley37.737.847.1
10.010.010.3
Tom Taylor43.852.953.3
10.010.410.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you AJH for adding this league.