NFC South Playoff Chances 2013

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Reg Season Champ			Chance will finish regular season at seed																		College Level
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

New Orleans		0	-	0	-	0		0	37.5	%	+0.0	3.1	%	+0.0	6	6	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.5		3.1	%	-0.0	4	.500	New Orleans Saints

Atlanta		0	-	0	-	0		0	37.3		-0.3	3.1		-0.0	6	6	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.5	-0.03	3.1		-0.0	4	.500	Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay		0	-	0	-	0		0	37.3		-0.2	3.1		-0.0	6	6	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.5	-0.02	3.1		-0.0	4	.500	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina		0	-	0	-	0		0	36.8		-0.7	3.0		-0.1	6	6	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.6	-0.08	3.2		+0.1	4	.500	Carolina Panthers

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/5
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	-0.3						-0.0
Atlanta	-0.3						-0.0
Carolina	-0.3						-0.0

New Orleans vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	43.2*37.131.7		4.0*2.72.1		2.1*2.74.0		7.8*8.59.2
Atlanta	31.635.643.1		2.1*3.04.0		4.02.52.2		9.28.67.8

Seattle vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	37.935.837.1						8.5*8.68.5
Atlanta	37.7*38.737.0						8.5*8.48.6
Tampa Bay	37.7*37.436.9						8.5*8.48.6
Carolina	31.4*36.342.2		2.1*2.73.9		4.1*2.72.2		9.3*8.67.9

NY Jets vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	38.1*37.836.9						8.4*8.58.6
Atlanta	37.9*36.836.7						8.58.68.6
Tampa Bay	32.1*37.742.5		2.1*2.84.0		4.0*2.72.1		9.1*8.47.9
Carolina	37.4*36.036.2						8.5*8.68.6

Week of 9/12
New Orleans vs Tampa BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	43.2*37.631.7		4.0*3.02.1		2.1*2.74.0		7.8*8.59.2
Tampa Bay	31.5*37.443.1		2.1*2.84.0		4.0*2.52.1		9.2*8.57.8

Buffalo vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	38.0*36.636.9						8.4*8.68.6
Atlanta	38.0*38.336.7						8.5*8.48.6
Tampa Bay	37.9*36.936.7						8.5*8.58.6
Carolina	31.6*36.541.9		2.1*2.94.0		4.22.62.2		9.2*8.68.0

Atlanta vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	37.1*36.937.9
Atlanta	42.7*37.331.9		4.0*2.82.1		2.1*2.74.0		7.98.59.2
Tampa Bay	36.8*38.437.7						8.68.58.5
Carolina	36.4*36.537.2						8.6*8.78.6

Denver vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	37.8*37.437.2		3.2*2.93.0
Atlanta	37.6*36.737.1						8.5*8.68.5
Tampa Bay	37.6*37.237.1		3.1*3.33.0
Carolina	37.3*37.236.4

San Diego vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	37.7*38.137.2						8.5*8.48.5
Atlanta	37.6*36.737.1
Tampa Bay	37.6*37.137.0
Carolina	37.1*36.836.5

Kansas City vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	37.7*37.137.2
Atlanta	37.5*37.637.1
Tampa Bay	37.5*37.037.0						8.5*8.68.6
Carolina	37.0*36.736.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.