Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances 2013

Did not play, playoff odds down 3 to 49.4%
1-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Denver 7 Baltimore 21 +6.4
+1.1
-1.1
+0.8
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17 +0.6
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Miami vs Cleveland+0.4*-0.6-0.4
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+0.4*-0.2-0.4
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay-0.3*-0.5+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs Cleveland+5.7*-0.1-6.8
+1.3*-0.7-1.6
-0.5*-0.3+0.6
+0.7*+0.0-0.8
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.4*-0.1+0.4
Kansas City vs Dallas-0.3*+0.6+0.4
Denver vs NY Giants-0.3*-0.3+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
San Diego vs Philadelphia-0.2*-0.4+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
1615-0-099.5%74.6%9721No366
15.514-0-1In64.0928No25
1514-1-098.546.8920521000No2,389
13-0-2In50.0100No2
14.513-1-198.543.290153100No264
1413-2-096.435.486163211000000No14,030
12-1-2In50.0946No18
13.512-2-195.228.18227421100No1,314
1312-3-091.524.37440853211000000No50,490
11-2-290.515.9818255No63
12.511-3-189.119.16860964321110000No4,475
10-2-3InNo100No3
1211-4-084.115.656111010753321110000.0%126,809
10-3-284.112.55392138922211No176
11.510-4-179.211.845152010865332111000.09,921
9-3-3InNo5050No2
1110-5-073.49.031204010875433211000.0232,186
9-4-275.28.3361741188544212No363
10.59-5-168.25.920226110976543221100.016,979
8-4-387.525.0503813No8
109-6-060.64.711191029987654332110.2322,361
8-5-260.12.71118102910887552221No564
9.58-6-154.43.15151339987765433210.221,177
7-5-370.0No10302010101010No10
98-7-046.62.22101368888776554320.5343,771
7-6-246.72.011113381178596643410.2550
8.57-7-139.91.3051287888877665320.720,150
6-6-347.1No612661866181266No17
87-8-032.80.902896778888776541.3286,775
6-7-232.30.402986769997957431.8489
7.56-8-125.90.4015105678888887741.714,721
5-7-355.6No111111221111111111.19
76-9-021.10.300394567888999873.0185,384
5-8-218.40.3473468101177911663.7321
6.55-9-116.10.10183456789910101093.88,266*
65-10-012.20.101623456789111213126.192,523
4-9-211.3No16416411810111013973.5142
5.54-10-17.50.10422355799111314168.73,385
54-11-06.20.003123456791114172011.034,967
3-10-26.4No246464111311152317.047
4.53-11-13.2No2012234681314172613.91,028*
43-12-02.5No1011234671014203118.49,685
2-11-2OutNo88178833178.312
3.52-12-10.8No00113247714203924.9245
32-13-01.0No100011246813234127.51,924
1-12-2OutNo10066.73
2.51-13-1OutNo4448126856.025
21-14-0OutNo002469186145.1244
1.50-14-1OutNo505050.02
10-15-0OutNo129795.4152
Total:49.4%5.0%1410757776665554431.4%1,808,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Denver 7 Baltimore 21 -1.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore vs Cleveland-1.2-0.1+1.4
Denver vs NY Giants-0.0+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1615-0-07513521210000
15.514-0-164841284
1514-1-04720107432211110000000
13-0-25050
14.513-1-1431812763222212000
1413-2-0351912964432211100000000000000
12-1-2502211666
13.512-2-12822128765322121100000000
1312-3-02416129765433221111110000000000000
11-2-2161416171135552232
12.511-3-119151297754433222111110000000000
10-2-3333333
1211-4-016121097665443322221111110000000000
10-3-21311913377573563131111111
11.510-4-11211987765544433222111111000000000
9-3-35050
1110-5-099877665544433322222111111000000
9-4-28976776665453333231111101
10.59-5-167777665554443333222221111100000
8-4-3251313251313
109-6-055665555554444433332222211111000
8-5-2385545555654554434323121111010
9.58-6-134455555555444443333332221111100
7-5-31010201020101010
98-7-023344444444444444433333322221110
7-6-221324544545655344343433332032110
8.57-7-112333444444444444444433333222111
6-6-36661261266186666
87-8-011222333344444444444444443333221
6-7-201122324334343455444544143442212
7.56-8-101112222333444444444544444443332
5-7-31111111111112211
76-9-001111222223333344444444555554443
5-8-20111231233223254463645735334424
6.55-9-100011112222233334444445555665554
65-10-000001111112222333344445556666776
4-9-21111142112441564577594635644
5.54-10-10000001111222222334444556677889
54-11-00000000111111122223334455667891011
3-10-2224426442424249611917
4.53-11-1000011011111222434566778111214
43-12-0000000000001111122333355679111418
2-11-288888178258
3.52-12-10000121220412466510111825
32-13-0000000001111223456710121627
1-12-23367
2.51-13-14412481256
21-14-002222236891945
1.50-14-15050
10-15-011295
Total:55444444444333333333333222222221