Denver Broncos Playoff Chances 2013

Did not play, playoff odds up 3.3 to 26.7%
0-1-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Denver 7 Baltimore 21 -6.3
-1.1
+1.1
-0.8
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17 +0.3
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Kansas City vs Jacksonville-0.4*+1.2+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Oakland+0.3*+0.4-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Houston vs San Diego+0.3*-0.8-0.3
+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay-0.2*+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Denver vs NY Giants+5.5*+0.8-3.9
+0.6*-0.3-0.5
-1.6*-0.6+1.2
+0.7+0.1-0.5
San Diego vs Philadelphia-0.6*+0.4+0.6
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas-0.5*+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Oakland vs Jacksonville-0.3*+0.0+0.3
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.2*+0.3+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
14.5-15In96.1%100No154*
1414-1-097.7%39.8881532No221
13.513-1-1In20.09037No30
1313-2-093.529.5746095321100000No1,981
12-1-2In50.0100No2
12.512-2-190.920.969708643100No220
1212-3-086.918.35514101064322110000No10,114
11-2-290.99.13693699No11
11.511-3-182.014.945162119752211000No1,075
1111-4-077.011.430225011865432111000.0%36,316
10-3-280.06.724181113131342No45
10.510-4-172.78.02024811297653321100No3,515
9-3-3InNo100No2
1010-5-064.86.1112012211976554322100.195,089
9-4-269.73.91216941414115723111No152
9.59-5-158.34.151614310988655432100.18,366
8-4-3InNo5050No2
99-6-050.73.0291479988765543210.3188,472
8-5-257.83.43918610126846553311No348
8.58-6-143.41.5151298988876654320.414,979
7-5-366.7No3317171717No6
88-7-036.81.3029117888887765430.9289,216
7-6-235.70.7281277888107874310.6535
7.57-7-130.20.7015116778888876541.220,425
6-6-333.38.317888825888No12
77-8-024.40.5003105677888888762.2344,307
6-7-220.40.502855689910989751.4592
6.56-8-118.70.201845677899109972.921,313
5-7-312.5No13131313131325No8
66-9-014.60.1001734567899101111104.7319,823
5-8-212.50.21624368981211121173.6583
5.55-9-110.20.005234568810111213135.916,840
4-8-311.1No1111111111113322.29
55-10-07.60.000412345689111315179.1228,372
4-9-24.9No2112467961515131810.0371
4.54-10-14.7No2122345791114172111.69,954
3-9-3OutNo252550No4
44-11-03.40.002112335681014192716.0123,710
3-10-21.1No111225771413212615.4182
3.53-11-11.7No1011224671014203219.74,412*
33-12-01.3No100112346913213925.149,440
2-11-2OutNo262911323826.453
2.52-12-10.4No000010125813224632.71,240*
22-13-00.4No000001124711215236.513,421
1-12-2OutNo1010404010.010
1.51-13-1OutNo012512225739.0259
11-14-00.1No0000112410196448.42,307*
0.50-14-1OutNo6385643.816
00-15-0OutNo014128476.7318
Total:26.7%1.4%235755666777889105.0%1,808,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Denver 7 Baltimore 21 +1.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs NY Giants-1.6-0.2+1.1

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1515-0-09712
14.514-0-1100
1414-1-04020136853210000
13.513-1-120401371010
1313-2-030171186653332221110000000000
12-1-25050
12.512-2-1211310101156543421211010
1212-3-01813119865443332211111100000000000
11-2-29927999189
11.511-3-1151110975654434331210110000000
1111-4-01110987665544333322211111100000000
10-3-27471374117797244222
10.510-4-1898776665444333332221111111000
9-3-35050
1010-5-067666655554444333322221111110000
9-4-246957657448355522323111111
9.59-5-145555555554544443333222211111000
8-4-35050
99-6-034445554544444444333333222211110
8-5-2344557543755334224243131212110
8.58-6-112334444454444444444333332222110
7-5-33317171717
88-7-012233334444444444444443333332211
7-6-212333245436443344655354342411111
7.57-7-111222333334444444444444444433221
6-6-3888817888817
77-8-001112222333334444444444444444332
6-7-210112133332323463445445545355231
6.56-8-100111122223333344444445555554443
5-7-313131313131325
66-9-000111111222223333444445555556655
5-8-200011111212122352346556546757654
5.55-9-100001111121222233344445566667776
4-8-3111133111122
55-10-000000011111122222333444556677899
4-9-210111102113124434446888761010
4.54-10-1000000011111122223344446678891012
3-9-325252525
44-11-000000000001111112222334455679101216
3-10-2111121213352573788131315
3.53-11-100000000010111122233346789121420
33-12-00000000000000111112223345679121625
2-11-224228118892126
2.52-12-1000000101112135779121733
22-13-000000000000111112234568121837
1-12-21010205010
1.51-13-1011313389141939
11-14-00000000110122247111948
0.50-14-16663844
00-15-01012351177
Total:12222222333333333333344444444455