NFC North Playoff Chances 2013

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Reg Season Champ			Chance will finish regular season at seed																		College Level
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Chicago		1	-	0	-	0	1.000	2	41.9	%	+4.8	3.6	%	+0.6	10	8	6	5	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	7.9	+0.69	2.0	%	-1.1	1	.529	Chicago Bears

Minnesota	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	36.4		-0.8	2.9		-0.1	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.6	-0.07	3.2		-0.0	4	.500	Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	36.3		-0.8	3.0		-0.1	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.6	-0.07	3.2		+0.0	4	.500	Green Bay Packers
Detroit	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	36.3		-0.9	2.9		-0.1	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.6	-0.08	3.2		+0.0	4	.500	Detroit Lions

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/5
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	+5.2		+1.0		-1.0		+0.6
Minnesota	-0.6						-0.1
Green Bay	-0.7						-0.1
Detroit	-0.7						-0.1

Detroit vs MinnesotaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota	30.7*36.142.0		2.0*2.83.8		4.22.62.2		9.3*8.67.9
Detroit	41.9*35.330.6		3.9*2.62.0		2.2*2.84.2		8.08.69.3

San Francisco vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	42.3*41.041.5						7.8*7.97.9
Minnesota	36.7*37.136.1
Green Bay	30.9*36.041.6		2.0*2.63.9		4.2*3.12.2		9.3*8.68.0
Detroit	36.6*36.435.9						8.6*8.68.7

NY Jets vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	42.2*42.441.7						7.8*7.87.9
Minnesota	36.6*36.636.1
Green Bay	36.6*36.836.0						8.6*8.68.7
Detroit	36.6*36.335.9

Week of 9/12
Chicago vs MinnesotaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	47.7*41.035.5		4.62.92.4		1.4*1.72.8		7.2*7.98.6
Minnesota	31.0*37.042.4		2.1*2.83.9		4.1*2.92.2		9.3*8.57.9

Green Bay vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	41.5*41.642.3
Minnesota	36.1*36.836.7
Green Bay	41.7*35.930.9		3.9*2.52.0		2.2*2.84.2		8.0*8.69.3
Detroit	35.9*36.836.6

Arizona vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	42.4*42.041.4
Minnesota	36.6*37.436.1						8.6*8.58.6
Green Bay	36.6*36.536.0
Detroit	30.9*35.841.6		2.0*2.63.9		4.2*2.82.3		9.3*8.68.0

Buffalo vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	42.1*41.741.7
Minnesota	36.7*36.636.0
Green Bay	36.6*36.236.0
Detroit	36.6*36.135.9

Denver vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	42.3*41.041.7						7.8*7.97.9
Minnesota	36.7*36.836.1
Green Bay	36.6*36.736.1
Detroit	36.6*36.336.0

San Diego vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	42.1*43.041.7
Minnesota	36.6*36.236.1
Green Bay	36.6*36.036.0
Detroit	36.6*36.235.9

Kansas City vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	42.1*42.041.7
Minnesota	36.5*37.236.2
Green Bay	36.5*35.436.1						8.6*8.78.7
Detroit	36.5*36.536.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.