Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleTitleChance will finish season at seedLeague 1
TuesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength5/14
Manchester UnitedWReal Madrid 1-0155-0-01374.3%+13.374.3%+13.37416621000001.4+0.340.0%-0.01.685at WolfsburgManchester United
LiverpoolWTottenham 3-2913-0-168.2-0.68.2-0.68222017131062103.7+0.440.7-1.85.570at ArsenalLiverpool
Manchester City913-0-158.0-6.38.0-6.38222017141062103.8-0.280.7-0.36.569at PSGManchester City
Chelsea93-0-223.9-3.43.9-3.44161919171384104.3-0.191.3-0.52.528Real MadridChelsea
FC BayernWArsenal 6-2712-1-133.8+2.33.8+2.341517181714104104.4+1.631.7-11.03.546at TottenhamFC Bayern
Real MadridLManchester United 0-172-1-201.1-4.01.1-4.016101418201710415.5-0.784.6+1.04.495at ChelseaReal Madrid
PSG612-0-2-10.6-0.60.6-0.6136913182317826.3-0.0210.1-3.28.466Manchester CityPSG
ArsenalLFC Bayern 2-6311-0-3-70.1-0.60.1-0.6001259162927107.8-0.9136.9+13.410.412LiverpoolArsenal
TottenhamLLiverpool 2-3010-0-4-50.0-0.10.0-0.1000135112335218.4-0.3255.8+4.87.402FC BayernTottenham
Wolfsburg00-0-5-160.0-0.00.0-0.00000013823659.5+0.0988.2-2.39.310Manchester UnitedWolfsburg

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/12
Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+2.5
+2.5
Liverpool+1.0
+1.0
+0.1
Manchester City+1.3
+1.3
+0.1
Chelsea+2.9
+2.9
-4.6
+0.8
FC Bayern+0.2
+0.2
+0.4
Real Madrid-8.1
-8.1
+0.9
-0.6
PSG+0.1
+0.1
+0.6
Arsenal+0.1
+0.1
+0.7
Tottenham+1.0
Wolfsburg+0.7
Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+5.5
+5.5
-0.2
+0.2
Liverpool-1.1
-1.1
-0.1
-0.0
Manchester City-1.5
-1.5
-0.1
-0.0
Chelsea-0.4
-0.4
-0.4
FC Bayern-0.3
-0.3
-0.6
Real Madrid-1.9
-1.9
-0.1
-0.0
PSG-0.2
-0.2
-0.6
Arsenal-0.1
-0.1
-0.8
Tottenham-0.8
+0.0
Wolfsburg+3.7
-0.1
Manchester City vs PSGIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United72.675.776.3
72.675.776.3
Liverpool7.98.58.6
7.98.58.6
Manchester City10.76.14.3
10.76.14.3
0.20.81.4
3.44.04.4
Chelsea3.74.14.2
3.74.14.2
1.2*1.31.4
FC Bayern3.63.94.0
3.63.94.0
1.6*1.71.8
Real Madrid1.01.11.2
1.01.11.2
4.5*4.64.9
PSG0.30.51.3
0.30.51.3
13.19.64.9
6.66.35.6
Arsenal36.137.138.4
7.87.87.9
Tottenham54.956.057.4
Wolfsburg87.788.388.9
Liverpool vs ArsenalHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United72.775.876.7
72.775.876.7
Liverpool10.66.14.4
10.66.14.4
0.20.71.6
3.44.04.3
Manchester City7.78.38.5
7.78.38.5
0.6*0.70.9
3.83.73.7
Chelsea3.74.14.3
3.74.14.3
1.21.31.6
4.34.24.2
FC Bayern3.63.94.0
3.63.94.0
1.5*1.72.1
Real Madrid1.01.11.2
1.01.11.2
4.24.75.5
PSG9.210.211.9
Arsenal0.00.00.2
0.00.00.2
42.736.024.5
8.17.87.2
Tottenham53.256.361.5
8.48.48.5
Wolfsburg87.188.490.4
FC Bayern vs TottenhamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United73.475.175.5
73.475.175.5
Liverpool8.18.48.4
8.18.48.4
0.6*0.70.9
3.83.73.7
Manchester City7.88.18.2
7.88.18.2
0.6*0.70.9
3.83.73.7
Chelsea3.94.04.1
3.94.04.1
1.1*1.31.6
4.34.24.2
FC Bayern5.22.61.7
5.22.61.7
0.61.93.9
4.14.75.1
Real Madrid1.01.11.1
1.01.11.1
4.1*4.65.7
PSG9.1*10.112.2
Arsenal34.337.142.6
7.87.87.9
Tottenham0.00.00.1
0.00.00.1
62.155.442.3
8.68.47.9
Wolfsburg87.4*88.289.9
9.49.59.6
Week of 3/19
Arsenal vs Manchester UnitedIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United63.569.880.0
63.569.880.0
0.10.00.0
1.71.51.3
Liverpool11.39.66.5
11.39.66.5
0.8*0.70.6
Manchester City11.09.36.4
11.09.36.4
0.90.70.6
Chelsea5.74.73.0
5.74.73.0
1.61.31.2
FC Bayern5.54.52.9
5.54.52.9
2.11.71.5
Real Madrid1.61.30.8
1.61.30.8
5.64.74.2
5.55.55.4
PSG0.90.70.5
0.90.70.5
12.010.29.3
6.36.36.2
Arsenal0.30.00.0
0.30.00.0
24.435.842.2
7.37.88.0
Tottenham61.956.453.3
8.58.48.3
Wolfsburg90.688.587.1
Manchester City vs FC BayernHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United73.275.874.8
73.275.874.8
Liverpool8.08.58.3
8.08.58.3
Manchester City11.36.44.3
11.36.44.3
0.20.71.3
3.33.94.3
Chelsea3.84.14.1
3.84.14.1
FC Bayern2.03.36.6
2.03.36.6
2.51.60.6
4.94.53.8
PSG10.0*10.110.1
Arsenal36.8*36.937.1
Tottenham55.7*55.856.0
Wolfsburg88.188.288.3
PSG vs LiverpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United76.275.472.2
76.275.472.2
Liverpool4.86.711.6
4.86.711.6
1.30.70.2
4.23.83.3
Manchester City8.48.27.6
8.48.27.6
Chelsea4.24.13.7
4.24.13.7
1.4*1.31.2
FC Bayern4.03.93.6
4.03.93.6
1.8*1.71.6
Real Madrid1.21.11.0
1.21.11.0
4.9*4.64.4
PSG1.20.40.2
1.20.40.2
5.310.213.8
5.66.36.7
Arsenal38.3*36.935.9
7.97.87.8
Tottenham57.4*55.854.6
Wolfsburg88.9*88.287.6
Chelsea vs TottenhamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United73.375.175.5
73.375.175.5
Liverpool8.08.48.5
8.08.48.5
0.6*0.70.9
3.83.73.6
Manchester City7.88.28.3
7.88.28.3
0.6*0.70.9
3.83.73.7
Chelsea5.52.71.8
5.52.71.8
0.41.42.9
3.94.54.9
FC Bayern3.73.93.9
3.73.93.9
1.5*1.72.1
4.54.44.4
Real Madrid1.01.11.1
1.01.11.1
4.1*4.65.7
PSG9.0*10.112.2
Arsenal34.137.042.6
7.87.87.9
Tottenham0.00.00.1
0.00.00.1
62.455.742.7
8.68.47.9
Wolfsburg87.3*88.289.9
9.49.59.6
Wolfsburg vs Real MadridHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United74.674.574.0
74.674.574.0
Liverpool8.38.38.1
8.38.38.1
3.73.73.8
Manchester City8.18.07.9
8.18.07.9
3.73.73.8
Chelsea1.41.21.2
4.24.24.3
FC Bayern1.91.71.6
4.44.44.5
Real Madrid0.40.61.6
0.40.61.6
8.55.22.2
6.15.75.1
PSG10.99.99.7
6.26.26.3
Arsenal38.736.536.1
Tottenham56.855.355.5
Wolfsburg80.388.992.3
9.29.59.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Kai for adding this league.