Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsOdds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)Chance will finish regular season at seedOdds of wearing a dress
TuesdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength12/5
Ryan ManionWDustin Helle 122.3-74.29-3-0.750388.6InYes+24.580201.2+0.58No1.717Dan Anderson, RRyan Manion
Nathan BurchfielWpete l 93.4-77.59-3-0.750255.9In79.7%+19.22059202.0+0.47No2.717Chris AndersonNathan Burchfiel
Chris AndersonWAnthony Halley 109.1-83.78-4-0.66732.6In+3.620.3-0.70204326113.3+0.68No6.645at Nathan BurchfielChris Anderson
Jacob JenkinsWTom Taylor 138.9-83.67-5-0.583140.361.4%+7.4No-0.11924711395.3+0.59No3.572Stephen GombitaJacob Jenkins
pete lLNathan Burchfiel 77.5-93.47-5-0.583-28.884.7-11.2No-13.2263226155.3-0.88No4.572Tom Taylorpete l
Dan Anderson, RLBradford Gregg 106.7-135.57-5-0.583-3973.5-23.4No-29.617121529275.4-1.87No7.572at Ryan ManionDan Anderson, Ryan Ostrye
Stephen GombitaWchris sink 129.2-113.47-5-0.58367.980.4+23.5No-0.11123533205.6+0.54No5.572at Jacob JenkinsStephen Gombita
Bradford GreggWDan Anderson, R 135.5-106.75-7-0.417-24.2OutNo1008.0+0.79No-8.78.428at Anthony HalleyBradford Gregg
chris sinkLStephen Gombita 113.4-129.24-8-0.333-117.1OutNo8910209.1-0.191.7%-8.09.355Dustin Hellechris sink
Anthony HalleyLChris Anderson 83.7-109.13-9-0.250-152.8OutNo42411710.8-0.2758.0+7.411.283Bradford GreggAnthony Halley
Dustin HelleLRyan Manion 74.2-122.33-9-0.250-284.5OutNo234253911.0-0.2863.6+2.812.283at chris sinkDustin Helle
Tom TaylorLJacob Jenkins 83.6-138.93-9-0.250-238.9OutNo914334411.1-0.1676.7+6.510.283at pete lTom Taylor

Don't get last

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/21
chris sink 127 Stephen Gombita 113
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Chris Anderson+6.2
+0.2
Dan Anderson, R+6.1
+0.2
Stephen Gombita-14.9
-9.4
-1.0
Bradford Gregg+7.4
-0.3
chris sink+0.3
-21.2
+0.9
Tom Taylor 78.7 Jacob Jenkins 91.7
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Chris Anderson-4.3
Jacob Jenkins+10.4
No
+0.3
Dan Anderson, R-0.1
Stephen Gombita-3.6
Bradford Gregg-5.0
chris sink-3.1
Anthony Halley-4.1
Dustin Helle-3.2
Tom TaylorOut
+15.4
-0.5
Anthony Halley 111.4 Chris Anderson 128.4
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Chris Anderson+8.5
+4.7
+0.4
Jacob Jenkins-7.1
pete l-2.6
chris sink-2.3
Anthony HalleyOut
+7.4
-0.3
Dustin Helle-2.4
Nathan Burchfiel 119 pete l 77.7
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Nathan Burchfiel+1.7
+19.4
+0.8
pete l-2.3
-23.1
-0.9
Dan Anderson, R-1.6
Dan Anderson, R 90.5 Bradford Gregg 132.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
pete l+8.1
+0.2
Dan Anderson, R-1.0
-22.9
-1.0
Bradford Gregg-23.1
+0.9
Dustin Helle+7.3
-0.3
Tom Taylor+7.8
-0.2
Ryan Manion 146.6 Dustin Helle 59
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Ryan ManionIn
+7.3
+0.3
Nathan Burchfiel-2.0
Anthony Halley-1.9
Dustin HelleOut
+6.6
-0.2
Tom Taylor-2.0
Week of 11/28
Bradford Gregg 135.5 Dan Anderson, R 106.7
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion+12.9
+0.3
pete l+8.4
+0.4
Dan Anderson, R-8.1
-26.3
-1.5
Stephen Gombita+11.6
+0.3
Bradford Gregg-8.6
+0.6
Anthony Halley+8.2
-0.2
Tom Taylor 83.6 Jacob Jenkins 138.9
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Jacob Jenkins+7.0
+0.3
Dan Anderson, R-1.2
Stephen Gombita-3.1
chris sink-2.5
Anthony Halley-2.9
Dustin Helle-7.7
Tom Taylor+13.8
-0.3
Stephen Gombita 129.2 chris sink 113.4
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, R-1.7
Stephen Gombita+5.0
+0.3
Bradford Gregg-3.7
+0.2
chris sink+5.0
-0.4
Chris Anderson 109.1 Anthony Halley 83.7
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Nathan Burchfiel-2.4
Chris AndersonIn
+5.7
+0.4
Jacob Jenkins-4.3
No
pete l-2.4
Stephen Gombita+0.9
-0.1
Anthony Halley+6.8
-0.2
Dustin Helle-2.2
Tom Taylor-3.9
pete l 77.5 Nathan Burchfiel 93.4
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Nathan Burchfiel+21.0
+0.6
Chris Anderson-8.4
Jacob Jenkins+3.0
No
+0.2
pete l-2.9
-13.1
-0.9
Dustin Helle 74.2 Ryan Manion 122.3
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion+4.7
+0.2
pete l-2.1
Bradford Gregg-2.6
Anthony Halley-3.3
Dustin Helle+8.4
-0.2
Tom Taylor-1.5
Week of 12/5
Jacob Jenkins vs Stephen GombitaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Jacob JenkinsIn73.322.7
3.86.16.8
pete l92.377.477.3
5.54.95.1
Dan Anderson, R47.049.4In
5.65.65.1
Stephen Gombita60.8100.0In
6.35.14.8
pete l vs Tom TaylorHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Jacob Jenkins50.050.3In
5.45.44.9
pete lIn100.032.9
4.95.36.6
Dan Anderson, R67.367.494.5
5.55.64.8
Stephen Gombita82.782.372.6
5.75.25.2
chris sinkNoNo7.4
9.09.09.5
Anthony Halley53.179.874.6
10.611.511.4
Dustin Helle53.558.297.9
10.910.811.3
Tom Taylor93.461.920.1
11.510.89.8
Ryan Manion vs Dan Anderson, RHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Nathan Burchfiel90.990.958.3
2.11.51.8
Chris Anderson9.19.141.7
3.23.23.4
Dan Anderson, R59.4InIn
6.25.83.7
Stephen Gombita96.550.350.1
5.45.96.0
Nathan Burchfiel vs Chris AndersonHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Nathan BurchfielYesYes51.2
1.71.72.5
Chris AndersonNoNo48.8
3.83.02.5
chris sink vs Dustin HelleHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
chris sinkNoNo4.0
9.09.09.3
Anthony Halley30.065.697.1
10.510.811.1
Dustin Helle93.849.221.6
11.610.610.2
Tom Taylor76.385.277.3
11.011.611.3
Anthony Halley vs Bradford GreggHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of wearing a dress100.0*Average seed
Anthony Halley38.255.268.4
10.410.610.9
Tom Taylor90.5*77.269.4
11.111.011.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you AJH for adding this league.