Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances 2015

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.3%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Eagles vs Seahawks-5.7+3.4+7.6
-0.7+0.5+0.9
Texans vs Cardinals+0.9*+1.1-1.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Colts vs Packers+0.3*+1.2-0.4
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.2*-0.6-0.3
Giants vs Chiefs-0.2*+0.5+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.2*-1.9+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.2*+0.5+0.3
Lions vs Dolphins-0.2*-0.3+0.3
Ravens vs Redskins+0.2*-0.8-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.2*-0.5-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.2*-0.3-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seahawks vs Titans+5.0*+0.1-6.7
+0.6*+0.1-0.8
Cardinals vs Bills-0.8*+0.9+1.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Rams vs Lions-0.6*+0.1+0.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
49ers vs Panthers-0.6*+0.6+0.8
-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.2*-1.8+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Chargers vs Giants+0.2*-2.8-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Ravens vs Saints+0.2*-0.5-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.2*+0.7+0.3
Chiefs vs Packers+0.2*-0.1-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.2*-0.5-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Seahawks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
26.5-31In100385*
2626-5-0In9900262
25.525-5-1In1007
2525-6-0In10001,197
24.524-6-1In10027
2424-7-0In991004,400
23.523-7-1In9811102
2323-8-0In973113,599*
22.522-8-1In9532258
2222-9-0In898002035,952*
21.521-9-1In841204659
2121-10-0In7419105080,632*
20.520-10-1In642530801,279
2020-11-0100.0%4833701210157,540*
19.519-11-1100.0353510117202,595
1919-12-099.52034183204000268,198*
18.518-12-198.91031224248104,039
1818-13-094.5419259231551000400,858
17-12-293.816419226632
17.517-13-187.91112313202193005,827*
1717-14-071.7041616132217831000522,314
16-13-270.333111911241953337
16.516-14-152.501916719241562007,215
1616-15-033.00051531119211583100598,549
15-14-238.62516791228182257
15.515-15-118.20211151322221672007,733
1515-16-09.60180151320221793100604,333
14-15-210.4826132515196648
14.514-16-14.40400151423251782007,274
1414-17-02.5020002613222418920536,982
13-16-24.341315261917647
13.513-17-11.110002716252617616,060*
1313-18-00.601000027172727164420,046
12-17-2Out62642161031
12.512-18-10.20002822332684,223
1212-19-00.10001313283619287,685
11-18-2Out440362025
11.511-19-10.000162141312,739*
1111-20-00.000002133846171,867*
10.510-20-1Out00633611,520
1010-21-0Out0003247289,890*
9.59-21-1Out001981747
99-22-0Out00118940,468*
8.58-22-1Out0793287
88-23-0Out049615,741*
7.57-23-1Out69486
77-24-0Out01995,215
6.56-24-1Out10022
66-25-0Out01001,494
0-5.5Out100729*
Total:37.3%66676666666666664,311,312

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Eagles vs Seahawks+1.3*-0.9-1.8
Texans vs Cardinals-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Colts vs Packers-0.0*-0.4+0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.0*-0.3-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Bears vs Jaguars+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.0*+0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Seahawks vs Titans-1.3*-0.1+1.7
Cardinals vs Bills+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Rams vs Lions+0.1*-0.1-0.1
49ers vs Panthers+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Chargers vs Giants-0.0*+0.4+0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Chiefs vs Packers-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
26.5-31100
2626-5-099000
25.525-5-1100
2525-6-09910
24.524-6-1964
2424-7-0972100
23.523-7-195311
2323-8-0916301
22.522-8-188832
2222-9-075148000200
21.521-9-166181204
2121-10-04726191100500
20.520-10-1333124130800
2020-11-0173127570011110
19.519-11-1728259100116220
1919-12-021818171623016440000
18.518-12-1010102118441678010
1818-13-004316141091111213241000
17-12-231319229139336
17.517-13-110108151125151559300
1717-14-0004313115112101214941000
16-13-2333811811111416833
16.516-14-1010888073161417114100
1616-15-00004510031105121615115210000
15-14-2257979419916122
15.515-15-102291051281722179410
1515-16-00011700100261116181611631000
14-15-28221081319151562
14.514-16-100400001410182320125100
1414-17-0002000001261217191712731000
13-16-24269171515239
13.513-17-110000151221241910410
1313-18-000100000149162121168310
12-17-23619262610333
12.512-18-10014122128221020
1212-19-0000001411202723112
11-18-282028368
11.511-19-1000292532247
1111-20-000001413283519
10.510-20-10004194135
1010-21-0002113651
9.59-21-1053164
99-22-00022078
8.58-22-111386
88-23-000892
7.57-23-1793
77-24-00298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-0199
0-5.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333