Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances 2015

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 32.6%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Titans vs Vikings+4.9*+1.3-6.5
+0.6*+0.0-0.8
Texans vs Cardinals-0.7*+0.4+1.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Colts vs Packers-0.6*-1.2+0.9
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Bears vs Jaguars+0.6*-0.7-0.8
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Lions vs Dolphins+0.3*+1.3-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.2*+0.1+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Redskins-0.2*-0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.2*-0.1-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.2*-1.8-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.2*-0.3+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seahawks vs Titans-4.9*+0.1+6.6
-0.6*-0.0+0.8
Eagles vs Jets+0.2-3.4-0.3
+0.0-0.4-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.7*-1.0+1.0
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.6*+1.3-0.9
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Steelers vs Colts+0.4*+2.0-0.5
+0.0+0.2-0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.3*+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Chargers vs Giants-0.3*+1.4+0.3
Cardinals vs Bills+0.2*+0.5-0.3
Chiefs vs Packers-0.2*-1.5+0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Titans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100659*
2525-6-0In99001,189
24.524-6-1In10028
2424-7-0In98114,424
23.523-7-1In99190
2323-8-0In95302013,694
22.522-8-1In8956244
2222-9-0In86806036,165*
21.521-9-1In7910010636
2121-10-0100.0%671710140080,446*
20.520-10-199.95424219001,360
2020-11-099.941275024200158,034*
19.519-11-199.928299130402,584
1919-12-098.715261323410100269,013
18-11-2In101619345631
18.518-12-197.46201733615204,131
1818-13-090.0312156302382000400,285
17-12-2In2040301020
17.517-13-181.2161382429144105,778*
1717-14-060.102891427231241000521,339
16-13-262.5616281313193332
16.516-14-140.0158620282092106,984*
1616-15-021.2002621121241910410000597,628
15-14-230.24841513211984653
15.515-15-19.3015131223241993107,742
1515-16-03.900301513212419104100606,070
14-15-22.4251417361272542
14.514-16-11.40101513222619103007,135
1414-17-00.700100015132225201030536,949
13-16-2Out2661933231048
13.513-17-10.2001414242819815,893
1313-18-00.1000026162728174419,067
12-17-2Out325222814836
12.512-18-10.000017213228104,440
1212-19-00.000001312283620288,287
11-18-2Out3360715
11.511-19-1Out0152039352,764
1111-20-0Out002133847172,226
10-19-2Out19384416
10.510-20-1Out1627661,449
1010-21-0Out0003247389,788*
9.59-21-1Out11683729
99-22-0Out00108940,416*
8.58-22-1Out0595294
88-23-0Out049615,666*
7.57-23-1Out19993
77-24-0Out1995,197
6.56-24-1Out10029
66-25-0Out01001,380
0-5.5Out100694*
Total:32.6%54438877777777774,311,312

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Titans vs Vikings-1.2-0.1+1.7
Texans vs Cardinals+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Colts vs Packers+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Bears vs Jaguars-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Jets vs Falcons+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Lions vs Dolphins-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Giants vs Chiefs-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Seahawks vs Titans+1.2*+0.0-1.7
Steelers vs Colts-0.1-0.3+0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.1*-0.4+0.1
Ravens vs Saints+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.0*+0.6+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-099000
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-097111
23.523-7-19721
2323-8-091330020
22.522-8-182756
2222-9-07610800600
21.521-9-16614100010
2121-10-048201701014000
20.520-10-13321231219000
2020-11-017232435002312000
19.519-11-172122680127240
1919-12-021315111212028690100
18-11-2361616334236
18.518-12-10671314330251015020
1818-13-00321010650161521382000
17-12-2202515151510
17.517-13-1106587171723614410
1717-14-0002276221213141913620000
16-13-261333253991963
16.516-14-11044406416172214510
1616-15-0000224021106141918126210000
15-14-2444421341581319444
15.515-15-10114131310202319104100
1515-16-00002001012612171917126310000
14-15-22121219267175
14.514-16-100100141121242012410
1414-17-000010000001371217201812731000
13-16-226102119191364
13.513-17-1000141222242011410
1313-18-0000000149162121168310
12-17-2118253111833
12.512-18-100013132227211020
1212-19-000001411212723112
11-18-27713273377
11.511-19-100392232258
1111-20-0001413283519
10-19-21338446
10.510-20-116174037
1010-21-0002113750
9.59-21-1052965
99-22-00022078
8.58-22-111287
88-23-00792
7.57-23-1298
77-24-0298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-00100
0-5.5100
Total:32222221544344443333333333333333