Chicago Bears Playoff Chances 2015Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.3% 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain If winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Bears vs Jaguars | +5.0*-1.2-6.7 | | +0.6*-0.1-0.8 | | Titans vs Vikings | +0.8*-0.1-1.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | Colts vs Packers | +0.8*+0.7-1.1 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Lions vs Dolphins | -0.8*-0.5+1.1 | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | Ravens vs Redskins | +0.3*-0.7-0.3 | | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Giants vs Chiefs | -0.3*+0.8+0.3 | | | | Jets vs Falcons | +0.2*-0.2-0.3 | | | | Panthers vs Patriots | -0.2*-0.0+0.3 | | | | Bills vs Buccaneers | +0.2*-0.3-0.3 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Texans vs Cardinals | +0.2*-0.8-0.3 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Redskins vs Bears | -5.7*+1.5+7.6 | | -0.7*+0.2+0.9 | | Chiefs vs Packers | +0.9*+0.0-1.1 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Falcons vs Vikings | +0.6*+1.5-0.8 | | +0.0*+0.2-0.1 | | Rams vs Lions | +0.6*+1.8-0.8 | | +0.0*+0.2-0.1 | | Cardinals vs Bills | -0.2*+0.3+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Ravens vs Saints | +0.2*-1.4-0.3 | | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | Chargers vs Giants | +0.2*+2.4-0.3 | | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Texans vs Buccaneers | +0.2*-0.8-0.3 | | | | Eagles vs Jets | -0.2*-1.7+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Seahawks vs Titans | -0.2*+0.2+0.3 | | | | Cowboys vs Jaguars | -0.2*-2.8+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bears finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | -31 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 339 | * | 27 | | 27 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65 | | 25.5 | -26.5 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 274 | * | 25 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,152 | * | 24 | .5 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | | 24 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,346 | | 23 | .5 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 23 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 13,758 | | 22 | .5 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 230 | | 22 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 0 | In | 90 | 8 | 0 | | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 35,683 | * | 21 | .5 | 21 | - | 9 | - | 1 | In | 87 | 9 | 0 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 646 | | 21 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 74 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 80,690 | * | 20 | .5 | 20 | - | 10 | - | 1 | In | 64 | 26 | 3 | | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,369 | | 20 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 100.0 | | 49 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 157,861 | * | 19 | .5 | 19 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | 36 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2,624 | * | 19 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 99.5 | | 21 | 34 | 16 | 2 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 268,809 | | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 2 | In | 38 | 24 | 19 | | 19 | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | | 18 | .5 | 18 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 99.0 | | 11 | 29 | 22 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4,064 | | 18 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 94.6 | | 5 | 19 | 24 | 8 | 24 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 398,992 | | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 2 | 97.1 | | | 17 | 29 | 6 | 29 | 17 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 35 | | 17 | .5 | 17 | - | 13 | - | 1 | 87.5 | | 1 | 10 | 23 | 12 | 20 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 5,803 | | 17 | | 17 | - | 14 | - | 0 | 72.2 | | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 22 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 522,665 | | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 2 | 74.4 | | | 8 | 18 | 10 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 5 | | | | | | | | | 39 | | 16 | .5 | 16 | - | 14 | - | 1 | 53.9 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 7,244 | | 16 | | 16 | - | 15 | - | 0 | 33.2 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 598,948 | | | 15 | - | 14 | - | 2 | 36.4 | | | 2 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 16 | 7 | | | | | | | 55 | | 15 | .5 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 1 | 17.7 | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 7,776 | | 15 | | 15 | - | 16 | - | 0 | 9.5 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 605,219 | | | 14 | - | 15 | - | 2 | 23.3 | | | | | 21 | | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 5 | | | | | 43 | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 16 | - | 1 | 4.7 | | | | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7,303 | * | 14 | | 14 | - | 17 | - | 0 | 2.4 | | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 537,759 | | | 13 | - | 16 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 6 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 48 | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 17 | - | 1 | 0.9 | | | | | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 6,035 | | 13 | | 13 | - | 18 | - | 0 | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 419,584 | | | 12 | - | 17 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 30 | 22 | 30 | 9 | | 23 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 18 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 25 | 9 | 4,361 | | 12 | | 12 | - | 19 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 287,273 | * | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 19 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 32 | 2,826 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 20 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 38 | 45 | 171,742 | * | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 20 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 59 | 1,613 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 21 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 89,647 | * | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 21 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 85 | 722 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 22 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 89 | 40,078 | * | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 22 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 287 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 23 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 15,733 | * | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 23 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 98 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 24 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 5,227 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 24 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 22 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 25 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 1,342 | | 0 | -5.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 726 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 37.3 | % | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4,311,312 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Bears vs Jaguars | -1.3*+0.2+1.7 | | Titans vs Vikings | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | Colts vs Packers | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | Lions vs Dolphins | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | | Texans vs Cardinals | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Ravens vs Redskins | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Panthers vs Patriots | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Bills vs Buccaneers | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Redskins vs Bears | +1.3*-0.4-1.8 | | Ravens vs Saints | -0.0+0.5+0.0 | | Chiefs vs Packers | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | Falcons vs Vikings | -0.1*-0.3+0.1 | | Rams vs Lions | -0.1*-0.4+0.1 | | Texans vs Buccaneers | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Cardinals vs Bills | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Chargers vs Giants | -0.0*-0.4+0.0 | | Eagles vs Jets | +0.0*+0.4-0.0 | | Seahawks vs Titans | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Cowboys vs Jaguars | +0.0*+0.4-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | -31 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | | 27 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 98 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | .5 | 26 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | .5 | 25 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | .5 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 97 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | .5 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 91 | 6 | 3 | | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | .5 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 86 | 10 | 4 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 75 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | .5 | 21 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 65 | 22 | 9 | | 0 | | | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 48 | 27 | 18 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | .5 | 20 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 33 | 31 | 24 | 1 | 3 | | | | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 17 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 12 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | .5 | 19 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | | 15 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | .5 | 18 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | .5 | 17 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 17 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 16 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 16 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | - | 14 | - | 2 | | | | 2 | | 7 | 4 | 13 | | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 2 | 2 | 9 | | 1 | | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 16 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 14 | - | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 2 | 19 | | | | 2 | | | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | | 0 | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 14 | | 14 | - | 17 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 13 | - | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 6 | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 18 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 | | 12 | - | 19 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 19 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 11 | | 11 | - | 20 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 20 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 20 | 41 | 34 | 10 | | 10 | - | 21 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 50 | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 21 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 9 | | 9 | - | 22 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 22 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 91 | 8 | | 8 | - | 23 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 23 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 7 | | 7 | - | 24 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 24 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | 6 | | 6 | - | 25 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 4.5 | -5.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 4 | | 4 | - | 27 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 0 | -3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
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