Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances 2015Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 36% 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain If winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Giants vs Chiefs | -5.1*+2.0+6.8 | | -0.6+0.2+0.8 | | Broncos vs Bengals | -0.7*-1.9+0.9 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.1 | | Browns vs Raiders | +0.7*-1.9-0.9 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.1 | | Chargers vs Steelers | -0.7*+0.1+0.9 | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | Texans vs Cardinals | -0.2*-1.2+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Bears vs Jaguars | +0.2*-0.4-0.3 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Colts vs Packers | -0.2*+0.8+0.3 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Titans vs Vikings | -0.2*-1.1+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Ravens vs Redskins | -0.2*+0.1+0.3 | | | | Bills vs Buccaneers | -0.2*+0.5+0.3 | | | | Panthers vs Patriots | +0.2*-1.1-0.2 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Lions vs Dolphins | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | | | | Jets vs Falcons | -0.2*+0.5+0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Chiefs vs Packers | +5.0*-2.2-6.7 | | +0.6-0.3-0.8 | | Chargers vs Giants | -0.8*+0.3+1.1 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | Browns vs Broncos | +0.7*-0.0-0.9 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.1 | | Cowboys vs Jaguars | +0.3*-0.2-0.4 | | | | Seahawks vs Titans | +0.3*+0.7-0.4 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Texans vs Buccaneers | -0.2*-1.2+0.3 | | | | Eagles vs Jets | +0.2*+1.1-0.3 | | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Ravens vs Saints | -0.2*-0.4+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Cardinals vs Bills | +0.2*+0.7-0.2 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Steelers vs Colts | | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chiefs finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25.5 | -31 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 669 | * | 25 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,225 | | 24 | .5 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 24 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,377 | | 23 | .5 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 1 | In | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 23 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 0 | In | 95 | 5 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 13,523 | * | 22 | .5 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 1 | In | 92 | 7 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 250 | | 22 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 0 | In | 85 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 35,744 | * | 21 | .5 | 21 | - | 9 | - | 1 | In | 79 | 18 | 1 | | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 652 | | 21 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 67 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 80,945 | * | 20 | .5 | 20 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | 55 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1,330 | | 20 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 100.0 | | 40 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 157,624 | * | 19 | .5 | 19 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 28 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2,573 | | 19 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 99.3 | | 15 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 269,646 | * | 18 | .5 | 18 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 98.3 | | 7 | 27 | 26 | 7 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4,122 | | 18 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 92.8 | | 3 | 16 | 26 | 12 | 20 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 398,778 | | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 2 | 92.6 | | 4 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | 27 | | 17 | .5 | 17 | - | 13 | - | 1 | 86.0 | | 1 | 8 | 22 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | 5,745 | * | 17 | | 17 | - | 14 | - | 0 | 67.4 | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 10 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 522,337 | | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 2 | 69.2 | | 3 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 21 | 10 | | | | | | | | | 39 | | 16 | .5 | 16 | - | 14 | - | 1 | 48.3 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 7,104 | | 16 | | 16 | - | 15 | - | 0 | 29.8 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 599,113 | | | 15 | - | 14 | - | 2 | 25.6 | | | | 2 | 14 | | 9 | 26 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 5 | | | | | | 43 | | 15 | .5 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 1 | 15.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | 7,665 | | 15 | | 15 | - | 16 | - | 0 | 9.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 605,181 | | | 14 | - | 15 | - | 2 | 7.1 | | | | | 5 | | 2 | | 10 | 14 | 29 | 21 | 14 | 5 | | | | 42 | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 16 | - | 1 | 4.8 | | | | 0 | 5 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | | 7,250 | | 14 | | 14 | - | 17 | - | 0 | 2.6 | | | | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 537,325 | | | 13 | - | 16 | - | 2 | 2.3 | | | | | 2 | | | | | 2 | 14 | 25 | 20 | 23 | 9 | 5 | | 44 | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 17 | - | 1 | 1.2 | | | | 0 | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 5,935 | * | 13 | | 13 | - | 18 | - | 0 | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 419,091 | | | 12 | - | 17 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 21 | 24 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 33 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 18 | - | 1 | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 28 | 10 | 4,471 | | 12 | | 12 | - | 19 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 287,178 | | | 11 | - | 18 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 23 | 32 | 41 | 22 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 19 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 34 | 2,765 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 20 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 48 | 172,121 | * | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 20 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 30 | 64 | 1,486 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 21 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | 90,131 | * | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 21 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 83 | 724 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 22 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 40,291 | * | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 22 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | 287 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 23 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 15,908 | * | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 23 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 103 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 24 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 5,146 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 24 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 32 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 25 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 1,384 | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 25 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 7 | | 5 | | 5 | - | 26 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 323 | | 0 | -4.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 416 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 36.0 | % | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4,311,312 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Giants vs Chiefs | +1.3-0.3-1.7 | | Broncos vs Bengals | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | | Browns vs Raiders | -0.1*+0.3+0.1 | | Chargers vs Steelers | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Texans vs Cardinals | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Jets vs Falcons | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Bills vs Buccaneers | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Colts vs Packers | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | Titans vs Vikings | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Lions vs Dolphins | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Bears vs Jaguars | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | | Panthers vs Patriots | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Chiefs vs Packers | -1.3*+0.6+1.7 | | Chargers vs Giants | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | Ravens vs Saints | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | | Cardinals vs Bills | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | | Browns vs Broncos | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | Cowboys vs Jaguars | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Eagles vs Jets | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | | Seahawks vs Titans | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Steelers vs Colts | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Texans vs Buccaneers | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25.5 | -31 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 99 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | .5 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 97 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | .5 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 94 | 2 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 91 | 3 | 5 | | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | .5 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 85 | 7 | 7 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 76 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | .5 | 21 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 66 | 13 | 17 | 0 | 1 | | | | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 48 | 19 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | .5 | 20 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 32 | 23 | 31 | 1 | 5 | | 0 | | 8 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 17 | 23 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | | 11 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | .5 | 19 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 1 | | 15 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 14 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | .5 | 18 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 2 | | 4 | | 11 | 11 | 4 | 11 | | 11 | 7 | 30 | 4 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | .5 | 17 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 17 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 2 | | 3 | | 8 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 16 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 16 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | - | 14 | - | 2 | | | | | | 2 | 2 | 12 | | | | 9 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 2 | 9 | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 16 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 14 | - | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 5 | | | | 2 | | | | 10 | 10 | 17 | 12 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 14 | | 14 | - | 17 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 13 | - | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 23 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 2 | | | | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 13 | | 13 | - | 18 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | 12 | - | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 27 | 15 | 6 | | 3 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 | | 12 | - | 19 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 2 | | 11 | - | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 14 | 5 | 27 | 41 | 9 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 19 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 8 | 11 | | 11 | - | 20 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 35 | 19 | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 20 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 35 | 10 | | 10 | - | 21 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 50 | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 21 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 26 | 69 | 9 | | 9 | - | 22 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 22 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | 8 | | 8 | - | 23 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 92 | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 23 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 7 | | 7 | - | 24 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 24 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 6 | | 6 | - | 25 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 25 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 5 | | 5 | - | 26 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 0 | -4.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
|