Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances 2015

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.3%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Texans vs Cardinals-5.1*+2.3+6.9
-0.6*+0.2+0.8
Eagles vs Seahawks+0.6*-0.1-0.9
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.3*+0.5-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Colts vs Packers+0.2*-1.4-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.2*+0.1+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.2*-1.4-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.2*-0.1+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins-0.2*-0.1+0.3
Giants vs Chiefs-0.2*-0.5+0.3
Ravens vs Redskins+0.2*-1.4-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.2*+0.8-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Bills+5.0*+0.7-6.8
+0.6*+0.1-0.8
Seahawks vs Titans-0.8*+2.5+1.1
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Rams vs Lions-0.7*+0.5+0.9
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
49ers vs Panthers-0.6*+1.2+0.8
-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Chiefs vs Packers+0.3*-2.7-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Chargers vs Giants+0.2*-0.7-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Ravens vs Saints+0.2*-1.9-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.2*+0.2-0.3
Eagles vs Jets-0.2*+1.5+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.2*-2.5+0.3
-0.0-0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100660*
2525-6-0In10001,123
24.524-6-1In10031
2424-7-0In99104,245*
23.523-7-1In99186
2323-8-0In9730113,686*
22.522-8-1In94402265
2222-9-0In89802035,735*
21.521-9-1In89902639
2121-10-0In7419205080,864*
20.520-10-1In65252801,368
2020-11-0100.0%48326012100158,052*
19.519-11-199.9343710117102,627
1919-12-099.5203518320400268,716
18-11-2In8172542812
18.518-12-198.51130224248104,169
1818-13-094.6419259231541000399,355
17-12-2In612249292134
17.517-13-187.9192314212092005,789
1717-14-071.7041616132217831000522,463
16-13-266.7317811281911336
16.516-14-153.401916819231661007,031
1616-15-033.100515311192116831000599,589
15-14-234.84154111717262246
15.515-15-118.10111151322231672007,829
1515-16-09.60180151320221793100605,393
14-15-29.48261123231592253
14.514-16-14.4040151523241782007,286*
1414-17-02.60020002613222418920537,371
13-16-25.6631411311419336
13.513-17-11.210001615252618616,097
1313-18-00.601000027172727164419,453
12-17-2Out1146182528
12.512-18-10.20002921342584,289
1212-19-00.100001313293619286,430
11-18-2Out1924292921
11.511-19-10.000162041312,778
1111-20-00.000002133846171,555
10-19-2Out823155413
10.510-20-1Out0631631,474
1010-21-00.00003247389,946*
9.59-21-1Out11584700
99-22-0Out00118940,504*
8.58-22-1Out793256*
88-23-0Out049615,742
7.57-23-1Out39796
77-24-0Out1995,206
6.56-24-1Out10024
66-25-0Out01001,392
0-5.5Out100719*
Total:37.3%66676666666666664,311,312

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Texans vs Cardinals+1.3*-0.4-1.7
Eagles vs Seahawks-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.0*+0.1-0.0
49ers vs Rams-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Colts vs Packers-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.0*-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals vs Bills-1.3-0.0+1.7
Rams vs Lions+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Seahawks vs Titans+0.1*-0.5-0.1
49ers vs Panthers+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Chiefs vs Packers-0.0*+0.5+0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.0*+0.5+0.0
Chargers vs Giants-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Eagles vs Jets+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.0*+0.6-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-010000
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-098210
23.523-7-19721
2323-8-0916301
22.522-8-1859402
2222-9-07514800200
21.521-9-168219002
2121-10-04726191200500
20.520-10-134312412800
2020-11-0173127560001111000
19.519-11-1727261190116110
1919-12-02181817162301644000
18-11-28882525178
18.518-12-1011921175401687010
1818-13-004316141191111213241000
17-12-261218691812183
17.517-13-11098151225151559300
1717-14-0004313115212101214941000
16-13-233146311111717116
16.516-14-101098807316131711410
1616-15-0000551003110512161511521000
15-14-2479429492015944
15.515-15-10121015039172217931000
1515-16-00011700100261116181611631000
14-15-282291913231546
14.514-16-100400014101923211251000
1414-17-00002000001261217191812731000
13-16-2661917281114
13.513-17-11000151120252011410
1313-18-000100000149162121168310
12-17-2114111836147
12.512-18-100014122226221020
1212-19-000001411212723112
11-18-2514103814145
11.511-19-1002102332267
1111-20-000001413283519
10-19-28383123
10.510-20-114184137
1010-21-000002113751
9.59-21-1042867
99-22-00022078
8.58-22-11684
88-23-00892
7.57-23-1595
77-24-00298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-00100
0-5.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333