SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

New York Jets Playoff Chances 2015

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 35.5%

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jets vs Falcons	+5.0*+0.7-6.7		+0.6+0.2-0.8
Bills vs Buccaneers	-0.9*+0.1+1.1		-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Lions vs Dolphins	+0.8*+0.4-1.1		+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Patriots	+0.8*-1.3-1.1		+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Titans vs Vikings	-0.3*-0.5+0.4		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars	+0.3*-2.5-0.3		+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Colts vs Packers	-0.2*-1.6+0.3		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals	-0.2*+1.9+0.3		-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Redskins	-0.2*+0.7+0.3		-0.0+0.1+0.0
Giants vs Chiefs	+0.2*-1.9-0.2		+0.0-0.2-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Eagles vs Jets	-5.0*+1.1+6.7		-0.6*+0.1+0.8
Cardinals vs Bills	+0.9*+0.5-1.2		+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars	+0.3*-0.9-0.3		+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers	-0.2*-0.2+0.3
Seahawks vs Titans	+0.2*+2.6-0.3		+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers	-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Chargers vs Giants	-0.2*-1.1+0.2		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Saints	-0.2*+0.9+0.2		-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Steelers vs Colts			+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jets finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

25.5	-31						In		100																664	*
25		25	-	6	-	0	In		99	1															1,165
24	.5	24	-	6	-	1	In		100																17
24		24	-	7	-	0	In		98	2			0												4,430
23	.5	23	-	7	-	1	In		99	1															76
23		23	-	8	-	0	In		95	4	0		1												13,357
22	.5	22	-	8	-	1	In		91	7			2												239
22		22	-	9	-	0	In		86	12	0	0	2	0											35,742	*
21	.5	21	-	9	-	1	In		81	15	0	0	4												663
21		21	-	10	-	0	100.0	%	67	24	2	0	6	0	0										80,723	*
20	.5	20	-	10	-	1	In		56	32	4	0	8	0											1,436
20		20	-	11	-	0	100.0		40	36	9	1	13	1	0	0									158,357	*
19	.5	19	-	11	-	1	99.9		28	41	12	1	15	2	0										2,587
19		19	-	12	-	0	99.2		15	34	21	4	20	6	1	0	0	0							268,149
		18	-	11	-	2	In		22	28	28	6	17												18
18	.5	18	-	12	-	1	98.1		8	26	26	6	23	10	2	0									4,203
18		18	-	13	-	0	92.5		3	16	25	11	21	16	6	1	0	0	0						399,782
		17	-	12	-	2	97.0			27	27	15	9	18	3										33
17	.5	17	-	13	-	1	85.1		1	9	23	15	17	20	11	3	0	0							5,724
17		17	-	14	-	0	66.2		0	3	15	17	11	21	19	10	4	1	0	0	0	0			521,977
		16	-	13	-	2	71.8				18	18	15	21	18	5	5								39
16	.5	16	-	14	-	1	48.3		0	1	8	17	5	17	22	18	9	2	1	0	0				7,179
16		16	-	15	-	0	28.6		0	0	4	14	2	8	17	22	18	10	4	1	0	0	0		598,757
		15	-	14	-	2	36.2				2	13	6	15	15	23	17	6	2						47
15	.5	15	-	15	-	1	15.3			0	1	11	0	3	11	20	24	18	9	3	1	0			7,879
15		15	-	16	-	0	8.3			0	0	7	0	1	4	11	19	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	604,106
		14	-	15	-	2	9.5				2	7			2	10	21	19	21	10	5	2			42
14	.5	14	-	16	-	1	4.2				0	4		0	1	4	12	21	24	20	10	3	1	0	7,386
14		14	-	17	-	0	2.2				0	2	0	0	0	1	5	12	21	25	20	10	3	0	538,426
		13	-	16	-	2	Out											9	30	27	18	15			33
13	.5	13	-	17	-	1	1.1					1				0	1	5	14	24	27	19	7	1	6,079	*
13		13	-	18	-	0	0.5					0		0	0	0	0	2	6	15	26	28	18	5	419,919
		12	-	17	-	2	Out													15	26	37	22		27
12	.5	12	-	18	-	1	0.2					0					0	0	1	7	19	34	28	9	4,426	*
12		12	-	19	-	0	0.1					0				0	0	0	0	3	11	28	37	21	286,999
		11	-	18	-	2	Out														10	19	43	29	21
11	.5	11	-	19	-	1	Out												0	1	5	20	41	33	2,709
11		11	-	20	-	0	0.0					0							0	0	2	12	38	48	171,860	*
10	.5	10	-	20	-	1	Out														1	7	29	63	1,585
10		10	-	21	-	0	Out													0	0	3	23	74	89,391	*
9	.5	9	-	21	-	1	Out															1	13	86	672
9		9	-	22	-	0	Out														0	0	10	90	40,846	*
8	.5	8	-	22	-	1	Out																3	97	300
8		8	-	23	-	0	Out															0	3	97	15,781	*
7	.5	7	-	23	-	1	Out																1	99	79
7		7	-	24	-	0	Out																1	99	5,187
6	.5	6	-	24	-	1	Out																	100	35
6		6	-	25	-	0	Out																0	100	1,413	*
0	-5.5						Out																	100	747	*

Total:							35.5	%	5	6	6	7	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	4,311,312

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Jets vs Falcons	-1.3*-0.3+1.7
Giants vs Chiefs	-0.0+0.4+0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers	+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Lions vs Dolphins	-0.1+0.0+0.1
Panthers vs Patriots	-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Titans vs Vikings	+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Colts vs Packers	+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins	+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Bears vs Jaguars	-0.0*+0.5+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Eagles vs Jets	+1.3-0.3-1.7
Cardinals vs Bills	-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars	-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Chargers vs Giants	+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Ravens vs Saints	+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans	-0.0*-0.4+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

25.5	-31						100
25		25	-	6	-	0	99	0	1
24	.5	24	-	6	-	1	100
24		24	-	7	-	0	97	1	2						0
23	.5	23	-	7	-	1	97	1	1
23		23	-	8	-	0	92	3	4		0				1
22	.5	22	-	8	-	1	85	7	7						2
22		22	-	9	-	0	76	9	12	0	0		0		2	0	0
21	.5	21	-	9	-	1	68	13	15	0	0		0		4
21		21	-	10	-	0	48	19	24	1	2	0	0		6	0	0		0
20	.5	20	-	10	-	1	34	22	31	2	4		0		8		0
20		20	-	11	-	0	17	23	32	5	9	0	1		12	0	1		0	0
19	.5	19	-	11	-	1	8	20	31	9	12	0	1		14	1	2		0
19		19	-	12	-	0	2	13	19	14	19	2	4	0	17	3	6	0	1	0	0	0
		18	-	11	-	2	6	17	11	17	22	6	6		17
18	.5	18	-	12	-	1	0	7	10	16	22	4	6	0	17	6	9	0	2	0
18		18	-	13	-	0	0	3	3	13	16	9	11	1	11	10	15	2	6	1	0	0	0
		17	-	12	-	2			3	24	6	21	15		6	3	18		3
17	.5	17	-	13	-	1		1	0	8	9	14	14	2	5	12	16	4	11	3	0	0
17		17	-	14	-	0		0	0	3	3	11	12	5	2	9	10	10	16	11	5	1	0	0	0	0
		16	-	13	-	2					3	15	15	3		15	10	10	15	8	3	3
16	.5	16	-	14	-	1		0		1	0	8	9	8	0	5	3	14	14	19	13	4	1	0	0
16		16	-	15	-	0		0		0	0	4	5	9	0	2	1	8	6	13	17	16	11	6	2	1	0	0	0
		15	-	14	-	2						2	4	9		6		15	4	6	19	21	9	4
15	.5	15	-	15	-	1				0		1	2	9		0		3	1	3	9	18	23	18	9	4	1	0	0
15		15	-	16	-	0				0	0	0	1	6		0	0	1	0	0	2	6	11	16	18	16	12	6	3	1	0	0	0	0
		14	-	15	-	2						2		7								7	12	19	19	14	17	2
14	.5	14	-	16	-	1						0	0	4				0			0	0	1	4	10	19	23	20	12	5	1	0	0
14		14	-	17	-	0						0	0	2		0		0			0	0	0	1	3	6	12	17	19	17	12	6	3	1	0	0	0
		13	-	16	-	2																				3	24	24	21	3	6	12	3	3
13	.5	13	-	17	-	1								1										0	0	0	1	5	12	20	25	20	11	4	1	0
13		13	-	18	-	0							0	0				0						0	0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	21	16	8	3	1	0
		12	-	17	-	2																								19	15	7	19	30	4	7
12	.5	12	-	18	-	1								0															0	1	4	12	22	27	21	10	2	0
12		12	-	19	-	0								0														0	0	0	1	4	11	21	27	23	11	2
		11	-	18	-	2																											10		48	24	19
11	.5	11	-	19	-	1																									0	0	3	10	23	33	25	7
11		11	-	20	-	0								0																0	0	0	1	4	13	29	35	19
10	.5	10	-	20	-	1																												1	5	18	40	36
10		10	-	21	-	0																											0	0	2	11	36	50
9	.5	9	-	21	-	1																													0	4	26	70
9		9	-	22	-	0																												0	0	2	19	78
8	.5	8	-	22	-	1																														0	8	91
8		8	-	23	-	0																														0	7	93
7	.5	7	-	23	-	1																															1	99
7		7	-	24	-	0																															2	98
6	.5	6	-	24	-	1																																100
6		6	-	25	-	0																															0	100
0	-5.5																																					100

Total:							3	2	3	3	3	3	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3