SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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New England Patriots Playoff Chances 2015

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 36.9%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Panthers vs Patriots-5.0*+0.2+6.7
-0.6*-0.1+0.8
Jets vs Falcons-0.9*+1.4+1.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Lions vs Dolphins+0.9*-0.3-1.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.8*+0.9+1.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Bears vs Jaguars+0.3*-0.2-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.2*-0.1-0.3
Texans vs Cardinals-0.2*+0.4+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Ravens vs Redskins-0.2*-0.1+0.3
Colts vs Packers-0.2*-1.3+0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.2*-0.1+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Patriots vs Dolphins+7.0*-3.2-9.3
+0.8*-0.2-1.0
Cardinals vs Bills+0.9*+0.9-1.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Eagles vs Jets+0.9*-1.7-1.1
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.2*+0.6+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans+0.2*-1.0-0.3
Ravens vs Saints-0.2*+2.0+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Chiefs vs Packers-0.2*+0.3+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.2*-0.5-0.3
Chargers vs Giants-0.2*-0.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Patriots finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100648*
2525-6-0In10001,191
24.524-6-1In10031
2424-7-0In98204,512
23.523-7-1In99178
2323-8-0In9550113,514*
22.522-8-1In94402245
2222-9-0In8612002035,790*
21.521-9-1In791722649
2121-10-0100.0%68242050080,784*
20.520-10-1In57314801,383
2020-11-0100.04237911110157,792*
19.519-11-199.9274115214202,583
1919-12-099.31635214195100268,424
18-11-2In212513212124
18.518-12-198.372726723101004,072
1818-13-093.73172611211551000400,238
17-12-2In313289252232
17.517-13-185.51823161721113005,807
1717-14-070.1041618112118931000521,919
16-13-273.8229101221147542
16.516-14-148.419185162218820007,267
1616-15-032.40041621019211683100599,081
15-14-218.438821321853338
15.515-15-116.20112031121241783107,781
1515-16-09.90080151320221793100605,549
14-15-29.8552101734171041
14.514-16-14.30401412222419103107,241
1414-17-02.7030002614222418920537,046
13-16-22.93111417141717635
13.513-17-11.01001414242819815,999
1313-18-00.60100027172727154418,850
12-17-2Out52938191021
12.512-18-10.20027203228104,344
1212-19-00.100001413293519287,686*
11.511-19-10.000052042332,882
1111-20-00.000002133846172,160*
10.510-20-1Out1630631,534
1010-21-00.00003247289,549*
9.59-21-1Out11683706
99-22-0Out00118940,317*
8.58-22-1Out694305
88-23-0Out049615,705
7.57-23-1Out19993
77-24-0Out1995,083
6.56-24-1Out10026
66-25-0Out01001,473
5.55-25-1Out1008
55-26-0Out0100325
0-4.5Out100409*
Total:36.9%56775666666666664,311,312

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Panthers vs Patriots+1.3*-0.0-1.7
Jets vs Falcons+0.1-0.1-0.1
Lions vs Dolphins-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.1-0.1-0.1
Giants vs Chiefs-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals+0.0*-0.3-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Patriots vs Dolphins-1.5*+0.4+2.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Chiefs vs Packers+0.0-0.2-0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Ravens vs Saints+0.0*-0.5-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Chargers vs Giants+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-010000
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-097120
23.523-7-1991
2323-8-0914501
22.522-8-1895402
2222-9-0761012000200
21.521-9-167121722
2121-10-049192412005000
20.520-10-13422292480
2020-11-0182432590111010
19.519-11-1720319150213120
1919-12-021420151924016350100
18-11-241713131317421
18.518-12-10610172247017690100
1818-13-0033141710111111013151000
17-12-2313199922322
17.517-13-110891414251217411300
1717-14-000441213521011101510410000
16-13-22524101212107712
16.516-14-1118108053131419125100
1616-15-000046100219612161510521000
15-14-23358111118241333
15.515-15-10121003031018221794100
1515-16-000017001002611161816116310000
14-15-2225217151710771022
14.514-16-1004001410192321115100
1414-17-00030000001261217191712621000
13-16-2363172017141136
13.513-17-1100151221242011410
1313-18-00010000149162121168310
12-17-25242433105
12.512-18-1001412232721930
1212-19-000001411212722112
11.511-19-1000292330278
1111-20-00001414293518
10.510-20-116194134
1010-21-000002113750
9.59-21-1042967
99-22-00022077
8.58-22-101684
88-23-000892
7.57-23-1496
77-24-00298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-0199
5.55-25-1100
55-26-00100
0-4.5100
Total:33334344333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)