AFC South Playoff Chances 2015

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Thursday
Texans vs CardinalsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	71.8*67.160.5		4.8*5.46.0
Jaguars	32.4*32.534.2		9.0*8.88.8
Colts	32.1*32.533.9		9.0*8.98.8
Titans	31.9*33.033.6		9.0*8.98.9

Bears vs JaguarsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.7*66.466.0		5.3*5.35.4
Jaguars	28.2*32.839.8		9.5*8.98.1
Colts	33.5*33.732.0		8.9*8.89.0
Titans	33.2*32.031.8		8.9*8.99.0

Titans vs VikingsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	66.2*66.068.0		5.4*5.35.2
Jaguars	32.6*34.734.0		9.0*8.88.8
Colts	32.2*32.533.7		9.0*9.08.8
Titans	37.5*33.926.1		8.4*8.99.7

Colts vs PackersHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	66.2*66.868.0		5.4*5.35.2
Jaguars	32.6*33.134.0		9.0*8.98.8
Colts	37.7*33.926.4		8.4*8.99.7
Titans	32.0*31.433.5		9.0*9.18.9

Lions vs DolphinsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.2*66.166.7		5.3*5.45.4
Jaguars	33.4*31.732.9		8.9*9.08.9
Colts	33.1*32.832.5		8.9*8.99.0
Titans	32.9*33.932.3		8.9*8.89.0

Jets vs FalconsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	66.8*65.267.3		5.3*5.55.3
Jaguars	32.9*32.033.5		8.9*9.08.8
Colts	32.7*33.433.2
Titans	32.4*32.732.9		9.0*8.98.9

Ravens vs RedskinsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	66.8*66.767.3
Jaguars	32.9*34.033.5
Colts	32.6*31.333.2
Titans	32.4*32.432.9		9.0*8.98.9

Giants vs ChiefsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.2*66.366.7
Jaguars	33.4*35.032.9		8.9*8.88.9
Colts	33.2*31.132.5		8.9*9.09.0
Titans	32.8*32.532.3		8.9*8.99.0

Panthers vs PatriotsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.2*69.266.7		5.3*5.15.4
Jaguars	33.4*33.532.8
Colts	33.1*32.732.6
Titans	32.8*30.832.3		8.9*9.09.0

Bills vs BuccaneersHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	66.8*66.367.3
Jaguars	32.9*34.433.5		8.9*8.88.8
Colts	32.7*34.533.2		9.0*8.78.9
Titans	32.4*32.332.9

Saturday
Texans vs BuccaneersIf winner is:HomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	71.9*65.360.4		4.8*5.56.0
Jaguars	32.4*34.434.2		9.0*8.78.8
Colts	32.1*32.833.9		9.0*8.98.8
Titans	31.9*31.633.6		9.0*9.08.9

Cowboys vs JaguarsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.8*65.765.9		5.2*5.45.4
Jaguars	28.2*34.139.8		9.58.98.1
Colts	33.5*32.732.1		8.9*8.99.0
Titans	33.3*33.931.7		8.9*8.89.0

Steelers vs ColtsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.6*66.866.2		5.3*5.45.4
Jaguars	33.6*31.732.7
Colts	27.3*32.640.3		9.6*8.98.0
Titans	33.0*34.632.1		8.98.89.0

Seahawks vs TitansHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.7*66.766.0		5.2*5.35.4
Jaguars	33.8*32.432.3		8.8*9.09.0
Colts	33.5*33.732.1		8.9*8.89.0
Titans	27.7*32.739.2		9.5*9.08.2

Eagles vs JetsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.2*67.866.7		5.3*5.25.4
Jaguars	33.4*33.032.8		8.9*9.08.9
Colts	33.1*33.632.6		8.98.99.0
Titans	32.829.232.3		8.99.39.0

Ravens vs SaintsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	66.8*65.067.3		5.35.55.3
Jaguars	32.9*33.433.5
Colts	32.6*34.633.2		9.0*8.78.9
Titans	32.4*32.832.9		9.0*8.98.9

Cardinals vs BillsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.2*65.866.7		5.3*5.45.4
Jaguars	33.4*33.432.9
Colts	33.1*33.632.5
Titans	32.9*33.132.3

Chargers vs GiantsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	66.8*66.367.3
Jaguars	32.9*34.033.5
Colts	32.6*33.833.2
Titans	32.4*34.032.9

Chiefs vs PackersHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	66.8*68.867.3		5.3*5.15.3
Jaguars	33.0*34.533.5		8.98.88.9
Colts	32.6*33.533.2		9.08.88.9
Titans	32.4*31.132.9		9.0*9.28.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.