SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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we’re in the Wall Street Journal

New York Giants Playoff Chances 2015

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.7%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants vs Chiefs+5.1*-1.6-6.8
+0.6-0.2-0.8
Eagles vs Seahawks-0.6+3.7+0.8
-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Ravens vs Redskins+0.8*-1.8-1.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Saints vs Cowboys+0.6*+0.1-0.8
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Colts vs Packers+0.2*+1.0-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.2*-1.0-0.3
Texans vs Cardinals+0.2*-1.3-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.2*-1.5+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.2*+1.7-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.2*-1.0-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Lions vs Dolphins-0.2*+0.2+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chargers vs Giants-5.2*-2.1+6.9
-0.6*-0.1+0.8
Eagles vs Jets-0.8*-0.9+1.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.8*+0.1+1.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Bears-0.6*+0.7+0.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Saints+0.3*-0.4-0.4
Cardinals vs Bills-0.3*-1.5+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.2*+1.9-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers+0.2*-0.7-0.3
Seahawks vs Titans-0.2*-0.8+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100704*
2525-6-0In100001,107
24.524-6-1In10029
2424-7-0In99104,511
23.523-7-1In99171
2323-8-0In9730113,733*
22.522-8-1In9442266
2222-9-0In90702035,686
21.521-9-1In871003623
2121-10-0100.0%75181060080,889*
20.520-10-1In66232801,372
2020-11-0100.05031601210157,604*
19.519-11-199.9373511115202,625
1919-12-099.52234162214000269,232
18-11-2In14501418522
18.518-12-198.81129235238104,059
1818-13-094.952023824154100399,423
17-12-294.4141783125636
17.517-13-188.521123122120920005,803
1717-14-073.4051615152317720000521,594
16-13-275.02111414181620544
16.516-14-153.401916819231572006,879
1616-15-034.600514312212114620000598,986
15-14-231.461466251814622251
15.515-15-117.40111141323221572007,753
1515-16-09.70170271622211572000605,293
14-15-21.523232820156365
14.514-16-14.20400161422241782007,117
1414-17-02.40020002816232316720537,893
13-16-22.4225202720155541
13.513-17-11.01002616252716615,971
1313-18-00.501000139192725133419,064
12-17-2Out3201320271730
12.512-18-10.30002821332694,378
1212-19-00.100001415293417287,200
11-18-2Out41738172524
11.511-19-1Out0162240312,776
1111-20-00.000003153943172,630
10-19-2Out77295714
10.510-20-1Out1733591,521
1010-21-0Out004257189,980*
9.59-21-1Out011385668
99-22-0Out01118840,197*
8.58-22-1Out892285
88-23-0Out049615,627
7.57-23-1Out199104
77-24-0Out1995,132
6.56-24-1Out10038
66-25-0Out01001,437
0-5.5Out100725*
Total:37.7%66667677666666664,311,312

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Giants vs Chiefs-1.3+0.3+1.7
Eagles vs Seahawks+0.1-0.4-0.1
Ravens vs Redskins-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Saints vs Cowboys-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Bears vs Jaguars+0.0+0.2-0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.0*+0.4+0.0
Colts vs Packers-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Chargers vs Giants+1.3*+0.2-1.7
Eagles vs Jets+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.1-0.1-0.1
Redskins vs Bears+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Steelers vs Colts*-0.0+0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.0+0.1+0.0
Cardinals vs Bills+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.0*-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
26.5-31100
2626-5-01000
25.525-5-18317
2525-6-099100
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-097210
23.523-7-19711
2323-8-09163001
22.522-8-189642
2222-9-07614700200
21.521-9-167201003
2121-10-048271711006000
20.520-10-133342212800
2020-11-0183226550012110
19.519-11-1829269100114120
1919-12-022017171422017440000
18.518-12-1010821185501768010
1818-13-00531713107111131324100
17-12-231161182282236
17.517-13-1201081511261515592100
1717-14-0005313105213101213931000
16-13-221121114711972022
16.516-14-101098808316141711410
1616-15-000054903112512161510521000
15-14-2668668181618244
15.515-15-10129104029182217931000
1515-16-000117002002611161816116310000
14-15-226214311222363
14.514-16-10040001410192319135100
1414-17-000020000001371217191712621000
13-16-2252101012321772
13.513-17-11002512202419114100
1313-18-00010000149162121158310
12.512-18-10014122226221130
1212-19-000001411212722112
11.511-19-1002102233248
1111-20-00001413293518
10.510-20-1014194234
1010-21-0002113750
9.59-21-1032869
99-22-00022078
8.58-22-11387
88-23-00792
7.57-23-1694
77-24-0298
6.56-24-1397
66-25-00100
5.55-25-1100
55-26-00100
0-4100
Total:34343333343433333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)