Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances 2015Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 35.8% 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain If winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Bills vs Buccaneers | +5.0*-1.3-6.6 | | +0.6-0.1-0.8 | | Lions vs Dolphins | +0.9*+0.0-1.2 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Panthers vs Patriots | +0.9*+0.1-1.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Jets vs Falcons | -0.8*-0.6+1.1 | | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | | Colts vs Packers | -0.3*+1.6+0.4 | | | | Bears vs Jaguars | +0.3*+0.0-0.3 | | | | Titans vs Vikings | -0.2*+1.0+0.3 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Texans vs Cardinals | -0.2*-0.8+0.3 | | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Giants vs Chiefs | +0.2*-1.0-0.2 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Ravens vs Redskins | -0.2*+2.1+0.2 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Cardinals vs Bills | -5.1*+1.4+6.8 | | -0.6*+0.2+0.8 | | Eagles vs Jets | +0.8*+1.9-1.1 | | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | Seahawks vs Titans | +0.2*-1.0-0.3 | | | | Cowboys vs Jaguars | +0.2*-0.7-0.3 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Texans vs Buccaneers | -0.2*-1.4+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Chargers vs Giants | -0.2*+1.6+0.2 | | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | | Chiefs vs Packers | -0.2*-0.8+0.2 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Ravens vs Saints | -0.1*-2.5+0.2 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Steelers vs Colts | +0.1*+0.9-0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bills finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26.5 | -31 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 405 | * | 26 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 274 | | 25 | .5 | 25 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 25 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,187 | | 24 | .5 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 24 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,411 | | 23 | .5 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 1 | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 23 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 0 | In | 95 | 4 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 13,578 | | 22 | .5 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 1 | In | 95 | 4 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 272 | | 22 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 0 | In | 86 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 36,009 | | 21 | .5 | 21 | - | 9 | - | 1 | In | 80 | 17 | 1 | | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 660 | | 21 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 0 | In | 67 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 80,565 | * | 20 | .5 | 20 | - | 10 | - | 1 | In | 56 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,372 | | 20 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 41 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 158,320 | * | 19 | .5 | 19 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | 28 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2,555 | | 19 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 99.2 | | 15 | 34 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 268,563 | * | 18 | .5 | 18 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 98.0 | | 7 | 27 | 26 | 6 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4,024 | | 18 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 92.8 | | 3 | 16 | 26 | 11 | 21 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 398,828 | | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 2 | 96.6 | | | 10 | 24 | 10 | 45 | 7 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 29 | | 17 | .5 | 17 | - | 13 | - | 1 | 85.0 | | 1 | 8 | 22 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 5,806 | | 17 | | 17 | - | 14 | - | 0 | 67.0 | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 10 | 20 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 522,482 | | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 2 | 65.5 | | | 5 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 5 | | | | | | | | 58 | | 16 | .5 | 16 | - | 14 | - | 1 | 48.7 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 7,081 | | 16 | | 16 | - | 15 | - | 0 | 29.4 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 598,379 | | | 15 | - | 14 | - | 2 | 27.7 | | | | 2 | 11 | | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 4 | 2 | | | | | 47 | | 15 | .5 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 1 | 16.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | 7,673 | | 15 | | 15 | - | 16 | - | 0 | 8.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 605,338 | | | 14 | - | 15 | - | 2 | 5.1 | | | | | 5 | | | 3 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 3 | | | 39 | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 16 | - | 1 | 4.6 | | | | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7,367 | | 14 | | 14 | - | 17 | - | 0 | 2.4 | | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 537,940 | | | 13 | - | 16 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 7 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 11 | 5 | | 44 | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 17 | - | 1 | 0.9 | | | | | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 5,946 | | 13 | | 13 | - | 18 | - | 0 | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 420,334 | | | 12 | - | 17 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 34 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 18 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 28 | 9 | 4,468 | | 12 | | 12 | - | 19 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 287,149 | | | 11 | - | 18 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 33 | 33 | 17 | 18 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 19 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 35 | 2,654 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 20 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 48 | 171,384 | * | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 20 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 31 | 63 | 1,529 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 21 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 74 | 89,659 | * | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 21 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 84 | 687 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 22 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 40,592 | * | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 22 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | 278 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 23 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 15,757 | * | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 23 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 106 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 24 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 5,143 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 24 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 25 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 25 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 1,424 | | 0 | -5.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 696 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 35.8 | % | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4,311,312 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Bills vs Buccaneers | -1.3+0.3+1.7 | | Texans vs Cardinals | +0.0+0.3-0.0 | | Lions vs Dolphins | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | Jets vs Falcons | +0.1*+0.4-0.1 | | Panthers vs Patriots | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | Titans vs Vikings | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Bears vs Jaguars | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Giants vs Chiefs | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | | Ravens vs Redskins | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Cardinals vs Bills | +1.3*-0.4-1.7 | | Chargers vs Giants | +0.0-0.4-0.0 | | Ravens vs Saints | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | | Eagles vs Jets | -0.1*-0.4+0.1 | | Seahawks vs Titans | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Cowboys vs Jaguars | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Steelers vs Colts | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26.5 | -31 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 99 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | .5 | 25 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 99 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | .5 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 97 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | .5 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 98 | | 1 | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 92 | 3 | 4 | | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | .5 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 88 | 7 | 4 | | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 76 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | .5 | 21 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 67 | 13 | 17 | | 1 | | | | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 48 | 19 | 24 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | .5 | 20 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 33 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 4 | | 0 | | 7 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 17 | 23 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | | 12 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | .5 | 19 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 1 | | 15 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 14 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | .5 | 18 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 2 | | | | 10 | 21 | 3 | 10 | | 28 | 17 | 7 | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | .5 | 17 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 17 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 2 | | | | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 2 | | 12 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 16 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 16 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | - | 14 | - | 2 | | | | | | 2 | 2 | 9 | | | | 15 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 2 | 9 | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 16 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 14 | - | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 5 | | | | | | | 5 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 26 | 3 | 10 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | | 0 | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 23 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 14 | | 14 | - | 17 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 13 | - | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 16 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 11 | | 5 | 2 | | | | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 13 | | 13 | - | 18 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | 12 | - | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 21 | 24 | 3 | 3 | | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 | | 12 | - | 19 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 2 | | 11 | - | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 17 | 22 | 28 | 17 | 11 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 19 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 11 | | 11 | - | 20 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 20 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 34 | 10 | | 10 | - | 21 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 51 | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 21 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 26 | 70 | 9 | | 9 | - | 22 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 22 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 86 | 8 | | 8 | - | 23 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 23 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 7 | | 7 | - | 24 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 24 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 6 | | 6 | - | 25 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 0 | -5.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
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