American Football Conference Playoff Chances 2015

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs											Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Texans		0	-	0	-	0		0	67.0	%	21	13	9	6	10	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	5.3		1	.500	Houston Texans
Patriots		0	-	0	-	0		0	36.9		5	6	7	7	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.6		1	.500	New England Patriots
Steelers		0	-	0	-	0		0	36.9		5	6	7	7	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.6		1	.500	Pittsburgh Steelers
Bengals		0	-	0	-	0		0	36.6		5	6	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.6		1	.500	Cincinnati Bengals
Dolphins		0	-	0	-	0		0	36.5		5	6	7	7	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.6		1	.500	Miami Dolphins
Broncos		0	-	0	-	0		0	36.4		5	6	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.6		1	.500	Denver Broncos

Raiders		0	-	0	-	0		0	36.4		5	6	7	8	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	8.7		1	.500	Oakland Raiders
Chargers		0	-	0	-	0		0	36.1		5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.6		1	.500	San Diego Chargers
Chiefs		0	-	0	-	0		0	36.0		5	6	7	7	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	8.7		1	.500	Kansas City Chiefs
Bills		0	-	0	-	0		0	35.8		5	6	7	7	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	8.7		1	.500	Buffalo Bills
Browns		0	-	0	-	0		0	35.8		5	6	7	7	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	8.7		1	.500	Cleveland Browns
Jets		0	-	0	-	0		0	35.5		5	6	6	7	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	8.7		1	.500	New York Jets
Ravens		0	-	0	-	0		0	35.4		5	6	6	7	5	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	8.8		1	.500	Baltimore Ravens
Jaguars		0	-	0	-	0		0	33.2		5	5	4	3	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	7	8.9		1	.500	Jacksonville Jaguars
Colts		0	-	0	-	0		0	32.9		5	5	4	3	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	8.9		1	.500	Indianapolis Colts
Titans		0	-	0	-	0		0	32.6		5	4	4	3	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	9.0		1	.500	Tennessee Titans

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Thursday
Chargers vs SteelersIf winner is:HomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers	31.3*38.844.4		9.3*8.47.7
Bengals	37.3*35.235.7		8.5*8.78.6
Broncos	35.7*35.237.2		8.6*8.68.5
Raiders	35.7*36.337.2		8.7*8.68.6
Chargers	41.6*34.528.8		7.98.89.5
Chiefs	35.3*36.136.9		8.8*8.78.7
Browns	36.5*35.234.9		8.7*8.88.8
Ravens	36.1*36.734.5		8.7*8.68.8

Broncos vs BengalsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers	37.6*36.836.0		8.5*8.68.6
Bengals	31.1*37.644.1		9.3*8.57.7
Broncos	41.8*35.729.1		7.9*8.69.5
Raiders	35.7*38.137.3		8.7*8.68.6
Chargers	35.4*35.937.0		8.7*8.58.6
Chiefs	35.3*34.136.9		8.8*8.88.7
Browns	36.5*35.534.8		8.7*8.78.8
Ravens	36.1*36.134.6		8.7*8.78.8

Browns vs RaidersHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers	36.3*36.037.8		8.6*8.78.5
Broncos	37.0*37.135.5		8.6*8.68.7
Raiders	30.9*38.043.7		9.4*8.57.8
Chargers	36.8*36.535.2		8.6*8.68.7
Chiefs	36.7*34.135.1		8.7*8.88.8
Browns	41.2*36.528.6		8.0*8.69.6
Ravens	34.7*34.436.3		8.8*8.88.7

Lions vs DolphinsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots	37.8*36.635.8		8.5*8.68.7
Dolphins	31.4*37.243.4		9.2*8.67.8
Bills	36.7*35.834.6		8.6*8.78.8
Jets	36.3*35.934.4		8.7*8.88.8

Giants vs ChiefsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Broncos	37.2*34.235.2		8.5*8.78.7
Raiders	37.3*37.835.1		8.6*8.68.8
Chargers	36.9*38.035.0		8.5*8.68.7
Chiefs	30.9*38.042.8		9.38.57.9

Panthers vs PatriotsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots	31.9*37.143.7		9.2*8.67.8
Dolphins	37.5*38.235.3		8.5*8.58.7
Bills	36.7*35.934.7		8.68.78.8
Jets	36.3*34.134.4		8.7*8.98.8

Bears vs JaguarsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.7*66.466.0		5.3*5.35.4
Jaguars	28.2*32.839.8		9.5*8.98.1
Colts	33.5*33.732.0		8.9*8.89.0

Jets vs FalconsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots	36.1*38.438.1		8.68.68.5
Dolphins	35.7*35.937.7		8.7*8.68.5
Bills	35.0*35.236.9		8.8*8.98.6
Jets	40.5*36.128.8		8.28.69.5

Bills vs BuccaneersHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots	36.1*37.838.0		8.6*8.58.5
Dolphins	35.7*37.137.7		8.7*8.68.5
Bills	40.8*34.629.2		8.18.89.5
Jets	34.6*35.636.6		8.8*8.78.6

Ravens vs RedskinsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers	36.1*38.338.0		8.6*8.48.5
Bengals	35.8*36.437.7		8.7*8.68.5
Browns	35.0*35.736.9		8.8*8.88.6
Ravens	40.4*34.728.8		8.2*8.99.5

Titans vs VikingsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	66.2*66.068.0		5.4*5.35.2
Colts	32.2*32.533.7		9.0*9.08.8
Titans	37.5*33.926.1		8.4*8.99.7

Colts vs PackersHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	66.2*66.868.0		5.4*5.35.2
Colts	37.7*33.926.4		8.4*8.99.7
Titans	32.0*31.433.5		9.0*9.18.9

Texans vs CardinalsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	71.8*67.160.5		4.8*5.46.0
Jaguars	32.4*32.534.2		9.0*8.88.8
Colts	32.1*32.533.9		9.0*8.98.8
Titans	31.9*33.033.6		9.0*8.98.9

Saturday
Browns vs BroncosIf winner is:HomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers	36.2*35.337.8		8.6*8.88.5
Broncos	30.7*34.643.9		9.3*8.87.7
Raiders	37.0*36.335.5		8.6*8.78.7
Chargers	36.8*36.135.2		8.6*8.78.7
Chiefs	36.7*36.035.1		8.7*8.68.8
Browns	41.2*36.928.5		8.0*8.79.6
Ravens	34.8*38.536.3		8.8*8.58.7

Steelers vs ColtsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers	42.5*35.629.5		7.9*8.89.5
Colts	27.3*32.640.3		9.6*8.98.0

Patriots vs DolphinsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots	43.9*33.827.6		7.8*8.89.6
Dolphins	29.4*38.346.0		9.4*8.57.6

Eagles vs JetsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots	37.8*35.335.8		8.5*8.88.7
Dolphins	37.4*36.035.4		8.5*8.68.7
Bills	36.6*37.834.7		8.6*8.58.8
Jets	30.4*36.542.2		9.3*8.68.0
Titans	32.829.232.3		8.99.39.0

Cardinals vs BillsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots	37.8*37.835.8		8.5*8.58.7
Dolphins	37.4*35.935.4		8.5*8.68.7
Bills	30.7*37.242.6		9.3*8.57.9
Jets	36.4*36.034.3		8.7*8.78.8

Chargers vs GiantsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Broncos	35.5*34.737.5		8.7*8.88.5
Raiders	35.5*37.237.5		8.88.78.6
Chargers	41.1*36.229.4		8.0*8.89.4
Chiefs	35.2*36.337.1		8.8*8.78.6

Chiefs vs PackersHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Broncos	35.5*38.237.5		8.7*8.58.5
Raiders	35.4*38.337.6		8.8*8.68.6
Chargers	35.3*34.037.2		8.7*8.78.5
Chiefs	41.0*33.829.3		8.19.09.5

Cowboys vs JaguarsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.8*65.765.9		5.2*5.45.4
Jaguars	28.2*34.139.8		9.58.98.1
Titans	33.3*33.931.7		8.9*8.89.0

Ravens vs SaintsHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers	36.0*38.638.1		8.6*8.38.5
Bengals	35.8*36.537.7		8.7*8.78.5
Browns	35.0*36.136.8		8.8*8.78.6
Ravens	40.4*34.528.8		8.2*8.89.5

Seahawks vs TitansHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	67.7*66.766.0		5.2*5.35.4
Titans	27.7*32.739.2		9.5*9.08.2

Texans vs BuccaneersHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	71.9*65.360.4		4.8*5.56.0
Jaguars	32.4*34.434.2		9.0*8.78.8
Colts	32.1*32.833.9		9.0*8.98.8
Titans	31.9*31.633.6		9.0*9.08.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.