SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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Detroit Lions Playoff Chances 2015

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37%
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lions vs Dolphins+5.1*-0.3-6.8
+0.6*-0.2-0.8
Titans vs Vikings+0.8*-1.3-1.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Colts vs Packers+0.8*+1.2-1.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Bears vs Jaguars-0.8*-0.6+1.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.2*-0.6-0.3
Texans vs Cardinals+0.2*-0.8-0.3
Ravens vs Redskins+0.2*+1.5-0.3
Panthers vs Patriots-0.2*-0.6+0.3
Giants vs Chiefs-0.2*-1.1+0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.2*+1.2-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rams vs Lions-5.7*-0.5+7.6
-0.7*+0.1+0.9
Chiefs vs Packers+0.8*+0.8-1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Falcons vs Vikings+0.6*-0.8-0.8
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Redskins vs Bears+0.6*+1.4-0.8
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Ravens vs Saints+0.3*-1.5-0.4
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.2*+2.1+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.2*-1.7+0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.2*-0.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Chargers vs Giants+0.2*-2.6-0.3
+0.0-0.2-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.2*+0.5-0.3
Cardinals vs Bills-0.2*+1.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lions finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100648*
2525-6-0In100001,228
24.524-6-1In10020
2424-7-0In99104,382
23.523-7-1In98285
2323-8-0In9730113,757*
22.522-8-1In9541284
2222-9-0In908002035,778*
21.521-9-1In8411140629
2121-10-0100.0%74191060080,841*
20.520-10-1In652430801,384
2020-11-0100.048326013100157,786*
19.519-11-1100.0353610116202,447
1919-12-099.52134162225100269,334*
18.518-12-198.311292242482004,147
1818-13-094.4419238241551000399,371
17-12-2In191911411127
17.517-13-187.811122122120102005,966
1717-14-071.4041515142317821000521,827
16-13-274.1411733191111427
16.516-14-153.401917818231661007,183*
1616-15-032.300413311202215831000598,491
15-14-225.52116621231169447
15.515-15-118.201111513222215721007,778
1515-16-08.90170161421221683100605,783
14-15-215.113261325191362253
14.514-16-14.1040161423241682007,138
1414-17-02.3020002614222418820537,018
13-16-22.6335181023315339
13.513-17-11.01002616262518616,044*
1313-18-00.500000027172727154419,383
12-17-2Out8436242825
12.512-18-10.30002922332684,408
1212-19-00.100001413293518286,607
11-18-2Out4431382326
11.511-19-1Out0162141322,740
1111-20-00.000003133945172,746*
10.510-20-1Out1733601,495
1010-21-0Out003247289,763*
9.59-21-1Out11584724
99-22-0Out00118940,637*
8.58-22-1Out496304
88-23-0Out049615,535*
7.57-23-1Out199107
77-24-0Out1995,119
6.56-24-1Out49628
66-25-0Out01001,390
5.55-25-1Out1008
55-26-0Out0100325
0-4.5Out100400*
Total:37.0%66666666666666664,311,312

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Lions vs Dolphins-1.3*+0.4+1.7
Titans vs Vikings-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Colts vs Packers-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Bears vs Jaguars+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Panthers vs Patriots+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.0*+0.4-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Rams vs Lions+1.3*-0.0-1.8
Chiefs vs Packers-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Falcons vs Vikings-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Redskins vs Bears-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Ravens vs Saints-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.0*-0.3-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Eagles vs Jets+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Chargers vs Giants-0.0*+0.4+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
26.5-31100
2626-5-01000
25.525-5-1100
2525-6-099000
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-098210
23.523-7-19442
2323-8-0916301
22.522-8-188741
2222-9-076148000200
21.521-9-1632111140
2121-10-04827181106000
20.520-10-1333223130800
2020-11-01731265600121100
19.519-11-17282610100114120
1919-12-021917171522017450100
18.518-12-10119201754016880200
1818-13-004316131081111313251000
17-12-21971111221911
17.517-13-110108141125161559300
1717-14-0004313105212101214941000
16-13-2411711221947114
16.516-14-101098907315131711410
1616-15-00000449031115121615115210000
15-14-22116691311171394
15.515-15-1011101502918211793100
1515-16-00011600100261116181611631000
14-15-221122411191913882
14.514-16-1004001410192419125100
1414-17-0002000001361217191712631000
13-16-23315232318583
13.513-17-11001512202520114100
1313-18-00000000149162121168310
12.512-18-100014112227221030
1212-19-0000001411212723112
11.511-19-102102233257
1111-20-00001413293518
10.510-20-1013194135
1010-21-0002113750
9.59-21-1042868
99-22-00022078
8.58-22-10991
88-23-00792
7.57-23-1298
77-24-00298
6.56-24-11189
66-25-0199
5.55-25-1100
55-26-00100
0-4.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)