SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances 2015

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 36.8%
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Saints vs Cowboys+5.6*-0.9-7.5
+0.7*-0.2-0.9
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.9*-0.0-1.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Jets vs Falcons+0.8*+0.6-1.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Patriots-0.8*-0.9+1.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Redskins+0.3*-0.3-0.4
Lions vs Dolphins-0.2*+0.6+0.3
Bears vs Jaguars-0.2*+0.5+0.3
Giants vs Chiefs-0.2*-0.5+0.3
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Colts vs Packers+0.2*+0.3-0.3
Texans vs Cardinals+0.2*+0.2-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.2*-0.3-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ravens vs Saints-5.1*+1.1+6.8
-0.6*+0.1+0.8
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.8*-0.9-1.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
49ers vs Panthers+0.6*+0.3-0.8
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Falcons vs Vikings-0.6*-2.5+0.8
-0.0*-0.2+0.1
Chiefs vs Packers+0.2*-1.2-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.2*-0.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.2*-1.8+0.3
Cardinals vs Bills-0.2*+2.1+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.2*-0.3+0.2
Chargers vs Giants+0.2*-1.0-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Saints finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100672*
2525-6-0In10001,220
24.524-6-1In10018
2424-7-0In99104,432*
23.523-7-1In973104
2323-8-0In96301013,698
22.522-8-1In9361245
2222-9-0In90802035,717*
21.521-9-1In86113633
2121-10-0In7419106081,576*
20.520-10-1In642340801,386
2020-11-0100.0%4832601310158,514*
19.519-11-1100.035379117202,559
1919-12-099.52034172215100269,034
18-11-2In9433049423
18.518-12-198.81129214258103,955*
1818-13-094.2419239241651000400,311
17-12-296.47251442521428
17.517-13-187.91102212222192005,850*
1717-14-070.8041515132217831000521,278
16-13-273.0316191916161137
16.516-14-154.501916720221562007,006
1616-15-031.700414311192216831000598,554
15-14-229.17157272218455
15.515-15-116.6021014142223157207,813
1515-16-08.80170151320221793100604,858
14-15-212.526481727211548
14.514-16-14.304015142424178207,281*
1414-17-02.2020002614222419920536,510
13-16-2Out91622182211245
13.513-17-11.1101615252817616,176
1313-18-00.50000027172727164419,082
12-17-2Out316281928632
12.512-18-10.20002822332784,384
1212-19-00.10001313283619287,475*
11.511-19-10.000152142312,743
1111-20-00.000002133846171,865*
10.510-20-1Out0632611,506
1010-21-00.000003247289,791*
9.59-21-1Out11683678
99-22-0Out00118940,572*
8.58-22-1Out0694297
88-23-0Out0049615,740*
7.57-23-1Out19997
77-24-0Out1995,176
6.56-24-1Out10029
66-25-0Out1991,469
5.55-25-1Out1006
55-26-0Out0100324
0-4.5Out100410*
Total:36.8%66666666666666664,311,312

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Saints vs Cowboys-1.3*+0.4+1.8
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Jets vs Falcons-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Patriots+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Texans vs Cardinals-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Colts vs Packers-0.0*-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Ravens vs Saints+1.3*+0.0-1.7
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.1*+0.1+0.1
49ers vs Panthers-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Falcons vs Vikings+0.1*+0.4-0.1
Cardinals vs Bills+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers-0.0*+0.5+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Eagles vs Jets+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
26.5-31100
2626-5-01000
25.525-5-1100
2525-6-09900
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-097210
23.523-7-19523
2323-8-09153010
22.522-8-189561
2222-9-07614800200
21.521-9-16818113
2121-10-04726181100600
20.520-10-1333122140800
2020-11-01731275600012110
19.519-11-1629261190115120
1919-12-021817171522017450100
18.518-12-1011920175401788010
1818-13-004316131081111313251000
17.517-13-110108141016161659300
1717-14-00043131052121012141041000
16-13-23161453168811115
16.516-14-101099807317131710410
1616-15-0000449031105121615116210000
15-14-27411791318117544
15.515-15-10228104029182218103100
1515-16-000116001002611161816126310000
14-15-226428101717156102
14.514-16-1004001410182320125100
1414-17-0002000001361217191712731000
13-16-27716424201192
13.513-17-1100251220242111410
1313-18-00000000149162121168310
12-17-233619382533
12.512-18-100014122227211020
1212-19-000001411212723112
11.511-19-1003102333238
1111-20-000001413283519
10.510-20-1014194037
1010-21-00002113651
9.59-21-1043066
99-22-00022078
8.58-22-111089
88-23-000793
7.57-23-1298
77-24-0298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-0199
5.55-25-1100
55-26-00100
0-4.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)