D4 SOUTH Playoff Chances SBFallWinter201920

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chowder Cup			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT		T	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

RocklandLiquors	24	2	11	3		-	0	2		33	In			13.2	%	+2.1	83	17	0	0	0				1.2	+0.01	1	.724	Rockland Liquors
Hogbuffs	25		12	5		-	0	1		32	In			0.2		+0.1	17	81	2	0	0				1.9	-0.02	9	.680	Hogbuffs
SilkyMitts	18	1	8	7		-	0	2		12	99.9	%	-0.0	No			0	2	65	27	5	1	0	0	3.4	-0.13	16	.582	Silky Mitts
Ticklefight	17	1	7	7		-	0	3		-2	98.1		+6.9	No			0	1	28	50	14	5	2	0	4.0	+0.54	8	.485	Ticklefight
WFD	16		8	10		-	0	0		-29	86.1		+1.8	No				0	2	9	40	35	13	0	5.5	-0.06	13	.312	WFD
Chiefs	12	3	5	8		-	0	2		-6	73.1		+2.6	No			0	0	2	10	30	30	20	7	5.8	-0.04	31	.451	Chiefs

GoonSquad	10	2	4	10		-	0	2		-5	34.4		-0.8	No					0	3	10	20	39	27	6.7	+0.01	30	.460	Goon Squad
HighWide	12		6	12		-	0	0		-31	8.5		-10.5	No					0	0	1	7	26	66	7.6	-0.30	35	.308	High Wide

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 3/9
Chiefs 10 WFD 4
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ticklefight	-0.7				+0.1
WFD	-5.9				-0.4
Chiefs	+14.1				+0.4
GoonSquad	-3.6				-0.0
HighWide	-3.9				-0.1

Ticklefight 9 HighWide 2
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
SilkyMitts					-0.1
Ticklefight	+5.8				+0.4
WFD	+0.8				-0.1
Chiefs	+2.6
GoonSquad	+0.4
HighWide	-9.7				-0.3

RocklandLiquors 4 Hogbuffs 5
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			-16.5		-0.1
Hogbuffs			+0.2		+0.1

Surge 4 Rippers 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			-1.7
Hogbuffs			-0.1

PourSports 5 AnnasHarborsideGrille 2
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			+1.7
Hogbuffs			+0.1

Ducks 7 Brewskis 3
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			-0.1

FightingSquirrels 4 Dynamo 3
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			-0.1

SilkyMitts vs NESHLSouthIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
SilkyMitts	100.0100.099.7				3.23.43.6
Ticklefight					4.14.03.9

Week of 3/16
GoonSquad vs GLPIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
SilkyMitts	99.899.9100.0
Ticklefight	97.6*98.198.9
WFD	81.988.392.4				5.65.55.4
Chiefs	68.674.379.9				5.85.75.6
GoonSquad	44.730.518.8				6.56.87.1
HighWide	7.48.810.1				7.67.57.5

Chiefs vs SilkyMittsHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
SilkyMitts	99.7100.0100.0				3.73.43.2
Ticklefight	97.697.998.4				3.94.04.1
WFD	82.685.788.2				5.65.55.4
Chiefs	87.376.664.0				5.35.76.1
GoonSquad	28.132.538.5				6.86.86.7
HighWide	4.77.310.9				7.67.67.5

Chiefs vs RocklandLiquorsHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			2.47.917.3		1.31.21.1
Hogbuffs			0.30.30.2		1.71.81.9
Ticklefight	97.597.898.3				4.14.04.0
WFD	82.185.187.5				5.75.65.4
Chiefs	88.879.167.2				5.25.66.0
GoonSquad	27.431.537.1				6.96.86.7
HighWide	4.36.610.0				7.67.67.5

WFD vs TriceratopshelfHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ticklefight	97.297.998.5				4.14.04.0
WFD	96.691.480.5				5.05.45.7
Chiefs	69.971.374.8				5.95.85.7
GoonSquad	28.531.337.7				6.96.86.7
HighWide	7.98.28.7

Ticklefight vs HogbuffsHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors					1.11.11.2
Hogbuffs			0.00.00.3		2.01.91.8
SilkyMitts					3.53.43.3
Ticklefight	99.898.997.2				3.63.94.2
WFD	85.585.686.4				5.65.55.5
Chiefs	72.7*72.973.2				5.85.85.7
GoonSquad	33.7*34.234.8

Sullivans vs AnnasHarborsideGrilleHomeTieAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			13.513.513.0

Surge vs LuckyDawgsHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			8.717.928.2
Hogbuffs			0.1*0.20.7

Ducks vs WoodfordLawBoxersHomeTieAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			13.013.513.6

FightingSquirrels vs BrewskisHomeTieAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			13.113.413.4

Blackbeers vs ATCJetsHomeTieAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
RocklandLiquors			13.3*13.313.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.