"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-3.7+3.4+3.7
-2.3+0.1+2.7
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth-2.9*+0.0+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Rangers vs IceTurkeys-1.3-0.9+1.3
+0.0+0.1-0.1
IceAge vs Wolfhounds-1.6-1.0+0.9
-0.1-0.1+0.1
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth-1.8-1.6+0.8
-0.2-0.1+0.1
GLP vs Chiefs+0.4*-0.0-1.6
+0.0+0.1-0.2
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.2-0.4-0.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles+0.1-0.3*-0.0
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth-0.2-0.2+0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.1
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth+0.1*+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
GoonSquad vs TicklefightIn+3.5-2.0
+3.1+0.8-1.4
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShopIn+3.5-1.5
+3.3+1.1-1.1
GLP vs Cyclones+0.4-0.6-3.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth-1.6+0.3+0.7
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop-1.7-1.2+0.3
-0.3-0.1+0.0
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.7-0.2-1.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth-0.2-0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.0+0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight-0.3-0.2+0.1
Squires vs NESHLSouth-0.1-0.0+0.1
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the GoonSquad finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
830-00InNo021125302182032,840
720-01InNo0029213026111037,462
621-00InNo003122731197100237,548
10-02InNo028213124112013,442
511-01InNo0162135259200170,122
00-03InNo1620342413201,594
412-00100.0%No00292128231241000529,742
01-02InNo0161728261651028,858
302-0199.4No0271519212011410175,598
203-0083.8No0017192927143350,474
Total:96.3%No0001113566810121075786311,577,680
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad+4.2-0.3-5.0
GLP vs Chiefs-0.0-0.2+0.2
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.0-0.1
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.0-0.1
IceAge vs Wolfhounds+0.2+0.1-0.1
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.0-0.0
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers-0.0+0.1+0.2
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+0.1-0.0-0.0
Rangers vs IceTurkeys-0.0-0.1+0.0
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.0+0.0+0.1
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles-0.0+0.1+0.1
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune+0.0-0.1-0.1
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight-5.9-1.6+2.7
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop-6.4-2.2+2.1
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets-0.0+0.1+0.3
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.3+0.2-0.1
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+0.3+0.2-0.0
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.1+0.0+0.2
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+0.2+0.1-0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.0-0.1
Squires vs NESHLSouth+0.1-0.0-0.2
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth-0.1-0.2+0.1
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.1+0.1+0.1
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1+0.0+0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide+0.1+0.1-0.1
GLP vs Cyclones-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.0-0.0+0.1
Brewskis vs TwistedWristers+0.1-0.1-0.1
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
830-00001491518171510631000
720-0100127131821181262000
621-0000015101618161310621000
10-0200137141718161273100
511-010002511182119137210000
00-0311510202021128310
412-000000136111416171410521000
01-020002591417181611521000
302-01000251014161514117310000
203-000001410162020169410
Total:000000000111233333344566765433345532100