How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SurgeSouth 3 ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy 3 (ot)-0.9
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers vs SurgeSouth+14.3-0.8-11.9
+0.3+0.0-0.2
MooseKnuckles vs Magoos+6.3-0.3-8.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
GoonSquad vs GLP+0.7*+0.1-1.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup12345678Count
2030-0076.7%No11461230367,962
1920-0152.9No350452237,150
1821-0014.0No1473131,035,412
10-0213.9No14741250,683
1711-016.6No76330440,389
00-036.3No658363,617
1612-00OutNo4258940,114
01-02OutNo376346,052
1502-01OutNo1387194,414
1403-00OutNo100272,009
Total:16.4%No021548363,587,802
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/9100.0*Lottery seed
IceAge 3 Sharks 6 -0.2
BashBros 4 LuckyDawgs 6 -0.1
WoodfordLawBoxers 2 ATCJets 5 -0.1
Haulers 4 Blackbeers 5 -0.1
Ducks 7 Brewskis 3 -0.1
FightingSquirrels 4 Dynamo 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
SilkyMitts vs NESHLSouth-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers vs SurgeSouth-2.7-0.0+2.3
Cyclones vs Sharks+0.1-0.1-0.2
Chiefs vs RocklandLiquors+0.2+0.1-0.1
FightingSquirrels vs Brewskis-0.1+0.1+0.2
Chiefs vs SilkyMitts+0.2+0.0-0.1
Bevman vs Haulers-0.1+0.0+0.2
Ducks vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.1+0.1+0.2
Sullivans vs AnnasHarborsideGrille+0.2+0.1-0.1
WFD vs Triceratopshelf+0.1+0.1-0.1
JagrBombs vs PourSports+0.1+0.1-0.0
MooseKnuckles vs Magoos-0.1-0.0+0.1
BashBros vs Rippers+0.0-0.1-0.1
GoonSquad vs GLP+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243
2030-000002819262314520000
1920-010013112024211362000
1821-000002614222418931000
10-0200261522251893100
1711-0100013816222216831000
00-030139152221178310
1612-000001512202521124100
01-0200141220252112410
1502-010002817252516510
1403-0000016193229111
Total:0000123334689877887544310