How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth-1.0+0.1+0.3
-13.4-6.0+5.0
-2.1-0.6+0.7
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth-0.9+0.1+0.3
-13.5-6.0+5.0
-2.1-0.6+0.7
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth-0.7*-0.0+0.2
-13.4-6.2+5.0
-2.1-0.6+0.7
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth-0.5+0.1+0.3
-12.4-4.0+8.1
-1.7-0.2+1.1
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth-0.3+0.2+0.3
-11.2-1.8+11.5
-1.3+0.1+1.3
HighWide vs NESHLSouth-0.1+0.2+0.3
-8.1+3.2+17.6
-1.0+0.7+1.9
Rangers vs IceTurkeys-0.1*-0.0+0.1
IceAge vs Wolfhounds-0.1-0.0+0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
GLP vs Chiefs+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cougars vs NattyBeavers+0.9+2.5-1.2
Ticklefight vs Cashholes-0.5+0.4+0.6
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-0.1+0.0+0.1
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth-0.5+0.1+0.3
-12.3-3.9+8.1
-1.7-0.2+1.1
Squires vs NESHLSouth-0.1+0.2+0.3
-7.4+4.0+18.4
-0.8+0.7+1.8
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth+0.1+0.1-0.1
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.1+0.0+0.1
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+1.8+1.8-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.0
GLP vs Cyclones-0.0+0.1+0.2
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+3.7+2.2-2.2
Cougars vs SouthKnights-1.2+1.3+1.9
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+1.9+1.5-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight+0.6+0.7-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.5+0.6-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.0
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NESHLSouth finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
12-16In89.1%100283,785*
1152-01In33.4305416150,343
41-03In33.630541512,118
30-05In37.7295219114
1053-00In2.063044181200,492
42-02In2.27344414173,313
31-04In3.183944812,393
20-06InNo155423813
943-01In0.003223826910191,060
32-03In0.00426402261018,918
21-05InNo4344613300291
844-00InNo0028203226910180,016
33-02InNo002923332481071,665
22-04InNo0311253322602,742
11-06InNo221144229
734-01InNo0031333351420132,695
23-03InNo003163533111013,417
12-05InNo04253426110211
01-07InNo50502
635-00InNo00131128351840095,026
24-02InNo0013133135142036,837
13-04InNo0031733341121,248
02-06InNo3333333
525-01InNo00031533301541051,298
14-03InNo003173528133004,294
03-05InNo2037327359
426-00100.0%No0041222272210200028,808
15-02InNo00210222923103008,989
04-04InNo113242726811198
316-0195.2No0023513252918509,944
05-0395.6No014153031164503
217-0045.7No003123137174,757
06-0244.5No0212303719905
107-013.3No03591837
008-00OutNo100377
Total:99.7%19.8%22121310788644321110000001,577,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+4.1+1.0-1.4
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth+4.1+1.0-1.4
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+4.0+1.1-1.4
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+3.3+0.3-2.0
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth+2.6-0.3-2.5
HighWide vs NESHLSouth+1.7-1.3-3.4
IceAge vs Wolfhounds-0.1-0.1+0.1
GLP vs Chiefs+0.0-0.1-0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad+0.1-0.1-0.1
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers+0.0-0.1-0.1
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.0-0.1+0.0
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+0.0-0.0-0.1
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.0-0.1-0.1
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune*+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+3.3+0.3-2.0
Squires vs NESHLSouth+1.4-1.4-3.3
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight-0.2-0.1+0.0
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop-0.2-0.1+0.0
Cashholes vs IceFortune+0.0-0.1-0.2
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets+0.0-0.1-0.2
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight-0.1-0.1+0.1
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop-0.1-0.1+0.0
GLP vs Cyclones+0.0-0.1-0.1
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth-0.1-0.1+0.1
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers-0.1-0.0+0.0
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.0-0.0-0.1
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+0.0-0.0-0.1
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.0-0.1-0.0
FightingSioux vs HighWide-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
13-16100
1262-008119
51-028119
40-048020
1152-0133441930
41-0334441930
30-053841184
1053-002122630208200
42-022132730187200
31-04316282817710
20-0623313115
943-01003112227211141000
32-03014122428199310
21-05151622312051
844-00000137131820171162000
33-0200139151920161051000
22-040014111619191693100
11-06226711
734-0100014111923211362000
23-03002614202319114100
12-053918212614721
01-075050
635-000001491521201694100
24-020000151017212015831000
13-04002511172318136210
02-06333333
525-0100013917222115831000
14-0300014101823211362100
03-053522242014102
426-0000149141818161163100
15-020013813172016116310
04-041348162016141162
316-01001371116181813841000
05-0301351514231811731
217-00012816222218930
06-02028152321171030
107-011916273016
008-0032968
Total:20977664444443322222111111000000000000000