"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers-3.9+6.4+19.9
-0.2+0.3+1.3
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis-3.6+2.1+5.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune+0.7-1.9-2.3
+0.0-0.1-0.1
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs-0.4*-0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
PuckNSuds vs Rippers-23.5-2.3+47.1
-0.7+0.2+1.3
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish+3.5+1.2-5.2
Cashholes vs IceFortune+1.4-1.2-5.8
+0.1-0.1-0.3
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers-0.9-0.4+0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rippers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
730-00InNo1285615116,573
620-01InNo6274123324,858
521-00100.0%No0220463120172,990
10-02InNo01194930011,062
411-0198.6No317532610151,559
00-0396.4No111582741,549
312-0076.5No11363221507,314
01-0262.4No1154736231,608
202-015.0No57223207,181
103-00OutNo5050452,986
Total:50.4%No00138132432181,577,680
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers+1.4-2.3-6.8
IceAge vs Wolfhounds+0.2+0.0-0.1
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth+0.3+0.1-0.1
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+0.3+0.1-0.1
GLP vs Chiefs-0.1+0.1+0.3
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.3+0.1-0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-0.1+0.0+0.1
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.0-0.1
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.0+0.1+0.2
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles-0.1+0.1+0.1
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1+0.0+0.1
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.1+0.0-0.1
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune-0.0+0.1+0.1
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs+0.0+0.1-0.0
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
PuckNSuds vs Rippers+3.1-1.7-5.6
GLP vs Cyclones-0.1+0.1+0.3
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.1+0.1+0.3
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets-0.0+0.1+0.3
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.3+0.2-0.1
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.1+0.0+0.2
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+0.3+0.1-0.0
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight+0.2+0.1-0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+0.2+0.1-0.1
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.1+0.0+0.1
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish+0.1-0.1-0.1
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+0.1+0.0-0.1
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1+0.0+0.1
Brewskis vs TwistedWristers-0.1-0.0+0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide+0.1*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
730-00001411202420125100
620-01000149151818151163100
521-00000151220231912621000
10-02000271522231794100
411-01000136111517171410521000
00-03125111719171394210
312-000001491519191610520000
01-0200014101720191484100
202-01000281520211711510
103-00003102332258
Total:00000000000122332222346776544581072