How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+46.8+4.4-14.8
+2.2+0.2-0.7
Rangers vs IceTurkeys-3.1-2.3+3.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
IceAge vs Wolfhounds-3.8-2.3+2.3
-0.1-0.1+0.1
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth-4.1-3.4+1.7
-0.1-0.1+0.1
GLP vs Chiefs+1.0-1.8-3.2
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.6-1.2-2.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad+1.0-0.7-1.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles+0.3-0.9-0.2
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.3*+0.2-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
GLP vs Cyclones-7.0+13.7+49.6
-0.4+0.7+2.9
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop-4.4-2.9+0.7
-0.2-0.1+0.0
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth-3.2-1.6+1.7
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+1.8-0.6-2.8
+0.1-0.0-0.1
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight-1.0-1.0+0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.0
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop-0.8-0.8+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.3*+0.1-0.2
FightingSioux vs HighWide-0.3*-0.2+0.1
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cyclones finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
630-00InNo0211232820114103,769
520-01InNo027203224113108,750
421-00InNo0015132226201030067,916
10-02InNo01311212722123006,687
311-0196.4%No001391927251330102,109
00-0395.2No12716272814401,674
212-0064.9No00172335278391,430
01-0261.3No0062035291036,035
102-018.1No0172864272,594
003-00OutNo100686,716
Total:30.8%No0000000011122481212571,577,680
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth-4.3-0.8+1.4
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune-0.1+0.2+0.3
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
IceAge vs Wolfhounds+0.2+0.1-0.1
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.1+0.1-0.1
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers-0.0+0.1+0.2
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.1-0.1
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis+0.1+0.0-0.1
GLP vs Chiefs-0.0+0.1+0.1
Rangers vs IceTurkeys+0.1+0.1-0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-0.1+0.0+0.1
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
GLP vs Cyclones+0.8-1.7-5.4
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.1+0.2+0.3
Brewskis vs TwistedWristers-0.2+0.1+0.2
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets-0.0+0.1+0.2
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth+0.1+0.1-0.1
PuckNSuds vs Rippers+0.0+0.1-0.1
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.1+0.0+0.1
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+0.1+0.1-0.0
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish-0.1+0.0+0.1
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight+0.1+0.0-0.0
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+0.1+0.0-0.0
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.1+0.1-0.0
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
630-00001410162016138632100
520-01000025111720191473100
421-0000001371115171713941000
10-0200136101518181494200
311-01000025915191916941000
00-0312571618201594200
212-000013917232216820
01-020013917232216820
102-010002819292912
003-000163063
Total:00000000000000011111111235778101830