How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles-2.6+3.5In
-1.8+0.7+3.1
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth-2.8*-0.1+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.0
IceAge vs Wolfhounds-1.8-0.6+1.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Rangers vs IceTurkeys-1.4-0.5+1.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
GLP vs Chiefs+0.3-0.5-1.2
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.2-0.3-1.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad+0.5-0.4-0.5
+0.1-0.1-0.2
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth-0.3-0.4+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.1
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth-0.1-0.1+0.0
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
GLP vs Cyclones+0.4-0.8-3.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop-2.3-0.8+0.3
-0.3-0.1+0.0
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.7*+0.1-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth-1.1-0.3+0.6
-0.2-0.1+0.1
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight-0.5-0.5+0.3
-0.3-0.1+0.1
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop-0.5-0.5+0.2
-0.3-0.1+0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth-0.3-0.3+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.1
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight-0.5+0.1+0.1
Squires vs NESHLSouth-0.0+0.0+0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the MooseKnuckles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
620-00InNo00192737214000274,146
510-01InNo002133532143100136,294
411-00InNo0031326291972000677,539
00-02InNo0111273120720015,844
301-0199.9%No00311222721104100148,052
202-0082.5No02143333153325,805
Total:96.4%No0001588913141163477311,577,680
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles+3.5-1.6-5.8
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.0-0.1
GLP vs Chiefs-0.1+0.2+0.2
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.0-0.2
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-0.1+0.0+0.2
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers-0.0+0.1+0.2
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth+0.2-0.0-0.1
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1+0.0+0.1
IceAge vs Wolfhounds+0.1+0.0-0.1
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune+0.0-0.1-0.1
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+0.1-0.0-0.0
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.1-0.0
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs-0.1+0.0+0.0
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis+0.0-0.1-0.0
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.6-0.6-0.0
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets-0.1+0.1+0.4
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+0.3+0.1-0.1
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight+0.2+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+0.3+0.2-0.0
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.0-0.1
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+0.2+0.1-0.1
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.1+0.1+0.2
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.1+0.0+0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide-0.0+0.2-0.0
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1+0.0+0.1
Brewskis vs TwistedWristers+0.1-0.1-0.1
Squires vs NESHLSouth+0.0-0.0-0.1
GLP vs Cyclones-0.0+0.0+0.1
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.0+0.0+0.1
PuckNSuds vs Rippers-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
620-000000151017211914831000
510-01000027152222169410000
411-00000137111417171495210000
00-02000261318191712741000
301-010012713192016106321000
202-00000141119232113610
Total:00000123444444678876421134543100