New England Patriots Playoff Chances 2018
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 96.6%
7-3-0 .700
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.2 | |||
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NY Jets vs New England | -3.7*-0.3+2.1 | -0.6-0.3+0.3 | ||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +0.5*+0.1-1.6 | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.1*+1.0+0.5 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.0*+0.3+0.2 | |||
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.1*-0.9-0.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 64 | 36 | 152,917 | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 27 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 608 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 20 | 61 | 18 | 1 | 589,428 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 43 | 45 | 11 | 1,820 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 1 | 26 | 53 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 846,704 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 8 | 38 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 2,077 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 63 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 599,625 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 20 | 40 | 40 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 97.3 | 0 | 8 | 85 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1,059 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 79.9 | 0 | 3 | 67 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 223,143 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 57.7 | 1 | 55 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 284 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 24.2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 41,200 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 21.1 | 21 | 11 | 53 | 5 | 11 | 19 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 3,202 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 96.6 | % | 9 | 26 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,462,096 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.1 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | -0.1 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NY Jets vs New England | +1.1+0.5-0.6 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.2*-0.1+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.1*-0.1+0.2 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 59 | 19 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 25 | 26 | 40 | 7 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 52 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 29 | 15 | 11 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23 | 30 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 20 | 40 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 21 | 5 | 37 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 12 | 18 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
